AFL Expert Tips Round 22
| 22Collingwood | Image | Team | Predicted Score | Win Chance | Actual Score |
|---|
This week’s AFL Round 22 tips and predictions begins on Friday with the Sydney Swans taking on the Collingwood Magpies at the SCG in Sydney, and finishes up with the Adelaide Crows and the Western Bulldogs at Adelaide Oval on Sunday with no teams sitting out this round with a bye.
Swans vs Magpies
Friday, August 9, 2024
7:40 pm @ SCG, Sydney
This Friday night at the SCG, the Sydney Swans take on the Collingwood Magpies at 7:40 pm.
Head-to-Head Stats:
- Average Points For Per Match: Swans: 96.7, Magpies: 86.2 – (Swans by 10.5 points)
- Average Points Against Per Match: Swans: 76.7, Magpies: 86.0 – (Swans by 9.3 points)
- Average Winning Margin: Swans: 40.1, Magpies: 21.1 – (Swans by 19.0 points)
- Average Losing Margin: Swans: 26.8, Magpies: 25.9 – (Magpies by 0.9 points)
- Current Form: Swans: LWLLL, Magpies: LLLWW – (Magpies streak 2)
- Disposal Efficiency: Swans 72.1%, Magpies 69.6% – (Swans by 2.5%)
- Efficiency Inside 50: Swans 50.2%, Magpies 52.1% – (Magpies by 1.9%)
- Wins This Season: Swans: 50% (11/22), Magpies: 45% (10/22) – (Swans by 5%)
- Points Scored This Season: Swans: 2128, Magpies: 1896 – (Swans by 232 points)
- Points Conceded This Season: Swans: 1687, Magpies: 1892 – (Swans by 205 points)
- Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Magpies won by 41 points (102-61) on 15 March 2024
- Reliability to Win After Leading HT: Swans: 76.9%, Magpies: 72.7% – (Swans by 4.2%)
- HT/FT Double: Swans: 50.0%, Magpies: 40.0% – (Swans by 10%)
Outcome Prediction:
- Final Scores: Swans: 99, Magpies: 79
- Win Percentages: Swans: 70.10%, Magpies: 28.89%
Statistically Who is Better and Where?
Swans are better in disposals, kicks, inside 50s, disposal efficiency, uncontested possessions, marks, and goal accuracy.
Magpies are better in handballs, contested marks, tackles, efficiency inside 50, and goal accuracy against.
Swans have a slight edge in key metrics such as average points for and points against.
Magpies are stronger in tackles and efficiency inside 50.
Final Score Prediction:
Sydney Swans 99-79
Suggested Betting Tip: Swans to win by 1-39 @ $2.15 with Neds
OVER/UNDER Bet: OVER 178.5 @ $1.88 with Neds
Same Game Multi:
HT/FT Double: Swans/Swans
Winning Margin: Swans 1-39
OVER/UNDER: OVER 178.5
Take Bet @ $4.80 with Neds
Lions vs Giants
Saturday, August 10, 2024
1:45 PM @ Gabba. Brisbane
This Saturday at 1:45 pm, the Brisbane Lions are squaring off against the GWS Giants at the Gabba.
Head-to-Head Stats:
- Average Points For Per Match: Lions 95.1, Giants 89.5 – (Lions by 5.6 points)
- Average Points Against Per Match: Lions 76.0, Giants 80.5 – (Lions by 4.5 points)
- Average Winning Margin: Lions 40.8, Giants 24.9 – (Lions by 15.9 points)
- Average Losing Margin: Lions 24.8, Giants 20.6 – (Giants by 4.2 points)
- Current Form: Lions WWWWW, Giants WWWWW – (Both teams on streak 5)
- Disposal Efficiency: Lions 72.8%, Giants 73.2% – (Giants by 0.4%)
- Efficiency Inside 50: Lions 49.2%, Giants 48.3% – (Lions by 0.9%)
- Wins This Season: Lions 59.1% (13/22), Giants 54.5% (12/22) – (Lions by 4.6%)
- Points Scored This Season: Lions 2092, Giants 1969 – (Lions by 123 points)
- Points Conceded This Season: Lions 1672, Giants 1771 – (Lions by 99 points)
- Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Giants won by 54 points (113-59) on 25 April 2024
- Reliability to Win After Leading HT: Lions 84.6%, Giants 76.9% – (Lions by 7.7%)
- HT/FT Double: Lions 55.0%, Giants 50.0% – (Lions by 5%)
Outcome Prediction:
- Final Scores: Lions: 106, Giants: 72
- Win Percentages: Lions: 82.33%, Giants: 16.88%
Statistically Who is Better and Where?
