Rabbitohs vs Cowboys Prediction & Betting Analysis Round 6

South Sydney Rabbitohs vs North Queensland Cowboys Predictions

Game 5 of Round 6 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership on April 12 features the Rabbitohs vs Cowboys at Optus Stadium on Saturday afternoon. Get the latest NRL betting tips predictions and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, & Foxtel. 🏉🔥

Saturday, April 12, 2025

5:30 pm @ Optus Stadium, Perth

Final Score Prediction

Rabbitohs

25 : 18

Cowboys

Win Percentages

Rabbitohs 55%

Cowboys 45%

Rabbitohs

Cowboys

Quick Insight

At the time of writing bet365 had the head to head for South Sydney Rabbitohs is set at $2.15, and $1.72 for the North Queensland Cowboys, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Rabbitohs 44.45%
Cowboys 55.55%

Opportunity Bet

The Cowboys are priced at $1.72, suggesting they win this 55.55% of the time, but our model flips that on its head, giving the Rabbitohs the 55% edge instead. That makes the Cowboys look slightly overvalued at the current odds.

Now here’s where it gets tasty, the Rabbitohs are paying $2.15, and the bookies reckon they’re only winning this 44.45% of the time. But with our model giving them a 55% chance of getting the W, that $2.15 is looking like some genuine value.

In Summary

The betting edge here is with South Sydney. Our numbers give them a stronger shot than the market does, making that $2.15 price a solid play. If the Rabbitohs bring their best, this could be a great spot for a value win.

What to do?

Regarding the Rabbitohs vs Cowboys, neither team has the upper hand here when it comes to a solid home fan base, and their points scored this season are somewhat on par. The real indicator this round is the Cowboys average points against, they are averaging 28.4 points against per match and losing by an average of 21.3 this season, with no home ground advantage for either team we should see the Rabbitohs take home the win this week, is the line worth it? not really. Smarter value is on the Rabbitohs 1-12. Historically the scores fluctuate so best to steer clear of the OVER/UNDER.

Suggested Betting Tip:

Rabbitohs 1-12 @ $3.60 with
bet365

H-2-H Bet:

Rabbitohs @ $1.58 with
bet365

Line Bet:

Rabbitohs +1.5 @ $1.95 with
bet365

OVER/UNDER Bet:

UNDER 49.5 (NOT RECOMMENDED) @ $1.91 with
bet365

Rabbitohs vs Cowboys SGM

Rabbitohs vs Cowboys Head-to-Head Stats

Average Points For Per Match: Rabbitohs: 20.2, Cowboys: 18.4 – (Rabbitohs by 1.8 points)
Average Points Against Per Match: Rabbitohs: 19.4, Cowboys: 28.4 – (Rabbitohs by 9 points)
Average Winning Margin: Rabbitohs: 4.8, Cowboys: 7.0 – (Cowboys by 2.2 points)
Average Losing Margin: Rabbitohs: 15.0, Cowboys: 21.3 – (Rabbitohs more resilient by 6.3 points)
HT/FT Double %: Rabbitohs: 60.0%, Cowboys: 20.0% – (Rabbitohs by 40%)
Highest Score For: Rabbitohs: 28, Cowboys: 30 – (Cowboys by 2 points)
Highest Score Against: Rabbitohs: 27, Cowboys: 42 – (Rabbitohs by 15 points)
Biggest Win: Rabbitohs: 10, Cowboys: 10 – (Even)
Biggest Loss: Rabbitohs: 15, Cowboys: 30 – (Rabbitohs more resilient by 15 points)
Highest Total Match Score: Rabbitohs: 49, Cowboys: 54 – (Cowboys by 5 points)
Lowest Total Match Score: Rabbitohs: 30, Cowboys: 40 – (Rabbitohs by 10 points)
Current Streak: Rabbitohs: W2, Cowboys: W2 – (Even)
Current Form: Rabbitohs: WWLWW, Cowboys: LLLWW – (Rabbitohs edge)
Choke % (Loss % After Leading HT): Rabbitohs: 0.0%, Cowboys: 0.0% – (Even)
Reliability % (Win % After Leading HT): Rabbitohs: 100.0%, Cowboys: 100.0% – (Even)
Comeback % (Win % After Trailing HT): Rabbitohs: 50.0%, Cowboys: 25.0% – (Rabbitohs by 25%)
Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Cowboys won by 6 points (28-22) on 18th May 2024
Previous Encounter: Cowboys won by 25 points (31-6) on 25th June 2023