Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood Prediction & Betting Analysis

Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood Magpies Predictions

The 2025 Toyota AFL Premiership Tips and Predictions for Round 2 on Friday night March 20, between the Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood is set to be one of the better matches this week. You can catch the game live on Kayo, Foxtel, & Channel 7. 🏉🔥

Wester Bulldogs vs Collingwood

Friday, March 21, 2025

7:40 pm @ The MCG, Melbourne

Final Score Prediction

Bulldogs

99 : 95

Magpies

Win Percentages

Western Bulldogs 54.5%

Collingwood 45.5%

Bulldogs

Collingwood

Quick Insight

At the time of writing Ladbrokes had the head to head for Western Bulldogs set at $2.25, and $1.64 for the Collingwood Magpies, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Bulldogs 42.16%
Magpies 57.84%

Review

It’s Friday night footy at the MCG, and Collingwood is out to prove their dominant win last week wasn’t a one-off as they take on the Bulldogs in a massive clash! ⚫⚪🔥

The Magpies silenced their critics with a 136-45 demolition of Port Adelaide—their biggest win since 2012. After a shaky Round 1 loss to GWS, they’re now looking to make another statement.

The Bulldogs kicked off their season with a 113-97 win over North Melbourne, but they’ll again be missing key stars Marcus Bontempelli, Adam Treloar, Cody Weightman, Jason Johannisen, and Liam Jones. That could be a major factor—when they last met Collingwood, Bont and Treloar combined for 75 disposals, 37 contested possessions, and three goals in a Bulldogs victory.

Stats suggest the Bulldogs have the edge, averaging 113 points per game to Collingwood’s 94.

Opportunity Bet

The bookmakers are undervaluing the Western Bulldogs, giving them only a 42.16% chance of winning, while our analysis suggests they actually have a 54.5% chance.

This creates a betting edge on the Bulldogs. If our analysis holds, their fair odds should be closer to $1.83, but the bookies are offering $2.25—indicating some real value in backing the Bulldogs at those odds.

On the flip side, Collingwood appears to be slightly overvalued by the bookmakers, with their implied probability at 57.84%, while our analysis suggests they should only be at 45.5%.

Final Take

📌 Bulldogs present a strong value bet at $2.25, as the bookmakers may be underestimating their actual chances.
📌 Collingwood’s odds don’t offer much value, as they appear to be slightly overestimated.

If you’re looking for a smart play, the Bulldogs at $2.25 could be a great value pick!

Suggested Betting Tip:

Western Bulldogs 1-39 @ $2.75 with
Ladbrokes

H-2-H Bet:

Western Bulldogs @ $2.25 with
Ladbrokes

Line Bet:

Bulldogs +7.5 @ $1.90 with
Ladbrokes

OVER/UNDER Bet:

UNDER 175.5 @ $1.88 with
Ladbrokes

Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood SGM

Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood Head-to-Head Stats (2025 Season)

Average Points For Per Match: Western Bulldogs: 113.0, Collingwood: 94.0 – (Western Bulldogs by 19 points)
Average Points Against Per Match: Western Bulldogs: 97.0, Collingwood: 74.5 – (Collingwood by 22.5 points)
Average Winning Margin: Western Bulldogs: 16.0, Collingwood: 91.0 – (Collingwood by 75 points)
Average Losing Margin: Western Bulldogs: N/A, Collingwood: 52.0
HT/FT Double %: Western Bulldogs: 100.0%, Collingwood: 50.0% – (Western Bulldogs by 50%)
Highest Score For: Western Bulldogs: 113, Collingwood: 136 – (Collingwood by 23 points)
Highest Score Against: Western Bulldogs: 97, Collingwood: 104 – (Collingwood by 7 points)
Biggest Win: Western Bulldogs: 16, Collingwood: 91 – (Collingwood by 75 points)
Biggest Loss: Western Bulldogs: N/A, Collingwood: 52
Highest Total Match Score: Western Bulldogs: 210, Collingwood: 181 – (Western Bulldogs by 29 points)
Lowest Total Match Score: Western Bulldogs: 210, Collingwood: 156 – (Western Bulldogs by 54 points)
Goal Accuracy For %: Western Bulldogs: 65.4%, Collingwood: 54.0% – (Western Bulldogs by 11.4%)
Goal Accuracy Against %: Western Bulldogs: 58.3%, Collingwood: 52.5% – (Western Bulldogs by 5.8%)
Current Streak: Western Bulldogs: W1, Collingwood: W1 – (Even)
Current Form: Western Bulldogs: W, Collingwood: LW – (Western Bulldogs by 1 win)
Choke % (Loss % After Leading At HT): Western Bulldogs: 0.0%, Collingwood: 0.0% – (Even)
Reliability % (Win % After Leading At HT): Western Bulldogs: 100.0%, Collingwood: 100.0% – (Even)
Comeback % (Win % After Trailing At HT): Western Bulldogs: 0.0%, Collingwood: 0.0% – (Even)