Lions are better in kicks, inside 50s, clearances, stoppage clearances, turnovers, marks, goals, behinds, and average points for and against.
Giants are better in disposals, handballs, tackles, bounces, uncontested possessions, and goal accuracy for.
Lions have a slight edge in key metrics such as average points for and points against.
Giants are marginally better in contested possessions, marks inside 50, and disposal efficiency.
Final Score Prediction:
Brisbane Lions 106-72
Suggested Betting Tip: Lions to win by 1-39 @ $2.15 with Neds
OVER/UNDER Bet: OVER 178.5 @ $1.88 with Neds
Same Game Multi:
HT/FT Double: Lions/Lions
Winning Margin: Lions 1-39
OVER/UNDER: OVER 178.5
Take Bet @ $4.79 with Neds
Kangaroos vs Eagles
Saturday, August 10, 2024
1:45 PM @ Blundstone Arena, Hobart
This Saturday arvo way down south at Blundstone Arena in Hobart, the North Melbourne Kangaroos face the West Coast Eagles at 1:45 pm.
Head-to-Head Stats:
- Average Points For Per Match: Kangaroos 71.7, Eagles 69.2 – (Kangaroos by 2.5 points)
- Average Points Against Per Match: Kangaroos 107.0, Eagles 98.8 – (Eagles by 8.2 points)
- Average Winning Margin: Kangaroos 8.7, Eagles 30.3 – (Eagles by 21.6 points)
- Average Losing Margin: Kangaroos 43.1, Eagles 44.6 – (Eagles by 1.5 points)
- Current Form: Kangaroos WLLLW, Eagles LLLLW – (Both teams on streak 1)
- Disposal Efficiency: Kangaroos 74.9%, Eagles 72.8% – (Kangaroos by 2.1%)
- Efficiency Inside 50: Kangaroos 42.1%, Eagles 47% – (Eagles by 4.9%)
- Wins This Season: Kangaroos 18.2% (4/22), Eagles 18.2% (4/22) – (even)
- Points Scored This Season: Kangaroos 1577, Eagles 1522 – (Kangaroos by 55 points)
- Points Conceded This Season: Kangaroos 2354, Eagles 2174 – (Eagles by 180 points)
- Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Eagles won by 9 points (74-65) on 8 June 2024
- Reliability to Win After Leading HT: Kangaroos 40.0%, Eagles 50.0% – (Eagles by 10%)
- HT/FT Double: Kangaroos 10.0%, Eagles 15.0% – (Eagles by 5%)
Outcome Prediction:
- Final Scores: Kangaroos: 84, Eagles: 87
- Win Percentages: Kangaroos: 46.81%, Eagles: 52.33%
Statistically Who is Better and Where?
Kangaroos are better in disposals, kicks, handballs, disposal efficiency, contested possessions, uncontested possessions, marks, and goal accuracy.
Eagles are better in inside 50s, efficiency inside 50, hit-outs, contested marks, and bounces.
Kangaroos have a slight edge in key metrics such as average points for and goal accuracy.
Eagles are stronger in points against.
