AFL Betting Tips Round 18

AFL Expert Tips Round 18

 

This week’s AFL Round 18 tips and predictions begins on Friday with the Magpies taking on the Cats at the MCG, and finishing up with the Eagles and the Lions at Optus Stadium with no teams sitting out this round with a bye.

Collingwood vs Geelong

Friday, July 12, 2024

7:40 pm @ MCG, Melbourne

This Friday night at the MCG, it’s the Magpies against the Cats. Expect a chilly, cloudy evening, around 9-11°C at game time.

Outcome Prediction:

• Final Scores: Collingwood Magpies: 87, Geelong Cats: 91
• Win Percentages: Collingwood Magpies: 44.21%, Geelong Cats: 54.61%

Collingwood’s scoring is solid, averaging 88 points per game, but the Cats are hotter with 93.7. Geelong’s got a slight edge in disposals aswell, 351.5 to the Pies’ 345.4. When it comes to contested marks, the Cats once again outdo the Magpies 9.8 to 8.9.

Pencil in Jeremy Cameron to lead the charge for Geelong, with Stengle likely to follow suit. Geelong’s inside 50 efficiency at 48.1% might trail Collingwood’s 51.4%, but the Cats’ goal accuracy at 63.6% is hard to look past.

Look for Jack Crisp to snag 20+ disposals for the Pies, the Cats’ defence is tight with Stewart and Holmes so Cats fans shouldn’t stress too much. I’d bet on a close one, especially after the Maggies loss last week to the Bombers, but Geelong should get this weeks win.

Final Score Prediction: Cats 91-87

 

Hawthorn vs Fremantle

Saturday, July 13, 2024

1:45 PM @ UTAS, Tasmania

This Saturday at the University of Tasmania Stadium, the Hawks and Dockers will battle it out in some rather chilly conditions. A cool, partly cloudy day around 8-10°C at game time.

Outcome Prediction:

• Final Scores: Hawthorn Hawks 76, Fremantle Dockers 79
• Win Percentages: Hawthorn Hawks 45.48%, Fremantle Dockers 53.28%

Hawthorn’s been pretty solid recently, but Fremantle third on the ladder, and consistently winning games including their last three. The Dockers average 84.6 points per game, ahead of the Hawks’ 78.2. Dockers also smashing out disposals with 370.3 per game to the Hawks’ 349.6. As for contested marks, Dockers at 7.3 and Hawks at 8.

The Hawks’ clearances have been decent, but the Dockers are excelling with 40.2 per game. Watch out for Freo’s Brayshaw and Clark for 20+ Disposals. Fremantle’s Josh Treacy is a solid bet for 2+ goals, but Jye Amiss and Mabior Chol are up there too.

With Dockers’ efficiency inside 50 at 49.9% and their recent form, they’re tipped to win this one.

Final Score Prediction: Dockers 79-76

 

Sydney vs North Melbourne

Saturday, July 13, 2024

1:45 PM @ SCG, Sydney

This Saturday arvo at the SCG, the Swans face the Kangaroos in a game that were pretty sure will leave Roo fans crying in a bucket of season long tears. As for weather, were looking at a partly cloudy mild day, around 15-17°C.

Outcome Prediction:

• Final Scores: Swans 122, Kangaroos 57
• Win Percentages: Swans 96.56%, Kangaroos 3.44%

Sitting all the way at the top of the ladder the Swans, averaging 102.2 points per game, have been looking down on the Kangas’ at 70.7 all season. The Swans are slightly ahead in disposals with 360.1 per game compared to the Kangaroos’ 351.5. But here’s where it gets interesting and super important to how this game is going to play out—inside 50 efficiency. Sydney sits at 50.7%, while North struggles at 42.5%.

Nick Larkey is looking to pull a rabbit out of a hat tipped as the only player with odds under $10 for first goal, both Joel Amartey and Tom Papley of the Swans are super likely to get 2+ goals, and in the disposals department Luke Davies-Uniacke and Errol Gulden are both extremely likely to get 20+.

