AFL Round 5 Tips
5Melbourne | Image | Team | Predicted Score | Win Chance | Actual Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5Western Bulldogs | Melbourne | 90 | 74.04% | ||
5GW Sydney | Brisbane Lions | 68 | 24.98% | ||
5Carlton | |||||
5Gold Coast | Image | Team | Predicted Score | Win Chance | Actual Score |
5Port Adelaide | Western Bulldogs | 91 | 69.73% | ||
5Geelong | Essendon | 73 | 29.38% | ||
5West Coast | |||||
Image | Team | Predicted Score | Win Chance | Actual Score | |
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after pasting | Image | Team | Predicted Score | Win Chance | Actual Score |
game keys above | Carlton | 92 | 74.16% | ||
Adelaide | 70 | 24.84% | |||
Image | Team | Predicted Score | Win Chance | Actual Score | |
Gold Coast | 88 | 70.36% | |||
Hawthorn | 70 | 28.49% | |||
Image | Team | Predicted Score | Win Chance | Actual Score | |
Port Adelaide | 90 | 71.72% | |||
Fremantle | 70 | 27.32% | |||
Image | Team | Predicted Score | Win Chance | Actual Score | |
Geelong | 109 | 85.63% | |||
Kangaroos | 70 | 13.75% | |||
Image | Team | Predicted Score | Win Chance | Actual Score | |
West Coast | 79 | 34.52% | |||
Richmond | 94 | 64.28% |
Demons vs Lions
Thursday, April 11, 2024
7:30 PM @ MCG
Back at the MCG after last year’s heartbreak, Brisbane faces Melbourne in a highly anticipated Thursday night clash.
After demolishing North Melbourne, the Lions, led by a stellar Joe Daniher, aim to conquer their MCG curse, where they’ve won only once in 16 attempts.
Melbourne, flawless at the ‘G’ in 2024, is powered by Petracca’s obvious skills.
History hints at a close battle, but with both teams showing fierce form, this game promises to be electrifying.
Betting Tip: Melbourne Demons
Suggested Bet: Demons to Win by 1-39 @ $2.10 with Neds
Bulldogs vs Bombers
Friday, April 12, 2024
7:40 PM @ Marvel Stadium
Square at 2-2 for 2024, the Western Bulldogs and Essendon are prepped for a showdown at Marvel Stadium come Friday night.
Last round saw the Dogs just shy of a win against Geelong, despite Liberatore and Bontempelli’s insane efforts.
Essendon, on the flip side, copped a hefty defeat by Port Adelaide, continuing a trend of heavy losses.
Historical head-to-head leans heavily towards the Bulldogs, with Essendon’s last win feeling like a distant memory (August 2021).
Player matchups promise fireworks; from Liberatore’s midfield dominance to Langford’s goal-kicking at Marvel.
Both teams boast players hitting their stride at the right time, setting the stage for a good game but were expecting the Doggies to come through this round.
Betting Tip: Western Bulldogs
Suggested Bet: Bulldogs to Win by 1-39 @ $2.10 with Neds
Giants vs Saints
Saturday, April 13, 2024
1:45 PM @ Manuka Oval
GWS, perched atop the ladder, faces St Kilda in Canberra, a venue once a fortress but now a challenge with nine losses in their last 10 outings there.
Despite this, GWS comes off a strong win over Gold Coast, propelled by Toby Greene’s five goals, while St Kilda, with Jack Steele’s commanding performance, edged out Richmond.
However, GWS’s form this season, combined with their capacity to win crucial matches, hints at their ability to overcome their Canberra curse.
St Kilda’s resilience and tactical gameplay, especially in interstate matches, cannot be underestimated, yet GWS’s high-flying start to the season and their star players in form make them the favourites this week.
Expect a fiercely contested game, but with GWS’s firepower and a point to prove at Manuka Oval, they’re tipped to emerge victorious.
It’ll be close, but GWS should get over the line, rewriting their recent history at the venue with a decisive win.
Betting Tip: GWS Giants
Suggested Bet: GWS to Win by 1-39 @ $2.05 with Neds
Blues vs Crows
Saturday, April 13, 2024
4:35 PM @ Marvel Stadium
In a clash of contrasts at Marvel Stadium, undefeated Carlton squares off against a winless Adelaide in what’s shaping up to be a decisive game for both teams.
The Blues, riding high with a 4-0 start, clinched their latest victory amidst controversy, showcasing their knack for edging out tight matches.
Adelaide, however, is grappling with a stark downturn in form, especially in attack, a shadow of last season’s team.
Key injuries could play a pivotal role in this contest. Carlton’s injury list includes vital players like Sam Docherty and Jack Silvagni sidelined for the season.
Adelaide isn’t spared either, with Wayne Milera out for the season and Riley Thilthorpe sidelined for three months, further straining their lineup.
Given the current trajectories and considering Carlton’s resilience in close games, coupled with Adelaide’s struggles, especially in Melbourne, the Blues will continue their winning streak this week.
Betting Tip: Carlton Blues
Suggested Bet: Blues to Win by 1-39 @ $2.05 with Neds
Suns vs Hawks
Saturday, April 13, 2024
7:30 PM @ People First Stadium
Gold Coast, back on their home turf at People First Stadium, faces a struggling Hawthorn side this Saturday night, presenting an intriguing contest.
