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NRL Betting Tips and Predictions – Round 3

Ben H 17 March 2025 Last Updated: 25/03/25

NRL Round 3

The 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership sets up for Round 3 starting on March 20 featuring last years grand finalists the Storm and the Panthers at AAMI Park on Thursday night. The action then jumps over to Auckland as the Warriors take on the Rabbitohs on Friday night, followed by a huge weekend of footy across Brisbane, Sydney, Redcliffe, and the Gold Coast. Get all the latest NRL betting tips and catch every game live on Kayo, Foxtel, Nine, & Nine Now. 🏉🔥

NRL Round 3 Tips and Predictions

Storm vs Panthers

Storm vs Panthers Predictions

Thursday, March 20, 2025

8:00 pm @ AAMI Park, Melbourne

Final Score Prediction

Melbourne Storm Storm

30 : 18

Panthers Penrith Panthers

Win Percentages

Storm 69%
Panthers 31%

 

Storm
Panthers

Quick Insight

At the time of writing bet365 had the head to head for Melbourne Storm is set at $1.30, and $3.60 for the Penrith Panthers, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Melbourne Storm

73.48%
Penrith Panthers

26.52%

 

Opportunity Bet

The bookmaker heavily favours Melbourne Storm with a 73.48% probability, but our analysis suggests their actual chances of winning are slightly lower at 69%. Meanwhile, the bookmaker undervalues the Panthers, giving them only a 26.52% chance, while our numbers put them at a more competitive 31%.

This creates a betting edge on the Panthers. Based on our probabilities, the true odds for Penrith should be around $3.23, but the bookmaker offers $3.60, providing a value opportunity. If our analysis is correct, backing the Panthers could be profitable in the long run since their actual probability of winning is higher than what the bookmaker suggests.

Final Takeaway

The edge in this game lies in the Panthers being undervalued. While Storm is still the stronger favourite, the discrepancy in implied odds presents a potential value bet on Penrith at $3.60.

Suggested Betting Tip:

Storm -8.5 @ $1.91 with
bet365

H-2-H Bet:

Storm @ $1.30 with
bet365

Line Bet:

Storm -8.5 @ $1.91 with
bet365

OVER/UNDER Bet:

UNDER 48.5 @ $1.91 with
bet365

 Storm vs Panthers SGM

Head-to-Head Stats

  • Average Points For Per Match: Storm: 56.0, Panthers: 30.0 – (Storm by 26.0 points)
  • Average Points Against Per Match: Storm: 18.0, Panthers: 30.0 – (Storm by 12.0 points)
  • Current Form: Storm: W, Panthers: WL – (Storm streak 1)
  • Average Winning Margin: Storm: 38.0, Panthers: 6.0 – (Storm by 32.0 points)
  • Average Losing Margin: Storm: N/A, Panthers: 6.0
  • HT/FT Double: Storm: 100.0%, Panthers: 50.0% – (Storm by 50.0%)
  • Highest Score For: Storm: 56, Panthers: 32 – (Storm by 24 points)
  • Highest Score Against: Storm: 18, Panthers: 38 – (Storm by 20 points)
  • Biggest Win: Storm: 38, Panthers: 6 – (Storm by 32 points)
  • Biggest Loss: Storm: N/A, Panthers: 6 – (Storm by 6 points)
  • Highest Total Match Score: Storm: 74, Panthers: 70 – (Storm by 4 points)
  • Lowest Total Match Score: Storm: 74, Panthers: 50 – (Storm by 24 points)
  • Choke % (Loss % After Leading at HT): Storm: 0.0%, Panthers: 0.0% – (Equal)
  • Reliability % (Win % After Leading at HT): Storm: 100.0%, Panthers: 100.0% – (Equal)
  • Comeback % (Win % After Trailing at HT): Storm: N/A, Panthers: N/A

Warriors vs Roosters

Warriors vs Roosters Predictions

Friday, March 21, 2025

6:00 pm @ Go Media Stadium, Auckland

Final Score Prediction

New Zealand Warriors Warriors

32 : 21

Roosters Sydney Roosters

Win Percentages

Warriors 58%
Roosters 42%

 

Warriors

Roosters

Quick Insight

At the time of writing bet365 had the head to head for New Zealand Warriors set at $1.91, and $1.91 for the Sydney Roosters, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Warriors

50.00%
Roosters

50.00%

 

Review

The Warriors and Roosters are both coming off massive wins and now face off at Go Media Stadium on Friday!

