Bulldogs vs Knights Prediction & Betting Analysis Round 5

Canterbury Bulldogs vs Newcastle Knights Predictions

Game 8 of Round 5 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership on April 6 features the Bulldogs vs Knights at Accor Stadium on Sunday night. Get the latest NRL betting tips predictions and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, & Foxtel. 🏉🔥

Sunday, April 6, 2025

6:15 pm @ Accor Stadium, Sydney

Final Score Prediction

Bulldogs

25 : 12

Knights

Win Percentages

Bulldogs 65%

Knights 35%

Bulldogs

Knights

Quick Insight

At the time of writing bet365 had the head to head for Canterbury Bulldogs is set at $1.48, and $2.65 for the Newcastle Knights, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Bulldogs 64.15%
Knights 35.85%

Opportunity Bet

This one’s pretty spot on. The Bulldogs are favoured both by the market and by our own model, 64.15% from the bookies versus 65% from our end. Likewise, the Knights come in at 35% in our numbers, not far off their implied 35.85%.

With the Bulldogs priced at $1.48 and the Knights at $2.65, this market looks pretty well set. There’s no major misalignment, meaning the value is minimal, but if you’re backing the Doggies, you can feel confident the odds are fair based on their current form.

In summary: No clear edge here, both teams are priced about right. The Bulldogs are deserved favourites, and the market reflects that accurately. Might be one to enjoy as a punter without chasing value, or throw into a multi if you’re keen.

What to do?

The Bulldogs have a long list of reasons why they are coming into this game as the favourites, and while we could spend the next five minutes listing them all we will save you the drama and list the facts, these two teams love a big margin with all 5 of their past games resulting in a winning margin of 14+ points, and while the Knights are well rested after a bye last week, the Bulldogs have beaten some of the better teams already in the early days of this season.

Taking the Bulldogs at 13+ is a smart move this week.

Suggested Betting Tip:

Bulldogs 13+ @ $2.55 with
bet365

H-2-H Bet:

Bulldogs @ $1.58 with
bet365

Line Bet:

Bulldogs -6.5 @ $1.95 with
bet365

OVER/UNDER Bet:

UNDER 45.5 (NOT RECOMMENDED) @ $1.91 with
bet365

Bulldogs vs Knights SGM

Head-to-Head Stats

- Average Points For Per Match: Bulldogs: 26.0, Knights: 14.0 – (Bulldogs by 12.0 points)
- Average Points Against Per Match: Bulldogs: 14.5, Knights: 15.3 – (Bulldogs by 0.8 points)
- Average Winning Margin: Bulldogs: 11.5, Knights: 8.0 – (Bulldogs by 3.5 points)
- Average Losing Margin: Bulldogs: N/A, Knights: 20.0 – (Knights by 20.0 points)
- HT/FT Double %: Bulldogs: 100.0%, Knights: 33.3% – (Bulldogs by 66.7%)
- Highest Score For: Bulldogs: 40, Knights: 26 – (Bulldogs by 14 points)
- Highest Score Against: Bulldogs: 24, Knights: 26 – (Bulldogs more resilient by 2 points)
- Biggest Win: Bulldogs: 16, Knights: 14 – (Bulldogs by 2 points)
- Biggest Loss: Bulldogs: N/A, Knights: 20 – (Bulldogs by 20 points)
- Highest Total Match Score: Bulldogs: 64, Knights: 38 – (Bulldogs by 26 points)
- Lowest Total Match Score: Bulldogs: 24, Knights: 18 – (Bulldogs by 6 points)
- Current Streak: Bulldogs: W4, Knights: L1 – (Bulldogs momentum)
- Current Form: Bulldogs: WWWW, Knights: WWL – (Bulldogs edge)
- Choke % (Loss % After Leading HT): Bulldogs: 0.0%, Knights: 0.0% – (Even)
- Reliability % (Win % After Leading HT): Bulldogs: 100.0%, Knights: 100.0% – (Even)
- Comeback % (Win % After Trailing HT): Bulldogs: N/A, Knights: 50.0% – (Knights by 50%)
- Last 5 Encounters:
  - 31 May 2024 (R13): Bulldogs 32 def. Knights 2
  - 21 Apr 2024 (R7): Bulldogs 36 def. Knights 12
  - 13 Aug 2023 (R24): Knights 42 def. Bulldogs 6
  - 2 Jul 2023 (R18): Knights 66 def. Bulldogs 0
  - 31 Jul 2022 (R20): Bulldogs 24 def. Knights 10