West Tigers vs Warriors Prediction & Betting Analysis Round 4

Wests Tigers vs New Zealand Warriors Predictions

Round 4 game 8 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership on March 30 features the Wests Tigers vs Warriors at Campbelltown Sports Stadium on Sunday night. Get the latest NRL betting tips predictions and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, & Foxtel. 🏉🔥

Sunday, March 30, 2025

5:15 pm @ Campbelltown Sports Stadium, Sydney

Final Score Prediction

Wests Tigers

30 : 14

Warriors

Win Percentages

Wests Tigers 59%

Warriors 41%

Tigers

Warriors

Quick Insight

At the time of writing bet365 had the head to head for Wests Tigers is set at $1.65, and $2.25 for the New Zealand Warriors, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Tigers 57.71%
Warriors 42.29%

Opportunity Bet

This one’s pretty close, the bookies and our model are nearly aligned, with just a slight edge towards the Tigers. That said, the market’s already fairly spot on with this one, so there’s not a massive discrepancy to exploit here.

If anything, the Tigers are just a touch undervalued based on our numbers, with their true odds sitting closer to $1.69 compared to the current $1.65 on offer, so it’s pretty bang-on overall.

What to do?

There’s no major edge in this market. Our model and the bookies are mostly on the same page, The Warriors have won the past two matches both of which were in Auckland and both by less than 13… but that was against “the old Tigers”, Early eyes say the Tigers have an average winning margin of 19 and the Warriors have an average losing margin of 22 so a 13+ winning margin in favour of the Tigers at their homeground is a solid bet considering how they have been playing this season.

Suggested Betting Tip:

Wests Tigers 13+ @ $2.80 with
bet365

H-2-H Bet:

Wests Tigers @ $1.58 with
bet365

Line Bet:

Tigers -4.5 @ $1.91 with
bet365

OVER/UNDER Bet:

UNDER 48.5 @ $1.91 with
bet365

Wests Tigers vs Warriors SGM

Head-to-Head Stats

Average Points For Per Match: Wests Tigers: 23.3, Warriors: 19.3 – (Tigers by 4 points)
Average Points Against Per Match: Wests Tigers: 11.3, Warriors: 17.3 – (Tigers by 6 points)
Average Winning Margin: Wests Tigers: 19.0, Warriors: 14.0 – (Tigers by 5 points)
Average Losing Margin: Wests Tigers: 2.0, Warriors: 22.0 – (Tigers by 20 points)
HT/FT Double %: Wests Tigers: 33.3%, Warriors: 33.3% – (Even)
Highest Score For: Wests Tigers: 32, Warriors: 36 – (Warriors by 4 points)
Highest Score Against: Wests Tigers: 18, Warriors: 30 – (Tigers by 12 points)
Biggest Win: Wests Tigers: 26, Warriors: 20 – (Tigers by 6 points)
Biggest Loss: Wests Tigers: 2, Warriors: 22 – (Tigers more resilient by 20 points)
Highest Total Match Score: Wests Tigers: 48, Warriors: 52 – (Warriors by 4 points)
Lowest Total Match Score: Wests Tigers: 18, Warriors: 20 – (Tigers by 2 points)
Current Streak: Wests Tigers: W2, Warriors: W2 – (Even momentum)
Current Form: Wests Tigers: LWW, Warriors: LWW – (Even form)
Choke % (Loss % After Leading HT): Wests Tigers: 50.0%, Warriors: 0.0% – (Warriors by 50%)
Reliability % (Win % After Leading HT): Wests Tigers: 50.0%, Warriors: 100.0% – (Warriors by 50%)
Comeback % (Win % After Trailing HT): Wests Tigers: 100.0%, Warriors: 50.0% – (Tigers by 50%)
Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Warriors won by 12 points (28–16) on 26th July 2024