Rosehill Race Tips & Analysis for August 31, 2024

Joshua Reed 30 August 2024 Last Updated: 30/08/24

The Rosehill racecourse is currently rated a Good 4, and the rail is in the 2m mark.

Both features this afternoon are for the three-year-olds, with a lot of progressiveness and talent to be on display.

All eyes on Race 6 to see if STORM BOY can return a more furnished product whilst in Race 7, the well-bred AUTUMN GLOW looks to stamp herself as one to watch.

Saturday’s Rosehill racing tips can be found below,

Best Bet

Race 2: Distance: 1500m | Class: 3YO+ BM78 F&M | Scheduled: 12:20pm | Expected Tempo: Average – Above Average

#2 SEQUESTERED

Looking to break through here third-up following two placings over her last two.

She drops back to Fillies and Mares grade and gets a lovely draw and map to be able to get the dream run throughout.

Nash Rawiller sticks with her after last start, so hopefully he settles her off the rails and close to the speed.


Next Best Tip

Race 8: Distance: 1500m | Class: BM100 3YO+ | Scheduled: 3:50pm | Expected Tempo: Average

#10 AMOR VICTORIOUS

Race shape has changed with RISE AT DAWN staying in Melbourne, so AMOR VICTORIOUS will get a nice run either in front or outside SO UNITED.

He is coming off a 2L second to TOM KITTEN which could prove to be a nice form line going forward.

This time last preparation, he ran a bottler in open company and with his main rival having poor barrier manners last start, our bloke looks a much safer bet.


Best Each Way/Roughie

Race 9: Distance: 1200m | Class: BM88 3YO+ | Scheduled: 4:30pm | Expected Tempo: Solid

#2 BUBBA’S BOY 

You won’t find a more open race at Randwick than this one, and this girl has been knocking on the door in her past two runs, peaking here third-up.

She ran third in both lead up runs in similar grade, and with a good track and Benny Osmond again riding with his claim, she is well over the odds at $21.

The crazy thing is, she opened a lot higher, when realistically should be half her current quote.


Other Thoughts/Value Selections

Race 3: Distance: 1400m | Class: CL 2 TAB HIGHWAY | Scheduled: 12:55pm | Expected Tempo: Average – Above Average

This girl is a deserved favourite with her recent form, which have also rated well enough to be too good for most of these, though the query is going to be 1300m.

But the positive is, Tim Clark sticks with her after riding her last two seconds, and she draws a great barrier as opposed to barrier 11 & 13 in her last two.

Selections: #2 SUPER NORWEST


Race 5: Distance: 1400m | Class: BM78 3YO+ CG&E | Scheduled: 2:05pm | Expected Tempo: Solid

His first-up effort behind ROMA AVENUE was better than it looked despite the form guide reading 1.6L seventh.

He had to contend with a poor draw whilst carrying the 59kg over the 1400m.

With the run under the belt and a much better draw, he gets to carry the same weight over 1500m this time out.

My query is, I have predicted the track to be off rails, so the draw isn’t ideal if he remains on the rails. He is a great each way bet though, maybe more the place early with the unknown of how the track will play.

Selections: #6 ZONDEE


Race 6: Distance: 1100m | Class: 3YO G3 | Scheduled: 2:40pm | Expected Tempo: Average

STORM BOY vs GATSBY’S and to a lesser extent MAYFAIR.

The story here is, do you take GATSBY’S who has had a run on the board this time in, and ran well but Chris Waller’s horses seem to dip second-up, or do you hope STORM BOY comes back bigger and better than his 2YO year.

I have PTSD from FARNAN’S 3YO return, so I am firmly in GATSBY’S corner.

I think also he is going to be in the right part of the track from the draw.

Selections: #2 GATSBY’S


Race 7: Distance: 1300m | Class: 3YO G3 | Scheduled: 3:15pm | Expected Tempo: Solid

Again, we deal with Waller’s second-up dip, but natural improvement and a cracking rating first-up should see AUTUMN GLOW getting the job done again.

Providing McEvoy keeps her off the rails and out of trouble, I see her winning again.

SNACK BAR is the one I like at nice odds who is back a gelding off one trial. Think he can get a nice run from a draw and map perspective to run a nice race.

Selections: #5 AUTUMN GLOW & #3 SNACK BAR (PLC)


Race 10: Distance: 1100m | Class: BM78 3YO+ | Scheduled: 5:05pm | Expected Tempo: Solid

Progressive gelding who returns here following three wins last preparation where his BSP was $4.10 or below in all three starts.

You can poke a lot of holes in his rivals, and in my opinion, his stable mate to me is the biggest worry.

BRIASA has had the one nice trial coming in, is drawn where I think you will need to be and finds himself in a very winnable race.

Selections: #7 BRIASA

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