After a tough start in Vegas, the Warriors found their groove in style, demolishing Manly 36-16 at home. Luke Metcalf was electric in the No.7 jersey, leading his side to a dominant win. Meanwhile, the Roosters shocked the NRL world with a stunning 38-32 victory over the reigning premiers, marking the biggest upset since they were on the receiving end back in 2021!

Andrew Webster is backing the same 17 that dismantled Manly, showing faith in his squad to get the job done again. The Roosters, however, are reloading with big names—Spencer Leniu and Victor Radley return to the starting pack, while Lindsay Collins adds muscle off the bench.

History is on Sydney’s side, having won their last five encounters, but the Warriors are riding high at home.

Opportunity Bet

The bookmaker has both teams priced evenly at $1.91, implying a 50% chance for each. However, our analysis suggests the Warriors actually have a 58% chance of winning, making them a value bet.

If our prediction is accurate, the true odds for the Warriors should be around $1.72, meaning their current price of $1.91offers a solid betting opportunity.

In short, there’s an edge in backing the Warriors, as they have a higher winning probability than what the bookmaker’s odds suggest.

Suggested Betting Tip:

Warriors -1.5 @ $1.97 with
bet365

H-2-H Bet:

Warriors @ $2.80 with
bet365

Line Bet:

Warriors -1.5 @ $1.91 with
bet365

OVER/UNDER Bet:

UNDER 48.5 @ $1.91 with
bet365

 Warriors vs Roosters SGM

Head-to-Head Stats (Season 2025)

  • Average Points For Per Match: Warriors: 22.0, Roosters: 26.0 – (Roosters by 4.0 points)
  • Average Points Against Per Match: Warriors: 23.0, Roosters: 41.0 – (Warriors by 18.0 points)
  • Average Winning Margin: Warriors: 20.0, Roosters: 6.0 – (Warriors by 14.0 points)
  • Average Losing Margin: Warriors: 22.0, Roosters: 36.0 – (Warriors by 14.0 points)
  • HT/FT Double: Warriors: 50.0%, Roosters: 0.0% – (Warriors by 50%)
  • Highest Score For: Warriors: 36, Roosters: 38 – (Roosters by 2 points)
  • Highest Score Against: Warriors: 30, Roosters: 50 – (Warriors by 20 points)
  • Biggest Win: Warriors: 20, Roosters: 6 – (Warriors by 14 points)
  • Biggest Loss: Warriors: 22, Roosters: 36 – (Warriors by 14 points)
  • Highest Total Match Score: Warriors: 52, Roosters: 70 – (Roosters by 18 points)
  • Lowest Total Match Score: Warriors: 38, Roosters: 64 – (Roosters by 26 points)
  • Current Streak: Warriors: W1, Roosters: W1
  • Current Form: Warriors: LW, Roosters: LW
  • Choke % (Loss % After Leading At HT): Warriors: 0.0%, Roosters: N/A
  • Reliability % (Win % After Leading At HT): Warriors: 100.0%, Roosters: N/A
  • Comeback % (Win % After Trailing At HT): Warriors: 0.0%, Roosters: 0.0%

Broncos vs Cowboys

Broncos vs Cowboys Betting Tips
Friday, March 21, 2025

8:00 pm @ Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Final Score Prediction

Brisbane Broncos Broncos

36 : 12

Cowboys North Queensland Cowboys

Win Percentages

Broncos 75%
Cowboys 25%

 

Broncos

Cowboys

Quick Insight

At the time of writing bet365 had the head to head for Brisbane Broncos is set at $1.16, and $5.00 for the North Queensland Cowboys, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Broncos

81.19%
Cowboys

18.81%

 

Review

The Broncos and Cowboys reignite their fierce Queensland rivalry this Friday at Suncorp!

