Dragons vs Titans Prediction & Betting Analysis Round 6

St. George Illawarra Dragons vs Gold Coast Titans Predictions

Game 2 of Round 6 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership on April 11 features the Dragons vs Titans at WIN Stadium on Friday night. Get the latest NRL betting tips predictions and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, & Foxtel. 🏉🔥

Friday, April 11, 2025

6:00 pm @ WIN Stadium, Wollongong

Final Score Prediction

Dragons

28 : 12

Titans

Win Percentages

Dragons 52%

Titans 48%

Dragons

Titans

Quick Insight

At the time of writing bet365 had the head to head for St. George Illawarra Dragons is set at $1.60, and $2.35 for the Gold Coast Titans, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Dragons 59.49%
Titans 42.55%

Opportunity Bet

The Dragons are paying $1.60, which suggests they win this close to 60% of the time, but our numbers say they’re only winning 52% of the time. Not exactly a bad bet, but not great value either.

The Titans, though, are being a bit underrated. At $2.35, the bookies are pricing them like they’ve only got a 42.55% chance, but our model gives them a 48% shot. That gap isn’t massive, but it’s enough to give the Titans a bit of a value edge, especially if you’re chasing a slight underdog with decent upside.

In Summary

The smart play here? The value’s with the Titans. The Dragons are favourites for a reason, but the odds don’t quite reflect how close this match-up really is. At $2.35, Gold Coast offer a cheeky bit of value in what looks like a toss-of-the-coin game.

What to do?

Statistically the Titans have the better hand here, however the home-ground advantage of the Dragons bumps the win in their favour, while it is estimated to be a tougher than expected game, the Dragons typically are a strong team against the Titans specifically at WIN Stadium, The handicap line is too short for WIN stadium as past games indicate a large margin.

Suggested Betting Tip:

Dragons 13+ @ $2.80 with
bet365

H-2-H Bet:

Dragons @ $1.60 with
bet365

Line Bet:

Dragons -4.5 @ $2.00 with
bet365

OVER/UNDER Bet:

UNDER 49.5 @ $1.91 with
bet365

Dragons vs Titans SGM

Head-to-Head Stats

Average Points For Per Match: Dragons: 20.0, Titans: 22.5 – (Titans by 2.5 points)
Average Points Against Per Match: Dragons: 21.0, Titans: 23.5 – (Dragons by 2.5 points)
Average Winning Margin: Dragons: 6.0, Titans: 19.0 – (Titans by 13 points)
Average Losing Margin: Dragons: 3.3, Titans: 21.0 – (Dragons more resilient by 17.7 points)
HT/FT Double %: Dragons: 0.0%, Titans: 25.0% – (Titans by 25%)
Highest Score For: Dragons: 24, Titans: 30 – (Titans by 6 points)
Highest Score Against: Dragons: 28, Titans: 40 – (Dragons by 12 points)
Biggest Win: Dragons: 6, Titans: 20 – (Titans by 14 points)
Biggest Loss: Dragons: 8, Titans: 26 – (Dragons more resilient by 18 points)
Highest Total Match Score: Dragons: 49, Titans: 64 – (Titans by 15 points)
Lowest Total Match Score: Dragons: 22, Titans: 32 – (Dragons by 10 points)
Current Streak: Dragons: L1, Titans: L1 – (Even)
Current Form: Dragons: LLWL, Titans: LWWL – (Titans edge)
Choke % (Loss % After Leading HT): Dragons: 100.0%, Titans: 0.0% – (Titans by 100%)
Reliability % (Win % After Leading HT): Dragons: 0.0%, Titans: 100.0% – (Titans by 100%)
Comeback % (Win % After Trailing HT): Dragons: 50.0%, Titans: 0.0% – (Dragons by 50%)
Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Dragons won by 16 points (32-16) on 18th August 2024
Previous Encounter: Dragons won by 24 points (28-4) on 9th March 2024