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Cowboys vs Titans Prediction

Ben H 23 April 2025 Last Updated: 24/04/25

North Queensland Cowboys vs Gold Coast Titans Predictions

Game 5 of Round 8 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership on April 26 features the Cowboys vs Titans at Queensland Country Bank Stadium on Saturday evening. Get the latest NRL betting tips predictions and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, & Foxtel. 🏉🔥

Cowboys vs Titans

Saturday, April 26, 2025

5:30 pm @ Queensland Country Bank Stadium, Townsville

Final Score Prediction

North Queensland Cowboys Cowboys

14 : 16

Titans Gold Coast Titans

Win Percentages

Cowboys 49.98%
Titans 50.02%

 

Cowboys
Titans

Quick Insight

At the time of writing Unibet had the head to head for North Queensland Cowboys set at $1.42, and $2.85 for the Gold Coast Titans, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Cowboys

66.74%
Titans

33.26%

 

Opportunity Bet

The bookies are backing the Cowboys pretty strongly, giving them a 66.74% chance of getting the job done. But our numbers tell a different story, this one’s dead even, with the Titans just edging it at 50.02%.

That creates a standout opportunity on the Titans. The market only gives them a 33.26% chance, but our analysis says they’ve actually got a better than 50/50 shot.

Based on our model, the true odds for the Titans should be around $2.00, yet the bookies are dishing out $2.85. That’s some serious value and definitely worth a look.

The Cowboys might be favourites on paper, but the Titans are being seriously undervalued. If our read is right, backing the Gold Coast at $2.85 is a cracking value bet with a solid long-term edge.

Power Rankings Breakdown

Let’s line the teams up based on their season stats:

  • Overall Power Ranking: Titans 8th vs Cowboys 13th
  • Score Rank (Home vs Away): Cowboys 15th vs Titans 4th
  • Balanced Power Score: Cowboys 11th vs Titans 7th
  • Points For (Home vs Away): Cowboys 10th vs Titans 7th
  • Points Against (Home vs Away): Cowboys 15th vs Titans 14th
  • Win % Rank: Both teams sit equal at 9th
  • Total Power Rank Score: Cowboys 12.17 vs Titans 8.17

What to do?

The Titans come out ahead in most categories, especially in scoring away from home. The Cowboys’ defensive line has also been shaky at home, making this even more appealing if you’re eyeing the Titans for the upset.

The Cowboys might be favourites at home, but our numbers, and the power rankings, tell a different story. With the Titans rated a 50/50 shot and priced at $2.85, there’s a strong edge in backing Gold Coast to cause a bit of an upset here.

A Titans upset has huge potential here, and the line of +8.5 is too hard to ignore, while we are estimating it to be a close scoring game the winning margin or H-2-H are not as good of an option compare to the line on this one, go the line in favour of the Titans and throw in a UNDER 49.5 for good value.

Suggested Betting Tip:

Titans +8.5 @ $1.90 with
Unibet

H-2-H Bet:

Titans @ $3.00 with
Unibet

Winning Margin Bet:

Titans 1-12 @ $4.10 with
Unibet

OVER/UNDER Bet:

UNDER 49.5 @ $1.90 with
Unibet

 Cowboys vs Titans SGM

Head-to-Head Stats

  • Average Points For Per Match: Titans by 1.7
  • Average Points Against Per Match: Cowboys by 0.7
  • Power Rank: Titans by 1
  • Average Winning Margin: Cowboys by 2
  • SoS Adjusted Points For: Titans by 2
  • Win Percentage: Cowboys by 17%
  • Average Opponent Rank: Titans by 2
  • Average Opponent Win Percentage: Cowboys by 16%
  • Average Opponent Points For: Titans by 2
  • Highest Score For: Even
  • Highest Score Against: Titans by 2
  • Highest Total Match Score: Titans by 10
  • Lowest Total Match Score: Titans by 8
  • Adjusted Points For: Titans by 2
  • Adjusted Points Against: Titans by 2
  • True Power Score (Weighted): Titans by 0.8
  • OVER/UNDER Tempo: 47.2
  • Game Style Prediction: Grinder

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