Final Score Prediction:
West Coast Eagles 87-84
Suggested Betting Tip: Eagles to win by 1-39 @ $2.80 with Neds
OVER/UNDER Bet: UNDER 175.5 @ $1.88 with Neds
Same Game Multi:
HT/FT Double: Kangaroos/Eagles
Winning Margin: Eagles 1-39
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 175.5
Take Bet @ $13.93 with Neds
Dockers vs Cats
Saturday, August 10, 2024
4:35 PM @ Optus Stadium, Perth
This Saturday arvo at the Optus Stadium in Perth, it’s the Fremantle Dockers versus the Geelong Cats at 4:35 pm.
Head-to-Head Stats:
- Average Points For Per Match: Dockers 87.2, Cats 91.7 – (Cats by 4.5 points)
- Average Points Against Per Match: Dockers 74.7, Cats 84.2 – (Dockers by 9.5 points)
- Average Winning Margin: Dockers: 35.7, Cats: 28.6 – (Dockers by 7.1 points)
- Average Losing Margin: Dockers: 25.6, Cats: 31.7 – (Dockers by 6.1 points)
- Current Form: Dockers WLWWL, Cats WWLWW – (Cats streak 2)
- Disposal Efficiency: Dockers 75.8%, Cats 68.9% – (Dockers by 6.9%)
- Efficiency Inside 50: Dockers 50.8%, Cats 47.8% – (Dockers by 3%)
- Wins This Season: Dockers 54.5% (12/22), Cats 59.1% (13/22) – (Cats by 4.6%)
- Points Scored This Season: Dockers 1918, Cats 2017 – (Cats by 99 points)
- Points Conceded This Season: Dockers 1641, Cats 1851 – (Dockers by 210 points)
- Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Dockers won by 7 points (71-64) on 29 July 2023
- Reliability to Win After Leading HT: Dockers 71.4%, Cats 91.7% – (Cats by 20.3%)
- HT/FT Double: Dockers 50.0%, Cats 55.0% – (Cats by 5%)
Outcome Prediction:
- Final Scores: Dockers: 92, Cats: 76
- Win Percentages: Dockers: 66.22%, Cats: 32.66%
Statistically Who is Better and Where?
Dockers are better in disposals, handballs, disposal efficiency, efficiency inside 50, marks, uncontested possessions, and bounces.
Cats are better in kicks, inside 50s, contested possessions, tackles, goal accuracy, and overall reliability after leading at halftime.
Cats have a slight edge in key metrics such as average points for and goal accuracy.
Dockers are stronger in points against.
Final Score Prediction:
Fremantle Dockers 92-76
Suggested Betting Tip: Dockers to win by 1-39 @ $2.40 with Neds
OVER/UNDER Bet: OVER 167.5 @ $1.88 with Neds
Same Game Multi:
HT/FT Double: Dockers/Dockers
Winning Margin: Dockers 1-39
OVER/UNDER: OVER 167.5
Take Bet @ $4.99 with Neds
Bombers vs Suns
Saturday, August 10, 2024
7:30 PM @ Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
This Saturday night at Marvel Stadium in Melbourne, the Essendon Bombers and the Gold Coast Suns go head-to-head as the Bombers scramble to get their way back into the top eight.
Head-to-Head Stats:
- Average Points For Per Match: Bombers 84.0, Suns 84.1 – (Suns by 0.1 points)
- Average Points Against Per Match: Bombers 87.6, Suns 83.7 – (Suns by 3.9 points)
- Average Winning Margin: Bombers: 16.5, Suns: 33.7 – (Suns by 17.2 points)
- Average Losing Margin: Bombers: 31.6, Suns: 26.9 – (Suns by 4.7 points)
- Current Form: Bombers WLLLW, Suns LWLLL – (Bombers streak 1)
- Disposal Efficiency: Bombers 73.4%, Suns 72.5% – (Bombers by 0.9%)
- Efficiency Inside 50: Bombers 44.4%, Suns 43.2% – (Bombers by 1.2%)
- Wins This Season: Bombers 45.5% (10/22), Suns 40.9% (9/22) – (Bombers by 4.6%)
- Points Scored This Season: Bombers 1848, Suns 1849 – (Suns by 1 point)
- Points Conceded This Season: Bombers 1927, Suns 1841 – (Suns by 86 points)
- Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Suns won by 11 points (91-80) on 2 June 2024
- Reliability to Win After Leading HT: Bombers 77.8%, Suns 90.0% – (Suns by 12.2%)
- HT/FT Double: Bombers 35.0%, Suns 45.0% – (Suns by 10%)
Outcome Prediction:
- Final Scores: Bombers: 87, Suns: 78
- Win Percentages: Bombers: 60.26%, Suns: 38.74%
Statistically Who is Better and Where?
