Cowboys vs Raiders Prediction & Betting Analysis Round 4

North Queensland Cowboys vs Canberra Raiders Predictions

Game 5 of Round 4 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership on March 29 features the Cowboys vs Raiders at Queensland Country Stadium on Saturday evening. Get the latest NRL betting tips predictions and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, & Foxtel. 🏉🔥

Saturday, March 29, 2025

4:30 pm @ Queensland Country Bank Stadium, Townsville

Final Score Prediction

Cowboys

17 : 28

Raiders

Win Percentages

Cowboys 40%

Raiders 60%

Cowboys

Raiders

Quick Insight

At the time of writing bet365 had the head to head for North Queensland Cowboys is set at $1.91, and $1.91 for the Canberra Raiders, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Cowboys 50.00%
Raiders 50.00%

Opportunity Bet

That’s a pretty clear difference, we reckon the Raiders have the upper hand here, and the bookies might be giving the Cowboys a bit too much respect.

If our numbers are on the money, the Raiders should actually be priced closer to $1.67, not the even $1.91 being offered. That gives us a nice edge if we’re backing Canberra to get the job done.

What to do?

The edge lies with the Raiders. With a stronger win probability than the market suggests, there’s definite value in jumping on them at $1.91.

Year on year the Cowboys seem to dominate the Raiders when playing at home, however this season the Cowboys have played a less than stellar few games so far, Raiders have the upper hand this week if they can get over the Northern Queensland heat.
Raiders +1.5 is not out of the question here as a safer more logical bet, a winning margin of 1-12 is not out of question here either.

Suggested Betting Tip:

Raiders +1.5 @ $1.91 with
bet365

H-2-H Bet:

Raiders @ $2.00 with
bet365

Line Bet:

Raiders -1.5 @ $1.91 with
bet365

OVER/UNDER Bet:

UNDER 48.5 @ $1.91 with
bet365

Cowboys vs Raiders SGM

Head-to-Head Stats

Average Points For Per Match: Cowboys: 13.3, Raiders: 24.7 – (Raiders by 11.4 points)
Average Points Against Per Match: Cowboys: 34.7, Raiders: 23.3 – (Raiders by 11.4 points)
Average Winning Margin: Cowboys: N/A, Raiders: 16.0 – (Raiders only with recorded wins)
Average Losing Margin: Cowboys: 21.3, Raiders: 28.0 – (Cowboys by 6.7 points)
HT/FT Double %: Cowboys: 0.0%, Raiders: 66.7% – (Raiders by 66.7%)
Highest Score For: Cowboys: 16, Raiders: 32 – (Raiders by 16 points)
Highest Score Against: Cowboys: 42, Raiders: 40 – (Raiders by 2 points)
Biggest Win: Cowboys: N/A, Raiders: 22 – (Raiders dominant)
Biggest Loss: Cowboys: 30, Raiders: 28 – (Raiders more resilient by 2 points)
Highest Total Match Score: Cowboys: 54, Raiders: 54 – (Even)
Lowest Total Match Score: Cowboys: 42, Raiders: 38 – (Raiders by 4 points)
Current Streak: Cowboys: L3, Raiders: L1 – (Raiders edge)
Current Form: Cowboys: LLL, Raiders: WWL – (Raiders strong form)
Choke % (Loss % After Leading HT): Cowboys: N/A, Raiders: 0.0% – (Raiders by 100%)
Reliability % (Win % After Leading HT): Cowboys: N/A, Raiders: 100.0% – (Raiders by 100%)
Comeback % (Win % After Trailing HT): Cowboys: 0.0%, Raiders: 0.0% – (Even)
Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Cowboys won by 38 points (42-4) on 17th August 2024