Brisbane made a statement in Round 1 but stumbled last week, while North Queensland is desperate for a turnaround after two tough losses. History is against the Cowboys—they’ve lost their last four clashes with the Broncos, all by double digits.

Michael Maguire is sticking with the same Broncos 17, showing faith in his squad. Meanwhile, the Cowboys welcome back some big names—Jeremiah Nanai returns, as does powerhouse Jason Taumalolo. Robert Derby takes over on the wing, and Jake Clifford gets the nod at halfback over Thomas Duffy.

The Broncos have had the upper hand, but with Taumalolo and Nanai back in action, but the Cowboys will be hungry to flip the script.

Opportunity Bet

The bookmaker is heavily favoring the Broncos at 81.19% probability, but our analysis suggests their true chance of winning is lower at 75%. On the flip side, the Cowboys are undervalued, with bookmakers giving them just 18.81%when our numbers suggest they have a 25% chance.

If our numbers are right, the Cowboys’ true odds should be closer to $4.00, while the bookmaker is offering them at $5.00—creating a potential value opportunity.

Final Take

While the Broncos are deserved favourites, there’s a slight edge in backing the Cowboys at $5.00, as their chances of winning are higher than what the bookmaker’s odds imply.

What to Do

Find confidence in a decent Broncos odds market, all bets are hugely favouring the Broncos and for good reason, they should be the winners in this game. On the nose at $1.16 however is not very fruitful.

Suggested Betting Tip:

Broncos 13+ @ $1.65 with
bet365

H-2-H Bet:

Broncos @ $1.16 with
bet365

Line Bet:

Broncos -16.5 @ $1.91 with
bet365

OVER/UNDER Bet:

UNDER 51.5 @ $1.91 with
bet365

 Broncos vs Cowboys SGM

Head-to-Head Stats

  • Average Points For Per Match: Broncos: 36.0, Cowboys: 12.0 – (Broncos by 24.0 points)
  • Average Points Against Per Match: Broncos: 23.0, Cowboys: 39.0 – (Broncos by 16.0 points)
  • Current Form: Broncos: WL, Cowboys: LL – (Broncos streak L1, Cowboys streak L2)
  • Average Winning Margin: Broncos: 36.0, Cowboys: N/A
  • Average Losing Margin: Broncos: 10.0, Cowboys: 27.0 – (Broncos by 17.0 points)
  • HT/FT Double: Broncos: 50.0%, Cowboys: 0.0% – (Broncos by 50.0%)
  • Highest Score For: Broncos: 50, Cowboys: 12 – (Broncos by 38 points)
  • Highest Score Against: Broncos: 32, Cowboys: 42 – (Broncos by 10 points)
  • Biggest Win: Broncos: 36, Cowboys: N/A
  • Biggest Loss: Broncos: 10, Cowboys: 30 – (Broncos by 20 points)
  • Highest Total Match Score: Broncos: 64, Cowboys: 54 – (Broncos by 10 points)
  • Lowest Total Match Score: Broncos: 54, Cowboys: 48 – (Broncos by 6 points)
  • Choke % (Loss % After Leading at HT): Broncos: 0.0%, Cowboys: N/A
  • Reliability % (Win % After Leading at HT): Broncos: 100.0%, Cowboys: N/A
  • Comeback % (Win % After Trailing at HT): Broncos: 0.0%, Cowboys: 0.0% – (Equal)

Sharks vs Rabbitohs

Sharks vs Rabbitohs Betting Tips

Saturday, March 2, 2025

3:00 pm @ Sharks Stadium, Sydney

Final Score Prediction

Cronulla Sharks Sharks

28 : 17

Rabbitohs South Sydney Rabbitohs

Win Percentages

Sharks 59%
Rabbitohs 41%

 

Sharks

Rabbitohs

Quick Insight

At the time of writing bet365 had the head to head for Cronulla Sharks is set at $1.20, and $4.60 for the South Sydney Rabbitohs, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Sharks

79.32%
Rabbitohs

20.68%

 

Review

The Rabbitohs are chasing a 3-0 start for the first time since 2019, but their biggest challenge yet awaits—the Sharks at home!

