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Wests Tigers vs Sharks Prediction

Ben H 23 April 2025 Last Updated: 24/04/25

Wests Tigers vs Cronulla Sharks Predictions

Game 8 of Round 8 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership on April 27 features the Wests Tigers vs Sharks at Leichhardt Oval on Sunday afternoon. Get the latest NRL betting tips predictions and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, Foxtel, Nine, and Nine Now. 🏉🔥

Wests Tigers vs Sharks

Sunday, April 27, 2025

4:05 pm @ Leichhardt Oval, Sydney

Final Score Prediction

Wests Tigers Wests Tigers

20 : 21

Sharks Cronulla Sharks

Win Percentages

Wests Tigers 42.60%
Sharks 57.40%

 

Wests Tigers
Sharks

Quick Insight

At the time of writing Ladbrokes had the head to head for Wests Tigers set at $3.10, and $1.36 for the Cronulla Sharks, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Tigers

30.48%
Sharks

69.52%

 

Opportunity Bet

The bookies are heavy on the Sharks, giving them nearly a 70% shot at taking this one out. But our numbers reckon it’s a lot tighter than that, with the Sharks only slightly ahead at 57.40%.

The Tigers, meanwhile, are being seriously undervalued. The market’s got them at 30.48%, but our model says they’ve got a much better crack at it, sitting at 42.60%.

Based on our data, the true odds for the Tigers should be more like $2.35, but the bookies have them at $3.10. That’s a solid edge and a nice value opportunity if you’re keen on the underdog.

The Sharks are still the rightful favourites, but the Tigers are way better than the odds suggest. If our numbers are on the money, jumping on Wests at $3.10 is a value bet with some real upside.

Power Rankings Breakdown

Let’s see how both sides stack up based on current season performance:

  • Overall Power Ranking: Tigers 4th vs Sharks 15th
  • Score Rank (Home vs Away): Both ranked 9th
  • Balanced Power Score: Tigers 10th vs Sharks 13th
  • Points For (Home): Tigers 14th vs Sharks 1st (away)
  • Points Against (Home): Tigers 13th vs Sharks 5th
  • Win % Rank: Tigers 16th vs Sharks 3rd
  • Total Power Rank Score: Tigers 11.00 vs Sharks 7.67

What to do?

Despite the Sharks’ stronger away scoring and win record, the Tigers hold a surprisingly strong overall power ranking and aren’t that far behind in scoring metrics. It’s a much closer game than the odds suggest.

The Sharks are worthy favourites, but the Tigers are being seriously underrated. With our numbers giving them a 42.60% chance and the bookies only pricing them at 30.48%, the $3.10 on offer is great value for a side that’s well and truly in this game.

Taking the Wests Tigers for the +6.5 line is the best option for a bet this week, closely followed by the UNDER 46.5.

Scoring predictions sit at 20-21 in favour of the Sharks, however, even though a 1 point upset is unlikely, the Westies keeping the game super close is.

The OVER/UNDER tempo for this match is at 40.3 while our predicted total points are at 44, both below the 46.5 so the UNDER is a solid bet also.

Suggested Betting Tip:

Wests Tigers +6.5 @ $1.98 with
Unibet

H-2-H Bet:

Sharks @ $1.45 with
Unibet

Winning Margin Bet:

Cronulla Sharks 1-12 @ $2.90 with
Unibet

OVER/UNDER Bet:

UNDER 46.5 @ $1.90 with
Unibet

 Wests Tigers vs Sharks SGM

Head-to-Head Stats

  • Average Points For Per Match: Sharks by 1.3
  • Average Points Against Per Match: Sharks by 3
  • Power Rank: Sharks by 6
  • Average Winning Margin: Wests Tigers by 3
  • SoS Adjusted Points For: Wests Tigers by 4
  • Win Percentage: Sharks by 14%
  • Average Opponent Rank: Sharks by 3
  • Average Opponent Win Percentage: Sharks by 19%
  • Average Opponent Points For: Wests Tigers by 4
  • Highest Score For: Sharks by 4
  • Highest Score Against: Sharks by 18
  • Highest Total Match Score: Wests Tigers by 20
  • Lowest Total Match Score: Wests Tigers by 8
  • Adjusted Points For: Wests Tigers by 4
  • Adjusted Points Against: Wests Tigers by 1
  • True Power Score (Weighted): Sharks by 3.8
  • OVER/UNDER Tempo: 40.3
  • Game Style Prediction: Grinder

Check out all this weeks NRL Multi tips on our Multi Bets Page.

 

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