NRL Footy Tips Round 14
Dragons vs Wests Tigers
Friday, June 7, 2024
8:00 PM @ WIN Stadium, Wollongong
This Friday night at WIN Stadium, the Dragons are set to face the Wests Tigers.
The Tigers are in dire straits, having lost their last eight matches, while the Dragons are more of a mixed bag, showing glimpses of brilliance amidst some shockers.
Head-to-Head Stats:
- Average Points For Per Match: Dragons: 18.8, Tigers: 15.7
- Average Points Against Per Match: Dragons: 25.2, Tigers: 24.4
- Current Form: Dragons: LLWLW, Tigers: LLLLL
- Current Streak: Dragons: W1, Tigers: L8
- Completion Rate: Dragons: 78%, Tigers: 81%
- Tackle Efficiency: Dragons: 88.7%, Tigers: 87.6%
- Wins This Season: Dragons: 6/12 (50%), Tigers: 2/11 (18%)
- Points Scored This Season: Dragons: 226, Tigers: 173
- Points Conceded This Season: Dragons: 302, Tigers: 268
Outcome Prediction:
- Final Scores: Dragons: 23, Tigers: 20
- Win Percentages: Dragons: 51.9%, Tigers: 48.1%
St. George Illawarra has a slight edge here, especially considering the Tigers’ knack for close but no cigar. The last five encounters have been tighter than a drum, with margins often within a converted try. Key players like Ben Hunt for the Dragons and Luke Brooks for the Tigers will be crucial in determining the first try scorer.
Offensively, the Dragons average 18.8 points per game to the Tigers’ 15.7, but both teams’ defences are leakier than a colander, allowing over 24 points per game each. Expect a nail-biter with the Dragons just edging out, 23-20.
Final Score Prediction: Dragons 23 – 20
Titans vs Rabbitohs
Saturday, June 8, 2024
3:00 PM @ Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast
This Saturday arvo at Cbus Super Stadium, it’s the Titans against the Rabbitohs.
The Titans have been on a bit of a rollercoaster, winning some tight ones but still letting points slip through like water through a rusty bucket. The Rabbitohs, meanwhile, have been on the receiving end of some shellackings and are yet to find their mojo on the road.
Head-to-Head Stats:
- Average Points For Per Match: Titans: 19.7, Rabbitohs: 18.5
- Average Points Against Per Match: Titans: 27.8, Rabbitohs: 34.0
- Current Form: Titans: WLWLW, Rabbitohs: LLLLW
- Current Streak: Titans: W1, Rabbitohs: W1
- Completion Rate: Titans: 83%, Rabbitohs: 77%
- Tackle Efficiency: Titans: 87.5%, Rabbitohs: 86.7%
- Wins This Season: Titans: 3/11 (27%), Rabbitohs: 2/11 (18%)
- Points Scored This Season: Titans: 217, Rabbitohs: 204
- Points Conceded This Season: Titans: 306, Rabbitohs: 374
Outcome Prediction:
- Final Scores: Titans: 26, Rabbitohs: 24
- Win Percentages: Titans: 53.5%, Rabbitohs: 46.5%
Historically, the Rabbitohs have had the upper hand, but recent form suggests a shift. The Titans have covered the line in their last eight matches, while the Rabbitohs have lost their last six away games.
Expect high-scoring, close quarters with both teams having more leaks than an old tap – the Titans averaging 27.8 points conceded per game to the Rabbitohs’ 34.
Final Score Prediction: Titans 26-24
Cowboys vs Warriors
Saturday, June 8, 2024
5:30 PM @ Queensland Country Bank Stadium, Townsville
This Saturday at Queensland Country Bank Stadium, the Cowboys and the Warriors are set to bump uglies.
The Cowboys have been on a bit of a hot streak, winning their last three games, while the Warriors are finding their feet with back-to-back wins.
