Rabbitohs vs Roosters Prediction & Betting Analysis Round 5

South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Sydney Roosters Predictions

Game 3 of Round 5 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership on April 4 features the Rabbitohs vs Roosters at Accor Stadium on Friday night. Get the latest NRL betting tips predictions and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, Foxtel, Nine, & Nine Now. 🏉🔥

Friday, April 4, 2025

7:00 pm @ Accor Stadium, Sydney

Final Score Prediction

Rabbitohs

26 : 15

Roosters

Win Percentages

Rabbitohs 61%

Roosters 39%

Rabbitohs

Roosters

Quick Insight

At the time of writing bet365 had the head to head for South Sydney Rabbitohs is set at $1.68, and $2.20 for the Sydney Roosters, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Rabbitohs 56.72%
Roosters 43.28%

Opportunity Bet

The bookies have priced this as a relatively even contest, giving the Rabbitohs a 56.72% chance of taking it out. But our analysis gives them a stronger edge at 61%, suggesting they’re actually a bit undervalued at the current price of $1.68.

With the Roosters sitting at 39% and priced at $2.20, the value’s not really on their side in this one. If anything, the Rabbitohs might still be offering a touch of value, with their true odds closer to $1.64 based on our numbers.

In summary: While it’s a tight contest on paper, our analysis shows the Rabbitohs hold a stronger edge than the bookies are giving them credit for. At $1.68, there’s still a small value opportunity backing Souths to get the job done.

What to do?

Interestingly the Roosters have dominated the Rabbitohs for the past two years, however, the Rabbitohs have had a pretty decent start to the year so far and are beating the Roosters in almost every single stat, while this looks like it has the potential to be a washout, we see the Rabbitohs taking this one by less than 12.

Suggested Betting Tip:

Rabbitohs 1-12 @ $3.50 with
bet365

H-2-H Bet:

Rabbitohs @ $1.68 with
bet365

Line Bet:

Rabbitohs -2.5 @ $1.91 with
bet365

OVER/UNDER Bet:

UNDER 49.5 @ $1.91 with
bet365

Rabbitohs vs Roosters SGM

Head-to-Head Stats

Average Points For Per Match: Rabbitohs: 20.3, Roosters: 17.5 – (Rabbitohs by 2.8 points)
Average Points Against Per Match: Rabbitohs: 20.8, Roosters: 31.5 – (Rabbitohs by 10.7 points)
Average Winning Margin: Rabbitohs: 4.3, Roosters: 6.0 – (Roosters by 1.7 points)
Average Losing Margin: Rabbitohs: 15.0, Roosters: 20.7 – (Rabbitohs by 5.7 points)
HT/FT Double %: Rabbitohs: 50.0%, Roosters: 0.0% – (Rabbitohs by 50%)
Highest Score For: Rabbitohs: 28, Roosters: 38 – (Roosters by 10 points)
Highest Score Against: Rabbitohs: 27, Roosters: 50 – (Rabbitohs more resilient by 23 points)
Biggest Win: Rabbitohs: 10, Roosters: 6 – (Rabbitohs by 4 points)
Biggest Loss: Rabbitohs: 15, Roosters: 36 – (Rabbitohs more resilient by 21 points)
Highest Total Match Score: Rabbitohs: 49, Roosters: 70 – (Roosters by 21 points)
Lowest Total Match Score: Rabbitohs: 30, Roosters: 20 – (Roosters by 10 points)
Current Streak: Rabbitohs: W1, Roosters: L2 – (Rabbitohs momentum)
Current Form: Rabbitohs: WWLW, Roosters: LWLL – (Rabbitohs edge)
Choke % (Loss % After Leading HT): Rabbitohs: 0.0%, Roosters: 100.0% – (Rabbitohs by 100%)
Reliability % (Win % After Leading HT): Rabbitohs: 100.0%, Roosters: 0.0% – (Rabbitohs by 100%)
Comeback % (Win % After Trailing HT): N/A
Last 5 Encounters:
- 6 Sep 2024 (R27): Roosters 36 def. Rabbitohs 28
- 22 Mar 2024 (R3): Roosters 48 def. Rabbitohs 6
- 1 Sep 2023 (R27): Roosters 26 def. Rabbitohs 12
- 17 Mar 2023 (R3): Roosters 20 def. Rabbitohs 18
- 11 Sep 2022 (Finals W1): Rabbitohs 30 def. Roosters 14