Souths have scraped past two non-finals teams, but a trip to Sharks Stadium will be a real test. Last week, young gun Jamie Humphreys sealed a comeback win over the Dragons with a clutch field goal. Meanwhile, the Sharks bounced back from their Vegas loss in style, cruising past the Cowboys 36-12.

Cronulla is sticking with the same 17 as they build momentum, while Souths get a major boost with Jack Wighton back from suspension, replacing Bayleigh Bentley-Hape. However, Lachlan Hubner is out for two games, with Liam Le Blanc stepping onto the bench.

History favours the Sharks—they’ve won their last three against Souths—but Wayne Bennett’s men will be eager to prove they’re the real deal.

Opportunity Bet

The bookmaker has heavily overrated the Sharks, giving them a 79.32% chance of winning, while our analysis suggests they’re only 59% likely to win. Meanwhile, the Rabbitohs are undervalued, with bookmakers setting their chances at 20.68%, while our data suggests they actually have a 41% chance.

If our analysis is correct, the Rabbitohs’ true odds should be around $2.44, yet the bookmaker is offering $4.60—creating a significant value opportunity for those backing South Sydney.

Final Take

While the Sharks should be favourites, the Rabbitohs offer serious value at $4.60, given their much higher winning probability than the bookmaker suggests.

Suggested Betting Tip:

Sharks 1-12 @ $1.83 with
bet365

H-2-H Bet:

Sharks @ $1.83 with
bet365

Line Bet:

Rabbitohs +14.5 @ $1.91 with
bet365

OVER/UNDER Bet:

UNDER 48.5 @ $1.91 with
bet365

 Sharks vs Rabbitohs SGM

Head-to-Head Stats

  • Average Points For Per Match: Sharks: 29.0, Rabbitohs: 20.5 – (Sharks by 8.5 points)
  • Average Points Against Per Match: Sharks: 20.0, Rabbitohs: 19.0 – (Rabbitohs by 1.0 point)
  • Current Form: Sharks: LW, Rabbitohs: WW – (Rabbitohs streak W2, Sharks streak W1)
  • Average Winning Margin: Sharks: 24.0, Rabbitohs: 1.5 – (Sharks by 22.5 points)
  • Average Losing Margin: Sharks: 6.0, Rabbitohs: N/A
  • HT/FT Double: Sharks: 50.0%, Rabbitohs: 50.0% – (Equal)
  • Highest Score For: Sharks: 36, Rabbitohs: 25 – (Sharks by 11 points)
  • Highest Score Against: Sharks: 28, Rabbitohs: 24 – (Sharks by 4 points)
  • Biggest Win: Sharks: 24, Rabbitohs: 2 – (Sharks by 22 points)
  • Biggest Loss: Sharks: 6, Rabbitohs: N/A
  • Highest Total Match Score: Sharks: 50, Rabbitohs: 49 – (Sharks by 1 point)
  • Lowest Total Match Score: Sharks: 48, Rabbitohs: 30 – (Sharks by 18 points)
  • Choke % (Loss % After Leading at HT): Sharks: 0.0%, Rabbitohs: 0.0% – (Equal)
  • Reliability % (Win % After Leading at HT): Sharks: 100.0%, Rabbitohs: 100.0% – (Equal)
  • Comeback % (Win % After Trailing at HT): Sharks: 0.0%, Rabbitohs: 100.0% – (Rabbitohs by 100%)

Dolphins vs Wests Tigers

Dolphins vs Wests Tigers Betting Tips

Saturday, March 22, 2025

5:30 pm @ Kayo Stadium, Redcliffe

Final Score Prediction

Redcliffe Dolphins Dolphins

17 : 12

Wests Tigers Wests Tigers

Win Percentages

Dolphins 61%
Wests Tigers 39%

 

Dolphins

Tigers

Quick Insight

At the time of writing bet365 had the head to head for Dolphins is set at $1.91, and $1.91 for the Wests Tigers, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Dolphins

50.00%
Wests Tigers

50.00%

 

Review

The new-look Tigers are out to break their interstate struggles as they take on the Dolphins at Kayo Stadium!