Head-to-Head Stats:
- Average Points For Per Match: Cowboys: 25.8, Warriors: 20.0
- Average Points Against Per Match: Cowboys: 25.5, Warriors: 20.3
- Current Form: Cowboys: LLWWW, Warriors: LLLWW
- Current Streak: Cowboys: W3, Warriors: W2
- Completion Rate: Cowboys: 76%, Warriors: 82%
- Tackle Efficiency: Cowboys: 87.8%, Warriors: 88.3%
- Wins This Season: Cowboys: 7/13 (54%), Warriors: 5/12 (42%)
- Points Scored This Season: Cowboys: 335, Warriors: 240
- Points Conceded This Season: Cowboys: 331, Warriors: 243
Outcome Prediction:
- Final Scores: Cowboys: 31, Warriors: 25
- Win Percentages: Cowboys: 50.3%, Warriors: 49.7%
The Cowboys have the slight edge, scoring an average of 25.8 points per game to the Warriors’ 20.0. But defensively, both teams are letting just as many through as they are putting away, with the Cowboys conceding 25.5 points per game and the Warriors 20.3.
Both teams will be looking to break out the blocks early on, but the Cowboys’ home ground advantage and recent form should see them edge out the Warriors.
Final Score Prediction: Cowboys 31-25
Broncos vs Sharks
Saturday, June 8, 2024
7:35 PM @ Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
This Saturday night at Suncorp Stadium, the Broncos and Sharks are set to lock horns in a showdown that promises more fireworks than New Year’s Eve. The Broncos, fresh off a nail-biting loss to the Titans, are keen to bounce back. Historically, Brisbane has had the upper hand, winning nine of their last eleven clashes against Cronulla.
Head-to-Head Stats:
- Average Points For Per Match: Broncos: 25.9, Sharks: 25.3
- Average Points Against Per Match: Broncos: 21.2, Sharks: 19.5
- Current Form: Broncos: WLWWL, Sharks: WWWLL
- Current Streak: Broncos: L1, Sharks: L2
- Completion Rate: Broncos: 75%, Sharks: 81%
- Tackle Efficiency: Broncos: 87%, Sharks: 87.2%
- Wins This Season: Broncos: 7/12 (58%), Sharks: 9/12 (75%)
- Points Scored This Season: Broncos: 311, Sharks: 304
- Points Conceded This Season: Broncos: 254, Sharks: 234
Outcome Prediction:
- Final Scores: Broncos: 26, Sharks: 31
- Win Percentages: Broncos: 49.3%, Sharks: 50.7%
Form-wise, both teams have been like a rollercoaster at Luna Park – up one minute, down the next. The Sharks have lost their last two but have been super strong overall this season, sitting at a 75% win rate. The Broncos aren’t far behind with a 58% win rate, averaging 25.9 points per game to the Sharks’ 25.3.
With both teams scoring and conceding points like there’s no tomorrow, expect a tight tussle. This one’s as close as it gets, but the home advantage might just tip it.
Final Score Prediction: Sharks 31-26
Storm vs Knights
Sunday, June 9, 2024
2:00 PM @ AAMI Park, Melbourne
This Sunday at AAMI Park, the Storm are set to rumble with the Knights.
The Storm have been a force at home, winning 14 of their last 15 matches at AAMI Park. Despite a recent wobble against the Sea Eagles, they’re still in solid form.
The Knights, on the other hand, have been scrappy underdogs, covering the line in eight of their last ten matches as outsiders. They’ve also managed to pull off some tight wins recently, but a trip to Melbourne is a different beast.
Head-to-Head Stats:
- Average Points For Per Match: Storm: 25.5, Knights: 16.8
- Average Points Against Per Match: Storm: 18.6, Knights: 20.1
- Current Form: Storm: WWLWL, Knights: WWWWL
- Current Streak: Storm: L1, Knights: L1
- Completion Rate: Storm: 78%, Knights: 79%
- Tackle Efficiency: Storm: 87.4%, Knights: 89.4%
- Wins This Season: Storm: 8/11 (73%), Knights: 6/12 (50%)
- Points Scored This Season: Storm: 280, Knights: 202
- Points Conceded This Season: Storm: 205, Knights: 241
Outcome Prediction:
- Final Scores: Storm: 42, Knights: 10
- Win Percentages: Storm: 56.1%, Knights: 43.9%
Historically, the Storm have dominated this fixture, and with an average of 25.5 points per game compared to the Knights’ 16.8, it’s no surprise they’re the favourites.