Bombers are better in disposals, kicks, handballs, disposal efficiency, efficiency inside 50, marks, marks inside 50, uncontested possessions, bounces, and goal accuracy.
Suns are better in inside 50s, free kicks, hit-outs, contested possessions, tackles inside 50, one percenters, and reliability after leading at halftime.
Bombers have a slight edge in key metrics such as average points for and goal accuracy.
Suns are stronger in points against.
Final Score Prediction:
Essendon Bombers 87-78
Suggested Betting Tip: Bombers to win by 1-39 @ $2.15 with Neds
OVER/UNDER Bet: OVER 171.5 @ $1.88 with Neds
Same Game Multi:
HT/FT Double: Bombers/Bombers
Winning Margin: Bombers 1-39
OVER/UNDER: OVER 171.5
Take Bet @ $5.02 with Neds
Demons vs Power
Saturday, August 10, 2024
7:30 PM @ MCG, Melbourne
This Saturday night at the the MCG in Melbourne the Melbourne Demons take on Port Adelaide Power at 7:30 pm.
Head-to-Head Stats:
- Average Points For Per Match: Demons 78.0, Power 89.6 – (Power by 11.6 points)
- Average Points Against Per Match: Demons 79.7, Power 78.8 – (Power by 0.9 points)
- Average Winning Margin: Demons: 28.5, Power: 34.2 – (Power by 5.7 points)
- Average Losing Margin: Demons: 31.8, Power: 32.9 – (Demons by 1.1 points)
- Current Form: Demons WWLLL, Power WLWWW – (Power streak 3)
- Disposal Efficiency: Demons 70.6%, Power 72.3% – (Power by 1.7%)
- Efficiency Inside 50: Demons 46.8%, Power 52.7% – (Power by 5.9%)
- Wins This Season: Demons 50.0% (11/22), Power 59.1% (13/22) – (Power by 9.1%)
- Points Scored This Season: Demons 1716, Power 1971 – (Power by 255 points)
- Points Conceded This Season: Demons 1753, Power 1732 – (Power by 21 points)
- Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Demons won by 7 points (96-89) on 30 March 2024
- Reliability to Win After Leading HT: Demons 80.0%, Power 100.0% – (Power by 20%)
- HT/FT Double: Demons 40.0%, Power 40.0% – (even)
Outcome Prediction:
- Final Scores: Demons: 75, Power: 92
- Win Percentages: Demons: 30.88%, Power: 68.07%
Statistically Who is Better and Where?
Power are better in disposals, kicks, inside 50s, efficiency inside 50, clearances, centre clearances, stoppage clearances, uncontested possessions, turnovers, marks, marks inside 50, goals, behinds, tackles, and bounces.
Demons are better in handballs, contested possessions, contested marks, one percenters, and goal accuracy.
Power are better in key scoring metrics such as average points for per match and overall efficiency metrics.
Demons have strengths in contested areas and goal accuracy.
Final Score Prediction:
Port Adelaide Power 92-75
Suggested Betting Tip: Power to win by 1-39 @ $2.10 with Neds
OVER/UNDER Bet: UNDER 168.5 @ $1.88 with Neds
Same Game Multi:
HT/FT Double: Power/Power
Winning Margin: Power 1-39
Take Bet @ $4.78 with Neds
Blues vs Hawks
Sunday, August 11, 2024
1:10 PM @ MCG, Melbourne
A little after lunch on Sunday at the MCG in Melbourne the Carlton Blues face off against the Hawthorn Hawks at 1:10 pm.