Fresh off a dominant 32-6 win over the Eels, the Tigers are finally delivering on their preseason promise. Sunia Turuva starred with a hat-trick, and confidence is growing. But can they back it up on the road?

The Dolphins are returning home after an 0-2 start—the worst in their short history. However, they’ve been strong at Kayo Stadium, winning four of six games there. They also have history on their side, beating the Tigers twice last year by double-digit margins.

Both teams stick with their 17, though the Dolphins could call on Jack Bostock and Kulikefu Finefeuiaki from the reserves. Meanwhile, the Tigers will be closely monitoring Jahream Bula’s foot injury.

Opportunity Bet

The bookmaker has priced this as a 50/50 matchup, but our analysis suggests the Dolphins have a clear edge with a 61% chance of winning. That means their current odds of $1.91 offer solid value, as their true odds should be around $1.64.

Final Take

With the Dolphins undervalued by the bookmaker, there’s a strong betting edge backing them at $1.91, as their actual probability of winning is much higher than implied!

Suggested Betting Tip:

Dolphins 1-12 @ $3.25 with
bet365

H-2-H Bet:

Dolphins @ $1.91 with
bet365

Line Bet:

Dolphins -1.5 @ $1.97 with
bet365

OVER/UNDER Bet:

UNDER 46.5 @ $1.91 with
bet365

 Dolphins vs Tigers SGM

Head-to-Head Stats

  • Average Points For Per Match: Dolphins: 13.0, Wests Tigers: 20.0 – (Wests Tigers by 7.0 points)
  • Average Points Against Per Match: Dolphins: 21.0, Wests Tigers: 8.0 – (Wests Tigers by 13.0 points)
  • Current Form: Dolphins: LL, Wests Tigers: LW – (Dolphins streak L2, Wests Tigers streak W1)
  • Average Winning Margin: Dolphins: N/A, Wests Tigers: 26.0
  • Average Losing Margin: Dolphins: 8.0, Wests Tigers: 2.0 – (Dolphins by 6.0 points)
  • HT/FT Double: Dolphins: 0.0%, Wests Tigers: 50.0% – (Wests Tigers by 50.0%)
  • Highest Score For: Dolphins: 14, Wests Tigers: 32 – (Wests Tigers by 18 points)
  • Highest Score Against: Dolphins: 26, Wests Tigers: 10 – (Dolphins by 16 points)
  • Biggest Win: Dolphins: N/A, Wests Tigers: 26
  • Biggest Loss: Dolphins: 14, Wests Tigers: 2 – (Dolphins by 12 points)
  • Highest Total Match Score: Dolphins: 38, Wests Tigers: 38 – (Equal)
  • Lowest Total Match Score: Dolphins: 30, Wests Tigers: 18 – (Dolphins by 12 points)
  • Choke % (Loss % After Leading at HT): Dolphins: N/A, Wests Tigers: 50.0%
  • Reliability % (Win % After Leading at HT): Dolphins: N/A, Wests Tigers: 50.0%
  • Comeback % (Win % After Trailing at HT): Dolphins: 0.0%, Wests Tigers: N/A

Titans vs Knights

Titans vs Knights Betting Tips

Saturday, March 22, 2025

7:35 pm @ Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast

Final Score Prediction

Newcastle Knights Knights

28 : 21

Titans Gold Coast Titans

Win Percentages

Knights 58%
Titans 42%

 

Titans

Knights

Quick Insight

At the time of writing bet365 had the head to head for Gold Coast Titans is set at $1.91, and $1.91 for the Newcastle Knights, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Titans

50.00%
Knights

50.00%

 

Review

The Knights are flying high at 2-0 and chasing their best start since 2015, but can they break their Gold Coast curse this Saturday?

