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Australian Open Betting Predictions Day 9

Ben H 23 hours ago Last Updated: 20/01/25

2025 Australian Open Tennis Predictions Day 9

Day nine of the 2025 Australian Open brings milder weather, with partly cloudy skies and light winds becoming S/ESE at 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon, then easing again in the evening. Temperatures will settle around 30°C, creating comfortable playing conditions without the intense heat or rain to interrupt play.

These ideal conditions set the stage for exciting action, and we’ve identified two standout matches that align perfectly with our Australian Open betting predictions. Don’t miss the opportunity to capitalise on these Australian Open betting tips as the tournament enters a critical phase.

Using cutting-edge data analytics and player performance statistics, we’ve simulated countless scenarios to provide the most reliable predictions and insights for the 2025 Australian Open. Whether you’re tracking the form of the favourites or looking for dark horses to watch, our breakdown will help you stay ahead of the game!

Gael Monfils vs Ben Shelton

Monday, January 20, 2025 4:15 PM

Predicted Final Score

Shelton

6-4 : 7-6 : 3-6 : 6-4
Monfils

Win Percentages

Monfils 45.00%
Shelton 55.00%

 

Monfils

Shelton

The Betting Edge:

The bookmaker’s odds give Shelton a 62.50% implied probability, but our analysis suggests his chances are closer to 55%, making Monfils slightly undervalued.

  • Value Opportunity:
    • Monfils (2.30): The true odds based on a 45% probability are approximately $2.22, making Monfils a value pick at current odds.
    • Shelton (1.60): Current odds slightly overestimate his chances but not by a significant margin.

Specific Markets to Watch:

  1. Set Betting:
    • Monfils to win 3-2 (6.00) or Shelton to win 3-2 (5.50) offers higher returns in what could be a tightly contested match.
  2. Handicap Bets:
    • Monfils (+1.5 sets) at 1.95 provides solid coverage if Monfils forces a close battle.
  3. Total Games:
    • Over 41.5 games (1.80) is reasonable, given both players’ tie-break tendencies and potential for long sets.

Recommendation:

  • Risk-averse bettors: Consider Monfils (+1.5 sets) at 1.95 for a safer option.
  • Speculative bettors: A small wager on Monfils outright (2.30) offers value given his form and high tie-break success rate.
  • Alternative play: Over 41.5 games (1.80) aligns with the likelihood of extended sets.

Alex Michelsen vs Alex De Minaur

Monday, January 20, 2025 9:15 PM

Predicted Final Score

Alcaraz

6-4 : 6-2 : 6-3
Djokovic

Win Percentages

Michelsen 30.00%
De Minaur 70.00%

 

Michelsen

De Minaur

The Betting Edge:

The bookmaker’s odds heavily favour De Minaur with a 79.37% implied probability, but our analysis estimates his chances closer to 70%, making Michelsen a potential value bet.

  • Value Opportunity:
    • Alex Michelsen (3.80): True odds based on a 30% probability are approximately $3.33, making Michelsen undervalued by bookmakers.
    • Alex De Minaur (1.26): Current odds overestimate his chances slightly, but his consistency on hard courts justifies the favourite status.

Specific Markets to Watch:

  1. Set Betting:
    • Michelsen to win 3-2 (9.00) offers a high-reward speculative option if you expect an upset.
    • De Minaur to win 3-1 (3.80) is a reasonable choice for a competitive but decisive victory.
  2. Handicap Bets:
    • Michelsen (+4.5 games) at 2.15 provides value in a potentially closer match than odds suggest.
  3. Total Games:
    • Over 36.5 games (1.83) aligns with Michelsen’s ability to push sets to a tie-break or extend games.

Recommendation:

  • Risk-averse bettors: Back De Minaur to win 3-1 (3.80) or Michelsen (+4.5 games) at 2.15.
  • Speculative bettors: Consider Michelsen outright (3.80) or Michelsen 3-2 (9.00) as high-reward options in case of an upset.
  • Alternative play: Over 36.5 games (1.83) suits both a competitive De Minaur win or a Michelsen upset.

 

Todays Australian Open Multi

Monfils +1.5 sets

De Minaur 3-1

Total: $7.41 with Bet365

 

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