With the Swans owning 10.6 tackles inside 50 against the Kangas 8.4. we’re going to see alot of goals in the Swans front line.

With Sydney’s reliability to win after leading at HT at 81.8%, they’re predicted to take this one comfortably.

Final Score Prediction: Swans 122-57

 

Western Bulldogs vs Carlton

Saturday, July 13, 2024

4:35 PM @ Marvel Stadium, Melbourne

This Saturday arvo at Marvel Stadium, it’s the Bulldogs versus the Blues. Regarding the weather, we’re looking at a typical Melbourne winter’s day, around 10-11°C with a bit of cloud cover and slight chance of rain.

Outcome Prediction:

• Final Scores:Bulldogs: 88, Blues: 94
• Win Percentages: Bulldogs: 42.56%, Blues: 56.42%

The Bulldogs currently 11th on the ladder are averaging 91.9 points per game, but the Blues in second position are expectedly slightly ahead with 100.1. When it comes to disposals, the Dogs are surprisingly on top at 374.6 per game, while the Blues trail with 358.9. As for contested marks the Dogs lead again, 11 to 10.5.

Look out for Walsh and Cripps to rack up the touches for the Blues, while Treloar for the doggies will be hot on their tails. Bulldogs are at 12.2 tackles inside 50 per game, while the Blues having been racking up an average of 13.3— so watch out for some heavy hits.

The Blues’ goal accuracy at 64.7% is critical this game, unless the Bulldogs can get their accuracy a little more in line they’re going to be in trouble.

Final Score Prediction: Blues 94-88

 

Adelaide vs St Kilda

Saturday, July 13, 2024

7:30 PM @ Adelaide Oval, Adelaide

This Saturday night at Adelaide Oval, the Crows and Saints go head-to-head in less than ideal conditions. Expect a cool evening around 11-11°C, with a bit of cloud and a 33% chance of rain to keep things interesting.

Outcome Prediction:

• Final Scores: Crows 87, Saints 68
• Win Percentages: Crows 70.24%, Saints 28.84%

The Crows at 15th on the ladder are averaging 82.4 points per game, a touch higher than the Saints (at 14th on the ladder) slightly lower at 72.9. When it comes to disposals it’s close—Crows at 366.6, Saints at 359.7. Inside 50s are nearly neck and neck too, with the Crows at 50.4 and Saints at 49.4.

Watch out for Adelaide’s Darcy Fogarty to be a force up front with the best odds for first goal kicker, anytime goal kicker, and 2+ goals, while Sinclair, Laird, and Wanganeen-Milera are all tipped to dominate the disposals. Crows slightly ahead with marks inside 50 at 11.3 to Saints’ 11.2, which could make all the difference.

With goal accuracy at 63.3%, the Crows have a slight edge over the Saints’ 57.3%.

Final Score Prediction: Crows 87-68

 

Melbourne vs Essendon

Saturday, July 13, 2024

7:30 PM @ MCG, Melbourne

This Saturday night at the MCG, the Demons take on the Bombers. Expect an extremely cold night around 7-9°C with a 40% chance of rain.

Outcome Prediction:

• Final Scores: Demons 81, Bombers 76
• Win Percentages: Demons 55.89%, Bombers 42.94%

Melbourne’s averaging 79.3 points per game, trailing Essendon’s 84.7. Bombers have been at the top of the board with disposals this season taking the lead with 377.4 per game compared to the Demons’ 347.1. As for inside 50s, Bombers are at it once again with 56.1 to the Demons’ 49.9.

Fritsch will be leading the charge for goals as top favourite in all betting odds followed closely by Langford and Pickett. Merrett and Martin are the boys to look out for on the field both headlining the disposals. Bombers have the lead for marks inside 50 at 12.8 to the Demons’ 11.3, which could prove pivotal. However with Fritsch on the field its going to be a tough game for the Bombers to stay in front.

Essendon’s goal accuracy is better at 58.8% compared to Melbourne’s 55.7%, but the Demons’ defensive adjustments might make the difference.

