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Broncos vs Bulldogs Prediction

Ben H 23 April 2025 Last Updated: 24/04/25

Brisbane Broncos vs Canterbury Bulldogs Predictions

Game 1 of Round 8 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership on April 24 features the Broncos vs Bulldogs at Suncorp Stadium on Thursday night. Get the latest NRL betting tips predictions and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, Foxtel, Nine, and Nine Now. 🏉🔥

Broncos vs Bulldogs

Thursday, April 24, 2025

7:50 pm @ Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Final Score Prediction

Brisbane Broncos Broncos

28 : 30

Bulldogs Canterbury Bulldogs

Win Percentages

Broncos 48.48%
Bulldogs 51.52%

 

Broncos
Bulldogs

Quick Insight

At the time of writing Unibet had the head to head for Brisbane Broncos is set at $2.65, and $1.48 for the Canterbury Bulldogs, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Broncos

35.83%
Bulldogs

64.17%

 

Opportunity Bet

The bookies are backing the Bulldogs hard, giving them a 64.17% chance to get the win. But our analysis sees it as a much closer matchup, with the Dogs only slightly ahead at 51.52%.

The real kicker? The Broncos. The market gives them just a 35.83% shot, but our numbers say they’re more likely to win than that, sitting at a healthy 48.48%.

That gap gives us a tidy little edge. According to our numbers, the Broncos should be closer to $2.06, but Unibet are offering $2.65. That’s some juicy value if our analysis is on the money.

In short, there’s value in backing the Broncos. The bookies are underrating them, and if our stats are on point, they’ve got a better chance than the odds suggest. At $2.65, a bet on Brisbane could pay off nicely.

Power Rankings Breakdown

Here’s how the teams line up across the key performance stats:

  • Overall Power Ranking: Broncos 4th vs Bulldogs 8th
  • Score Rank (Home vs Away): Broncos 2nd vs Bulldogs 13th
  • Balanced Power Score: Broncos 6th vs Bulldogs 17th
  • Points For (Home): Broncos 4th vs Bulldogs 9th
  • Points Against (Home): Broncos 10th vs Bulldogs 1st
  • Win % Rank (Home): Broncos 6th vs Bulldogs 1st
  • Total Power Rank Score: Broncos 5.33 vs Bulldogs 8.17

The Broncos hold stronger numbers in scoring and overall balance, especially at home. The Bulldogs have been elite in blocking and lead the league in win percentage on the road, but this game is much tighter than odds suggest.

What to do?

In short, there’s value in backing the Broncos. The bookies are underrating them, and if our stats are on point, they’ve got a better chance than the odds suggest. At $2.65, a bet on Brisbane could pay off nicely. Best option considering the score line suggests such a close game is going for the safer Broncos +4.5 line on this one, while it can seriously go either way the Broncos are noticably stronger into the total power ranking score which could easily lead to a Broncos win, but sticking with the +4.5 line is the safest and smartest bet.

Suggested Betting Tip:

Broncos +4.5 @ $1.90 with
Unibet

H-2-H Bet:

Bulldogs @ $1.48 with
Unibet

Winning Margin Bet:

Bulldogs 1-12 @ $2.80 with
Unibet

OVER/UNDER Bet:

UNDER 42.5 @ $1.90 with
Unibet

 Broncos vs Bulldogs SGM

Head-to-Head Stats

  • Average Points For Per Match: Broncos by 2.3
  • Average Points Against Per Match: Bulldogs by 11
  • Power Rank: Bulldogs by 1
  • Average Winning Margin: Broncos by 4
  • SoS Adjusted Points For: Broncos by 10
  • Win Percentage: Bulldogs by 43%
  • Average Opponent Rank: Bulldogs by 4
  • Average Opponent Win Percentage: Bulldogs by 22%
  • Average Opponent Points For: Bulldogs by 3
  • Highest Score For: Broncos by 10
  • Highest Score Against: Bulldogs by 8
  • Highest Total Match Score: Broncos by 6
  • Lowest Total Match Score: Bulldogs by 12
  • Adjusted Points For: Broncos by 10
  • Adjusted Points Against: Bulldogs by 13
  • True Power Score (Weighted): Bulldogs by 0.2
  • OVER/UNDER Tempo: 39.6
  • Game Style Prediction: Grinder

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