Expect the Storm to ride the lightning, winning 42-10, but the Knights won’t go down without a fight (let’s just hope they don’t have their metal plating on as they will get electrified).
Final Score Prediction: Storm 42-10
Panthers vs Sea Eagles
Sunday, June 9, 2024
4:05 PM @ BlueBet Stadium, Penrith
This Sunday arvo at BlueBet Stadium, the Panthers and Sea Eagles are set to clash in a match.
The Panthers have been a fortress at home, covering the line in their last nine matches following a loss. Historically, they’ve had Manly’s number, winning eight of their last nine encounters.
Head-to-Head Stats:
- Average Points For Per Match: Panthers: 23.2, Sea Eagles: 24.9
- Average Points Against Per Match: Panthers: 14.8, Sea Eagles: 21.9
- Current Form: Panthers: WWLWL, Sea Eagles: WLLLW
- Current Streak: Panthers: L1, Sea Eagles: W1
- Completion Rate: Panthers: 79%, Sea Eagles: 77%
- Tackle Efficiency: Panthers: 87.3%, Sea Eagles: 86.2%
- Wins This Season: Panthers: 8/12 (67%), Sea Eagles: 6/12 (50%)
- Points Scored This Season: Panthers: 278, Sea Eagles: 299
- Points Conceded This Season: Panthers: 178, Sea Eagles: 263
Outcome Prediction:
- Final Scores: Panthers: 29, Sea Eagles: 28
- Win Percentages: Panthers: 53.9%, Sea Eagles: 46.1%
Penrith’s recent form has been a bit wobbly, but they’re still averaging a solid 23.2 points per game while keeping their defence more solid than a brick wall at just 14.8 points conceded. The Sea Eagles, on the other hand, have been a mixed bag, scoring 24.9 points per game but leaking 21.9 points.
Both teams will be trading blows like a couple of heavyweight boxers. Despite the Panthers’ strong home record, Manly’s offence is going to keep them close.
Final Score Prediction: Panthers 29-28
Bulldogs vs Eels
Monday, June 10, 2024
4:00 PM @ Accor Stadium, Sydney
This Monday arvo at Accor Stadium, the Bulldogs take on the Eels.
The Bulldogs have been barking up the right tree lately, winning their last two matches and boasting a tidy defensive record. The Eels, meanwhile, have been floundering like a fish out of water with four losses in their last five games.
Head-to-Head Stats:
- Average Points For Per Match: Bulldogs: 22.5, Eels: 20.6
- Average Points Against Per Match: Bulldogs: 16.1, Eels: 29.5
- Current Form: Bulldogs: WLLWW, Eels: LLLLW
- Current Streak: Bulldogs: W2, Eels: W1
- Completion Rate: Bulldogs: 78%, Eels: 76%
- Tackle Efficiency: Bulldogs: 86.3%, Eels: 87.3%
- Wins This Season: Bulldogs: 6/12 (50%), Eels: 4/12 (33%)
- Points Scored This Season: Bulldogs: 270, Eels: 247
- Points Conceded This Season: Bulldogs: 193, Eels: 354
Outcome Prediction:
- Final Scores: Bulldogs: 29, Eels: 24
- Win Percentages: Bulldogs: 58.4%, Eels: 41.6%
Historically, Parramatta has the edge, winning eight of the last nine clashes against Canterbury. But current form favours the Bulldogs, who are averaging 22.5 points per game and conceding just 16.1, compared to the Eels’ 20.6 points scored and a woeful 29.5 points allowed.
Expect this one to be as close as the cream on an Oreo biscuit, but the Bulldogs’ tighter defence and recent form should see them sneak home.
Final Score Prediction: Bulldogs 29-24
Byes:
- Redcliffe Dolphins
- Canberra Raiders
- Sydney Roosters
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