Newcastle has been in top form, led by Kalyn Ponga, who’s racked up a perfect 12 Dally M votes in two games. But while they’ve looked spot on, their real test comes against a Titans side that has beaten them seven straight times at Cbus Super Stadium.

Gold Coast struggled in their season opener, conceding 40 points to the Bulldogs, but they’ll be eager to bounce back at home. The Titans make a key change, with youngster Tony Francis replacing Alofiana Khan-Pereira on the wing, while Iszac Fa’asuamaleaui steps in for the injured Jaimin Jolliffe.

Newcastle will be without Leo Thompson (injured) and Kai Pearce-Paul (suspended), with Adam Elliott promoted to the starting 13 and Brodie Jones coming onto the bench.

Opportunity Bet

The bookmaker has priced this as an even contest, but our analysis suggests the Knights have the upper hand, with a 58% chance of winning. That means their current odds of $1.91 offer good value, as their true odds should be closer to $1.72.

Final Take

With the Knights undervalued, there’s a clear betting edge backing them at $1.91, as their actual winning probability is higher than what the bookmaker suggests.

Suggested Betting Tip:

Titans 1-12 @ $3.40 with
bet365

H-2-H Bet:

Titans @ $1.91 with
bet365

Line Bet:

Titans -1.5 @ $1.97 with
bet365

OVER/UNDER Bet:

UNDER 50.5 @ $1.91 with
bet365

 Titans vs Knights SGM

Head-to-Head Stats

  • Average Points For Per Match: Titans: 24.0, Knights: 18.0 – (Titans by 6.0 points)
  • Average Points Against Per Match: Titans: 40.0, Knights: 10.0 – (Knights by 30.0 points)
  • Current Form: Titans: L, Knights: WW – (Knights streak W2, Titans streak L1)
  • Average Winning Margin: Titans: N/A, Knights: 8.0
  • Average Losing Margin: Titans: 16.0, Knights: N/A
  • HT/FT Double: Titans: 0.0%, Knights: 50.0% – (Knights by 50.0%)
  • Highest Score For: Titans: 24, Knights: 26 – (Knights by 2 points)
  • Highest Score Against: Titans: 40, Knights: 12 – (Titans by 28 points)
  • Biggest Win: Titans: N/A, Knights: 14
  • Biggest Loss: Titans: 16, Knights: N/A
  • Highest Total Match Score: Titans: 64, Knights: 38 – (Titans by 26 points)
  • Lowest Total Match Score: Titans: 64, Knights: 18 – (Titans by 46 points)
  • Choke % (Loss % After Leading at HT): Titans: N/A, Knights: 0.0%
  • Reliability % (Win % After Leading at HT): Titans: N/A, Knights: 100.0%
  • Comeback % (Win % After Trailing at HT): Titans: 0.0%, Knights: 100.0% – (Knights by 100%)

Eels vs Bulldogs

Eels vs Bulldogs Betting Tips

Sunday, March 23, 2025

4:05 pm @ Commbank Stadium, Sydney

Final Score Prediction

Parramatta Eels Eels

19 : 26

Bulldogs Canterbury Bulldogs

Win Percentages

Eels 32%
Bulldogs 68%

 

Bulldogs

Quick Insight

At the time of writing bet365 had the head to head for Parramatta Eels is set at $2.75, and $1.45 for the Canterbury Bulldogs, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Eels

35.54%
Bulldogs

65.46%

 

Review

Parramatta has dominated recent matchups, winning four of the last five (only losing the most recent game), but their current form is a disaster. They’ve conceded 88 points in two games and sit bottom of the ladder. A massive response is needed.

Meanwhile, Canterbury has been electric in attack but faces a big challenge without key playmakers Matt Burton and Viliame Kikau, both sidelined with knee injuries. Bailey Hayward makes his first NRL start at five-eighth, and Sitili Tupouniua joins the pack, with Kurt Morrin and Daniel Suluka-Fifita added to the bench.

The Eels have made a big call, axing Ronald Volkman for club debutant Dean Hawkins, while ex-Bulldog Josh Addo-Carr is in the reserves after serving his suspension.