Final Score Prediction: Demons 81-76

 

Gold Coast vs Port Adelaide

Sunday, July 14, 2024

1:10 PM @ People First Stadium, Carrara

This Sunday at People First Stadium, the Suns face off against Port Adelaide. Expect a sunny day on the Gold Coast, around 21°C at game time.

Outcome Prediction:

• Final Scores: Gold Coast Suns: 90, Port Adelaide Power: 80
• Win Percentages: Gold Coast Suns: 61.53%, Port Adelaide Power: 37.38%

The Suns are averaging 86.4 points per game, just pipping Port’s 85.4. Suns disposals sit at at 352.9 to Power’s 345.8. But it’s marks inside 50 where Port shines, 14.1 to Suns’ 10.3. Keep an eye on Georgiades and Marshall up front for Port.

For the Suns, King and Lukosius will need to capitalise on their inside 50s, especially given their slightly better goal accuracy at 61.3% to Port’s 50.8%. Suns slightly trail behind in tackles inside 50 at 11.4, Port at 12.8.

With both teams’ reliability to win after leading at halftime at 100%, it’s going to be tight.

Final Score Prediction: Suns 90-80

 

Richmond vs GWS

Sunday, July 14, 2024

3:20 PM @ MCG, Melbourne

This Sunday at the MCG, the Tigers and Giants go head-to-head that heavily favour the Giants. Expect a typical Melbourne winter’s day, around 11-12°C with some cloud cover and slight chance of showers.

Outcome Prediction:

• Final Scores: Richmond Tigers: 78, GWS Giants: 95
• Win Percentages: Richmond Tigers: 32.36%, GWS Giants: 66.58%

The Tigers all the way at the bottom of the ladder have been struggling, averaging just 63.6 points per game compared to the Giants’ 89.0. The Giants lead disposals with 375.3 per game to the Tigers’ 329.9. and once again for inside 50s the Giants sit comfortably higher at 52.4 compared to the Tigers’ 46.7.

First Goal heavily leads in GWS’ corner with Hogan and Greene both under $8.00 odds, while disposals are also in favour of the Giants with Green and Whitfield leading the charge. Giants are ahead in contested marks with 10.9 to Tigers’ 8.2 so expect plenty of easy grabs from the Giants.

Final Score Prediction: Giants 95-78

 

West Coast vs Brisbane

Sunday, July 14, 2024

4:40 PM @ Optus Stadium, Perth

This Sunday arvo at Optus Stadium, the Eagles take on the Lions. Expect a cool day in Perth, around 12-15°C and mostly.

Outcome Prediction:

• Final Scores: West Coast Eagles: 74, Brisbane Lions: 105
• Win Percentages: West Coast Eagles: 19.77%, Brisbane Lions: 79.39%

West Coast’s scoring woes are set to continue, currently averaging just 67.3 points per game compared to Brisbane’s 93.7 things don’t look good for the yellow and blue boys. The Lions are cleaning up with disposals, 359.9 per game to the Eagles’ 310.6 aswell. As for inside 50s, the Lions top the stats again with 57.9 to 46.6.

Lachie Neale, Josh Dunkley, and Dayne Zorko are all expected to tear rings around the Eagles each with decent odds for 25+ disposals, while Joe Daniher, Charlie Cameron, and Eric Hipwood are all under $10 for first goal kicker.

The Lions dominate inside 50 marks at 13.6 to the Eagles’ 10.4 and with Brisbane’s current form and goal accuracy at 56.9%, they should win pretty comfortably.

Final Score Prediction: Lions 105-74

 

Byes:

N/A

 

This Week’s AFL Multi Bet

• Swans
• Crows
• Suns
• GWS
• Lions

Take Bet: $3.86 with  Ladbrokes

 

 

Check out all of this week’s AFL multi tips on our Multi Bets Page.

 

AFL Fixture

Check the AFL fixture for upcoming AFL matches this season.

AFL Injury List

Keep up-to-date with your team’s injuries this week with our AFL injury list.

Other Betting Tips

We don’t just do AFL Tips; our team of experts Also specialise in NRL betting and horse racing tips.

Latest News

All AFL Tips