The Suns’ formidable record at home contrasts sharply with their road woes, highlighted by a recent defeat to GWS.
Conversely, Hawthorn’s narrow loss to Collingwood, despite a late surge, underscores their current vulnerability, especially given their heavy loss to Gold Coast in their last encounter.
Injury concerns for both teams could influence the outcome. Gold Coast will miss Lachie Weller for at least another 12 weeks, while Hawthorn grapples with multiple key players sidelined, including Luke Breust and Denver Grainger-Barras, weakening their lineup significantly.
Considering Gold Coast’s commanding performance against Hawthorn last season and their strong home form, they are the clear favourites.
The Suns’ ability to dominate at People First Stadium, combined with Hawthorn’s injury setbacks and poor form, positions Gold Coast as the team likely to extend their winning record over the Hawks.
Expect the Suns to shine brightly, securing a win and further highlighting Hawthorn’s season challenges.
Betting Tip: Gold Coast Suns
Suggested Bet: Suns to Win by 40+ @ $2.70 with Neds
Power vs Dockers
Saturday, April 13, 2024
7:30 PM @ Adelaide Oval
Port Adelaide and Fremantle, both with a promising start to 2024, clash at Adelaide Oval in a matchup ripe for setting the tone for their seasons.
Port, dominant in their last outing with Rozee and Horne-Francis leading the charge, look to leverage their historical edge and home advantage.
Fremantle, despite a controversial loss to Carlton, have kept their chin up, with Brayshaw’s performance highlighting their fight.
The injury bench tells a significant story for both teams.
Fremantle’s list is extensive, with key players like Brennan Cox and Oscar McDonald facing long stints on the sidelines, potentially impacting their defensive solidity. Port, while having fewer injuries, will miss the experience of Travis Boak, though his return seems imminent.
Given Port’s form and home ground advantage, coupled with Fremantle’s substantial injury list, Port Adelaide will win this week.
Their midfield depth and historical dominance in recent matchups give them the edge.
Expect Port Adelaide to capitalise on Fremantle’s weakened lineup, securing a win and continuing their strong start to the season.
Betting Tip: Port Adelaide Power
Suggested Bet: Power to Win by 40+ @ $3.15 with Neds
Cats vs Kangaroos
Sunday, April 14, 2024
1:00 PM @ GMHBA Stadium
At GMHBA Stadium, Geelong is set to host North Melbourne in a game that starkly contrasts the teams’ current fortunes.
The Cats, unbeaten in 2024, are flying high, fresh off a victory against the Bulldogs, with Jeremy Cameron shining. Conversely, the Kangaroos are mired in a slump, winless, and reeling from a heavy defeat by Brisbane, continuing a trend of losses that’s seen them win just once in their last 25 games.
Historical matchups tilt overwhelmingly in Geelong’s favour, boasting an 11-game winning streak against North Melbourne, highlighted by substantial margins at Kardinia Park.
Key injuries could impact both squads. Geelong’s list includes Patrick Dangerfield and Cam Guthrie, with their availability crucial to the Cats’ midfield dynamics. North Melbourne’s injury woes are more dire, with Callum Coleman-Jones and Josh Goater out for the season, severely denting their structure and chances of winning any decent amount of games this year.
Given the form, venue advantage, and head-to-head history, Geelong is without a doubt the clear favourite.
Betting Tip: Geelong Cats
Suggested Bet: Cats to Win by 40+ @ $1.36 with Neds
Eagles vs Tigers
Sunday, April 14, 2024
4:00 PM @ Optus Stadium
West Coast and Richmond, with a solitary win between them, are set to clash at Optus Stadium.
The Eagles, returning home after a spirited display against Sydney, show signs of competitive resilience despite a long stretch of defeats. Richmond, on the other hand, edged out by St Kilda despite standout performances from Martin and Bolton, are keen to rectify their narrow losses.
Injuries have hit both squads hard!
Richmond’s list is notably extensive, with critical players like Tom Lynch and Josh Gibcus sidelined, potentially disrupting their forward structure and defensive capabilities. West Coast faces its own challenges, missing Oscar Allen and Matt Flynn, which could impact their midfield contest.
Key head-to-head stats show Richmond’s recent dominance, including a significant victory at Optus Stadium last year. However, the Tigers’ scoring efficiency and defensive sturdiness this season, contrasted with the Eagles’ struggles, suggest a tilt in favour of Richmond.
Considering Richmond’s ability to turn tight contests their way and West Coast’s ongoing rebuild phase, Richmond will win this game.
Despite their injury woes, the Tigers’ depth and recent head-to-head advantage, coupled with West Coast’s vulnerabilities, point towards a Richmond win, potentially kickstarting their season revival.
Betting Tip: Richmond Tigers
Suggested Bet: Tigers to Win By 1-39 @ $2.10 with Neds
Bye
- Collingwood Magpies
- Sydney Swans
This week’s AFL Multi
- Demons
- Giants
- Blues
- Cats
- Tigers
Take Bet: $3.39 with Neds
Check out this all of week’s AFL multi tips on our Multi Bets Page.
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