Opportunity Bet

The bookmaker gives the Bulldogs a 65.46% chance of winning, but our analysis suggests they’re actually even stronger at 68%. While it’s a small difference, it does indicate that their odds of $1.45 are pretty close to fair value.

On the other hand, the Eels are slightly overvalued, with bookmakers giving them 35.54%, while our data suggests they only have a 32% chance of winning.

Final Take

There’s no major betting edge in this matchup, as the Bulldogs’ odds are fairly accurate. However, if you were leaning towards the Bulldogs, our numbers reinforce that they’re the right side to back.

Suggested Betting Tip:

Bulldogs 1-12 @ $3.25 with
bet365

H-2-H Bet:

Bulldogs @ $1.45 with
bet365

Line Bet:

Eels +8.5 @ $1.91 with
bet365

OVER/UNDER Bet:

UNDER 46.5 @ $1.91 with
bet365

 Eels vs Bulldogs SGM

Head-to-Head Stats

  • Average Points For Per Match: Eels: 12.0, Bulldogs: 34.0 – (Bulldogs by 22.0 points)
  • Average Points Against Per Match: Eels: 44.0, Bulldogs: 22.0 – (Bulldogs by 22.0 points)
  • Current Form: Eels: LL, Bulldogs: WW – (Bulldogs streak W2, Eels streak L2)
  • Average Winning Margin: Eels: N/A, Bulldogs: 12.0
  • Average Losing Margin: Eels: 32.0, Bulldogs: N/A
  • HT/FT Double: Eels: 0.0%, Bulldogs: 100.0% – (Bulldogs by 100.0%)
  • Highest Score For: Eels: 18, Bulldogs: 40 – (Bulldogs by 22 points)
  • Highest Score Against: Eels: 56, Bulldogs: 24 – (Eels by 32 points)
  • Biggest Win: Eels: N/A, Bulldogs: 16
  • Biggest Loss: Eels: 38, Bulldogs: N/A
  • Highest Total Match Score: Eels: 74, Bulldogs: 64 – (Eels by 10 points)
  • Lowest Total Match Score: Eels: 38, Bulldogs: 48 – (Bulldogs by 10 points)
  • Choke % (Loss % After Leading at HT): Eels: N/A, Bulldogs: 0.0%
  • Reliability % (Win % After Leading at HT): Eels: N/A, Bulldogs: 100.0%
  • Comeback % (Win % After Trailing at HT): Eels: 0.0%, Bulldogs: N/A

Sea Eagles vs Raiders

Sea Eagles vs Raiders Betting Tips

Sunday, March 23, 2025

6:15 pm @ 4 Pines Park, Sydney

Final Score Prediction

Manly Sea Eagles Sea Eagles

24 : 27

Raiders Canberra Raiders

Win Percentages

Sea Eagles 44%
Raiders 56%

 

Sea Eagles
Raiders

Quick Insight

At the time of writing bet365 had the head to head for Manly Sea Eagles is set at $1.54, and $2.50 for the Canberra Raiders, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Sea Eagles

61.91%
Raiders

38.09%

 

Review

The Raiders are flying high at 2-0, but can they pull off another upset when they visit the Sea Eagles at 4 Pines Park this Sunday?

Canberra has been the surprise of the season, sitting second on the ladder after stunning wins, including a huge upset over the Broncos last week. Meanwhile, Manly is coming off a disappointing 36-16 loss to the Warriors, plagued by 12 errors and defensive lapses.

Adding to Manly’s concerns, Tom Trbojevic is out with hamstring tightness, while Daly Cherry-Evans is expected to play through injury. However, the Sea Eagles do get reinforcements, with Tolutau Koula and Siosiua Taukeiaho returning to the side.

The Raiders, one of just two teams to beat Manly at home last season, welcome Xavier Savage back from suspension, replacing Albert Hopoate. Morgan Smithies steps up for the injured Zac Hosking.

