Eels vs Raiders Prediction & Betting Analysis Round 6

Parramatta Eels vs Canberra Raiders Predictions

Game 6 of Round 6 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership on April 12 features the Eels vs Raiders at TIO Stadium on Saturday night. Get the latest NRL betting tips predictions and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, & Foxtel. 🏉🔥

Saturday, April 12, 2025

7:35 pm @ TIO Stadium, Darwin

Final Score Prediction

Eels

16 : 28

Raiders

Win Percentages

Eels 39%

Raiders 61%

Eels

Raiders

Quick Insight

At the time of writing bet365 had the head to head for Parramatta Eels is set at $2.55, and $1.52 for the Canberra Raiders, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Eels 37.35%
Raiders 62.65%

Opportunity Bet

The Raiders are paying $1.52, which reflects a 62.65% implied chance, almost bang-on with our model’s 61%. So while they’re rightly favourites, there’s not much extra value at that price.

Now, looking at the Eels, they’re priced at $2.55, which gives them a 37.35% implied win rate. But our numbers say they’ve actually got a 39% shot. It’s not a massive edge, but there’s still a little value there if you’re feeling bold and want to back the underdog.

In Summary

While the Raiders should come away with the win, the market’s pricing is pretty sharp. That said, the Eels offer a tiny sliver of value at $2.55. If you’re chasing a higher return and reckon they could fire up, they’re worth a cheeky look.

What to do?

Up to Darwin this week, the Eels and the Raiders will be sweltering it out in the heat with no true home ground advantage. The Eels as expected, have not had a turn around of a season this year and will be back on track with another loss again this week as the Raiders take advantage of their higher try scoring ratio. Honestly trying to predict how much the Raiders will win by this week was a tough one but we’re looking at around 12 points, a little too close of a call to bet on the winning margin, the line this week is the best step forwards, unless of course you’re planning to back the Eels then the 1-12 is a good way to go.

Suggested Betting Tip:

Raiders -4.5 @ $1.91 with
bet365

H-2-H Bet:

Raiders @ $1.56 with
bet365

Winning Margin Bet:

Raiders 1-12 (NOT RECOMMENDED) @ $3.40 with
bet365

OVER/UNDER Bet:

UNDER 48.5 @ $1.91 with
bet365

Eels vs Raiders SGM

Eels vs Raiders Head-to-Head Stats

Average Points For Per Match: Eels: 13.4, Raiders: 23.6 – (Raiders by 10.2 points)
Average Points Against Per Match: Eels: 30.4, Raiders: 24.0 – (Raiders by 6.4 points)
Average Winning Margin: Eels: 1.0, Raiders: 12.0 – (Raiders by 11 points)
Average Losing Margin: Eels: 21.5, Raiders: 19.0 – (Raiders more resilient by 2.5 points)
HT/FT Double %: Eels: 0.0%, Raiders: 40.0% – (Raiders by 40%)
Highest Score For: Eels: 23, Raiders: 32 – (Raiders by 9 points)
Highest Score Against: Eels: 56, Raiders: 40 – (Raiders by 16 points)
Biggest Win: Eels: 1, Raiders: 22 – (Raiders by 21 points)
Biggest Loss: Eels: 38, Raiders: 28 – (Raiders more resilient by 10 points)
Highest Total Match Score: Eels: 74, Raiders: 54 – (Eels by 20 points)
Lowest Total Match Score: Eels: 24, Raiders: 38 – (Eels by 14 points)
Current Streak: Eels: W1, Raiders: W1 – (Even)
Current Form: Eels: LLLLW, Raiders: WWLLW – (Raiders edge)
Choke % (Loss % After Leading HT): Eels: N/A, Raiders: 0.0% – (Raiders edge)
Reliability % (Win % After Leading HT): Eels: N/A, Raiders: 100.0% – (Raiders edge)
Comeback % (Win % After Trailing HT): Eels: 20.0%, Raiders: 0.0% – (Eels by 20%)
Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Raiders won by 33 points (41-8) on 7th April 2024
Previous Encounter: Raiders won by 8 points (26-18) on 13th May 2023