Head-to-Head Stats:
- Average Points For Per Match: Blues 97.0, Hawks 83.9 – (Blues by 13.1 points)
- Average Points Against Per Match: Blues 86.5, Hawks 80.6 – (Hawks by 5.9 points)
- Average Winning Margin: Blues: 27.2, Hawks: 33.5 – (Hawks by 6.3 points)
- Average Losing Margin: Blues: 14.5, Hawks: 33.7 – (Blues by 19.2 points)
- Current Form: Blues LLWLL, Hawks LWWWL – (Hawks streak 1)
- Disposal Efficiency: Blues 72.3%, Hawks 74.2% – (Hawks by 1.9%)
- Efficiency Inside 50: Blues 50.6%, Hawks 49% – (Blues by 1.6%)
- Wins This Season: Blues 50.0% (11/22), Hawks 50.0% (11/22) – (even)
- Points Scored This Season: Blues 2134, Hawks 1846 – (Blues by 288 points)
- Points Conceded This Season: Blues 1903, Hawks 1773 – (Hawks by 130 points)
- Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Blues won by 60 points (112-52) on 2 July 2023
- Reliability to Win After Leading HT: Blues 70.0%, Hawks 83.3% – (Hawks by 13.3%)
- HT/FT Double: Blues 35.0%, Hawks 50.0% – (Hawks by 15%)
Outcome Prediction:
- Final Scores: Blues: 88, Hawks: 87
- Win Percentages: Blues: 50.56%, Hawks: 48.31%
Statistically Who is Better and Where?
Blues are better in disposals, kicks, clearances, centre clearances, stoppage clearances, contested possessions, marks, contested marks, goals, behinds, tackles, and goal accuracy.
Hawks are better in handballs, hit-outs, uncontested possessions, bounces, and disposal efficiency.
Blues are better in key scoring metrics such as average points for per match and goal accuracy.
Final Score Prediction:
Carlton Blues 88-87
Suggested Betting Tip: Blues to win by 1-39 @ $2.40 with Neds
OVER/UNDER Bet: OVER 172.5 @ $1.88 with Neds
Same Game Multi:
HT/FT Double: Blues/Blues
Winning Margin: Blues 1-39
OVER/UNDER: OVER 172.5
Take Bet @ $5.61 with Neds
Tigers vs Saints
Sunday, August 11, 2024
3:20 PM @ Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
This Sunday at Marvel Stadium in Melbourne, the Richmond Tigers and St Kilda Saints go head-to-head at 3:20 pm.
Head-to-Head Stats:
- Average Points For Per Match: Tigers: 66.0, Saints: 73.3 – (Saints by 7.3 points)
- Average Points Against Per Match: Tigers: 102.0, Saints: 77.2 – (Saints by 24.8 points)
- Average Winning Margin: Tigers: 6.5, Saints: 25.5 – (Saints by 19.0 points)
- Average Losing Margin: Tigers: 40.7, Saints: 23.5 – (Saints by 17.2 points)
- Current Form: Tigers: LLLLL, Saints: WLWWL – (Saints streak 1)
- Disposal Efficiency: Tigers: 71.5%, Saints: 72.3% – (Saints by 0.8%)
- Efficiency Inside 50: Tigers: 43.5%, Saints: 46% – (Saints by 2.5%)
- Wins This Season: Tigers: 18.2% (4/22), Saints: 50.0% (11/22) – (Saints by 31.8%)
- Points Scored This Season: Tigers: 1452, Saints: 1612 – (Saints by 160 points)
- Points Conceded This Season: Tigers: 2244, Saints: 1698 – (Saints by 546 points)
- Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Saints won by 7 points (67-60) on 7 April 2024
- Reliability to Win After Leading HT: Tigers: 0.0%, Saints: 80.0% – (Saints by 80%)
- HT/FT Double: Tigers: 0.0%, Saints: 20.0% – (Saints by 20%)
Outcome Prediction:
- Final Scores: Tigers: 70, Saints: 85
- Win Percentages: Tigers: 32.61%, Saints: 66.13%
Statistically Who is Better and Where?