Opportunity Bet

The bookmaker has the Sea Eagles as clear favourites at 61.91%, but our analysis suggests they’re overrated, with only a 44% chance of winning. On the flip side, the Raiders are massively undervalued, with bookmakers giving them just a 38.09% chance, while our numbers say they should be favoured at 56%.

If our analysis is correct, the Raiders’ true odds should be around $1.79, yet they’re being offered at $2.50, making them a huge value bet.

Final Take

There’s a strong betting edge on the Raiders at $2.50, as their chances of winning are significantly higher than the bookmaker suggests. This could be a prime underdog value play!

Suggested Betting Tip:

Raiders 1-12 @ $3.75 with
bet365

H-2-H Bet:

Raiders @ $1.44 with
bet365

Line Bet:

Sea Eagles -5.5 @ $1.91 with
bet365

OVER/UNDER Bet:

OVER 49.5 @ $1.91 with
bet365

 Sea Eagles vs Raiders SGM

Head-to-Head Stats

  • Average Points For Per Match: Sea Eagles: 29.0, Raiders: 31.0 – (Raiders by 2.0 points)
  • Average Points Against Per Match: Sea Eagles: 24.0, Raiders: 15.0 – (Raiders by 9.0 points)
  • Current Form: Sea Eagles: WL, Raiders: WW – (Raiders streak W2, Sea Eagles streak L1)
  • Average Winning Margin: Sea Eagles: 30.0, Raiders: 16.0 – (Sea Eagles by 14.0 points)
  • Average Losing Margin: Sea Eagles: 20.0, Raiders: N/A
  • HT/FT Double: Sea Eagles: 50.0%, Raiders: 100.0% – (Raiders by 50.0%)
  • Highest Score For: Sea Eagles: 42, Raiders: 32 – (Sea Eagles by 10 points)
  • Highest Score Against: Sea Eagles: 36, Raiders: 22 – (Sea Eagles by 14 points)
  • Biggest Win: Sea Eagles: 30, Raiders: 22 – (Sea Eagles by 8 points)
  • Biggest Loss: Sea Eagles: 20, Raiders: N/A
  • Highest Total Match Score: Sea Eagles: 54, Raiders: 54 – (Equal)
  • Lowest Total Match Score: Sea Eagles: 52, Raiders: 38 – (Sea Eagles by 14 points)
  • Choke % (Loss % After Leading at HT): Sea Eagles: 0.0%, Raiders: 0.0% – (Equal)
  • Reliability % (Win % After Leading at HT): Sea Eagles: 100.0%, Raiders: 100.0% – (Equal)
  • Comeback % (Win % After Trailing at HT): Sea Eagles: 0.0%, Raiders: N/A

Check out all this weeks NRL Multi tips on our Multi Bets Page.

 

Multi Bet Tips

 

2025 NRL Telstra Premiership – Round 3 Schedule

Storm vs Panthers

  • Thursday, March 20, 2025
  • 8:00 pm @ AAMI Park, Melbourne

Warriors vs Roosters

  • Friday, March 21, 2025
  • 6:00 pm @ Go Media Stadium, Auckland

Broncos vs Cowboys

  • Friday, March 21, 2025
  • 8:00 pm @ Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Sharks vs Rabbitohs

  • Saturday, March 22, 2025
  • 3:00 pm @ Sharks Stadium, Sydney

Dolphins vs Wests Tigers

  • Saturday, March 22, 2025
  • 5:30 pm @ Kayo Stadium, Redcliffe

Titans vs Knights

  • Saturday, March 22, 2025
  • 7:35 pm @ Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast

Eels vs Bulldogs

  • Sunday, March 23, 2025
  • 4:05 pm @ CommBank Stadium, Sydney

Sea Eagles vs Raiders

  • Sunday, March 23, 2025
  • 6:15 pm @ 4 Pines Park, Sydney

NRL Draw

Check the NRL Draw for upcoming NRL matches this season.

NRL Injury List

Keep up-to-date with your team’s injuries this week with our NRL injury list.

Other Betting Tips

We don’t just do NRL tips; our experts also specialise in AFL betting and horse racing tips.

All NRL Tips

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