Sea Eagles vs Eels Prediction & Betting Analysis Round 4

Manly Sea Eagles vs Parramatta Eels Predictions

Game 7 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership Round 4 on March 30 features the Sea Eagles vs Eels at 4 Pines Park on Sunday afternoon. Get the latest NRL betting tips predictions and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, Foxtel, Nine, & Nine Now. 🏉🔥

Sunday, March 30, 2025

3:05 pm @ 4 Pines Park, Sydney

Final Score Prediction

Sea Eagles

37 : 11

Eels

Win Percentages

Sea Eagles 72%

Eels 28%

Sea Eagles

Eels

Quick Insight

At the time of writing bet365 had the head to head for Manly Sea Eagles is set at $1.14, and $5.75 for the Parramatta Eels, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Sea Eagles 83.48%
Eels 16.52%

Opportunity Bet

So here’s the thing, the bookies are seriously underselling the Eels here. While we agree Manly deserve favouritism, we’ve got the Eels with nearly double the chance of winning compared to what the market is saying.

Based on our numbers, the Eels should be priced closer to $3.57, not the massive $5.75 that’s on offer right now. That’s a huge gap, and one that creates a solid value play.

What to do?

The Eels might be longshots, but they’re not as far off the mark as the odds suggest. If our model’s right, there’s definite value backing Parramatta in this one. if you see an upset on the cards… unfortunately we just don’t see that happening.

The Eels haven’t beaten the Sea Eagles at 4 Pines since 2022, and with the last two games between these two team having a margin of less that 12 points logic points towards a close game, however, we can’t see anything less than a 13+ point difference in this game, Manly have the goods at the moment, and the Eels are, well… the Eels.

Suggested Betting Tip:

Sea Eagles -17.5 @ $1.91 with
bet365

H-2-H Bet:

Sea Eagles @ $1.15 with
bet365

Line Bet:

Sea Eagles -17.5 @ $1.91 with
bet365

OVER/UNDER Bet:

UNDER 55.5 @ $1.91 with
bet365

Sea Eagles vs Eels SGM

Head-to-Head Stats

Average Points For Per Match: Sea Eagles: 32.7, Eels: 10.7 – (Sea Eagles by 22 points)
Average Points Against Per Match: Sea Eagles: 20.0, Eels: 34.7 – (Sea Eagles by 14.7 points)
Average Winning Margin: Sea Eagles: 29.0, Eels: N/A – (Sea Eagles only with wins)
Average Losing Margin: Sea Eagles: 20.0, Eels: 24.0 – (Sea Eagles by 4 points)
HT/FT Double %: Sea Eagles: 66.7%, Eels: 0.0% – (Sea Eagles by 66.7%)
Highest Score For: Sea Eagles: 42, Eels: 18 – (Sea Eagles by 24 points)
Highest Score Against: Sea Eagles: 36, Eels: 56 – (Sea Eagles better by 20 points)
Biggest Win: Sea Eagles: 30, Eels: N/A – (Sea Eagles dominant)
Biggest Loss: Sea Eagles: 20, Eels: 38 – (Sea Eagles more resilient by 18 points)
Highest Total Match Score: Sea Eagles: 54, Eels: 74 – (Eels by 20 points)
Lowest Total Match Score: Sea Eagles: 52, Eels: 24 – (Eels by 28 points)
Current Streak: Sea Eagles: W1, Eels: L3 – (Sea Eagles edge)
Current Form: Sea Eagles: WLW, Eels: LLL – (Sea Eagles form advantage)
Choke % (Loss % After Leading HT): Sea Eagles: 0.0%, Eels: N/A – (Sea Eagles solid)
Reliability % (Win % After Leading HT): Sea Eagles: 100.0%, Eels: N/A – (Sea Eagles dominant)
Comeback % (Win % After Trailing HT): Sea Eagles: 0.0%, Eels: 0.0% – (Even)
Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Sea Eagles won by 14 points (32–18) on 26th April 2024