Saints are better in disposals, kicks, inside 50s, efficiency inside 50, clearances, stoppage clearances, contested possessions, uncontested possessions, marks, marks inside 50, contested marks, goals, and tackles.
Tigers are better in hit-outs, centre clearances, bounces, and one percenters.
Saints are better in key scoring and metrics such as average points for and against per match, as well as form and reliability stats.
Final Score Prediction:
St Kilda Saints 85-70
Suggested Betting Tip: Saints to win by 1-39 @ $2.05 with Neds
OVER/UNDER Bet: UNDER 165.5 @ $1.88 with Neds
Same Game Multi:
HT/FT Double: Saints/Saints
Winning Margin: Saints 1-39
OVER/UNDER: UNDER 165.5
Take Bet @ $4.51 with Neds
Crows vs Bulldogs
Sunday, August 11, 2024
4:10 PM @ Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
This Sunday arvo at 4:10 pm the Adelaide Crows take on the Western Bulldogs at Adelaide Oval.
Head-to-Head Stats:
- Average Points For Per Match: Crows: 82.4, Bulldogs: 93.2 – (Bulldogs by 10.8 points)
- Average Points Against Per Match: Crows: 82.5, Bulldogs: 76.1 – (Bulldogs by 6.4 points)
- Average Winning Margin: Crows: 34.0, Bulldogs: 46.3 – (Bulldogs by 12.3 points)
- Average Losing Margin: Crows: 20.1, Bulldogs: 26.8 – (Crows by 6.7 points)
- Current Form: Crows: LWWLL, Bulldogs: LWWWW – (Bulldogs streak 4)
- Disposal Efficiency: Crows 73.5%, Bulldogs 73.8% – (Bulldogs by 0.3%)
- Efficiency Inside 50: Crows 45.7%, Bulldogs 50.8% – (Bulldogs by 5.1%)
- Wins This Season: Crows: 45.5% (10/22), Bulldogs: 54.5% (12/22) – (Bulldogs by 9.1%)
- Points Scored This Season: Crows: 1813, Bulldogs: 2051 – (Bulldogs by 238 points)
- Points Conceded This Season: Crows: 1815, Bulldogs: 1674 – (Bulldogs by 141 points)
- Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Bulldogs won by 45 points (85-40) on 20 May 2023
- Reliability to Win After Leading HT: Crows: 66.7%, Bulldogs: 91.7% – (Bulldogs by 25%)
- HT/FT Double: Crows: 30.0%, Bulldogs: 55.0% – (Bulldogs by 25%)
Outcome Prediction:
- Final Scores: Crows: 76, Bulldogs: 95
- Win Percentages: Crows: 30.48%, Bulldogs: 68.49%
Statistically Who is Better and Where?
Bulldogs are better in disposals, kicks, handballs, inside 50s, efficiency inside 50, clearances, centre clearances, marks, marks inside 50, contested marks, goals, behinds, and bounces.
Crows are better in hit-outs, stoppage clearances, contested possessions, tackles, one percenters, goal accuracy for %, and have the best win/loss margins in some metrics.
Bulldogs are better in key scoring and metrics such as average points for and against per match, as well as form and reliability stats.
Final Score Prediction:
Western Bulldogs 95-76
Suggested Betting Tip: Bulldogs to win by 1-39 @ $2.10 with Neds
OVER/UNDER Bet: OVER 167.5 @ $1.88 with Neds
Same Game Multi:
HT/FT Double: Crows/Bulldogs
Winning Margin: Bulldogs 1-39
OVER/UNDER: OVER 167.5
Take Bet @ $10.79 with Neds
Byes:
N/A
This Week’s AFL Multi Bet
- TBC
Take Bet: $- with Ladbrokes
Check out all of this week’s AFL multi tips on our Multi Bets Page.
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