North Melbourne vs Melbourne Prediction & Betting Analysis

North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Melbourne Demons Prediction

This weeks North Melbourne vs Melbourne prediction Round 2 sees the roos hosting at Marvel Stadium on Sunday afternoon. You can catch the game live on Kayo, Foxtel, & Channel 7. 🏉🔥

North Melbourne vs Melbourne

Sunday, March 23, 2025

3:20 pm @ Marvel Stadium, Melbourne

Final Score Prediction

Kangaroos

92 : 94

Demons

Win Percentages

North Melbourne 46.4%

Melbourne 53.6%

North Melbourne

Melbourne

Quick Insight

At the time of writing Ladbrokes had the head to head for North Melbourne Kangaroos set at $3.10, with $1.36 for the Melbourne Demons, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Kangaroos 30.49%
Demons 69.51%

Review

Last week the Kangaroos were outgunned 113-97 by a Bulldogs side missing key players, despite standout performances from Harry Sheezel (31 disposals), Jy Simpkin (30) and Nick Larkey (5 goals). There were positives, but their leaky backline remains a major issue.

Melbourne’s loss, though, was pure heartbreak—falling 77-74 to GWS after a last-minute goal in the wet. It was a brutal way to open the season, especially after last year’s game vs North, where the Dees survived a late scare to win by 3 points after leading by 39.

The Demons have won six straight against the Kangaroos, and while North holds the edge in scoring this season (97 to 74), Melbourne’s numbers and goal accuracy (64.7%) make them slight favourites.

Opportunity Bet

🔥 North Melbourne is heavily undervalued! 🔥

The bookmakers give North just a 30.49% chance, while our numbers suggest they actually have a 46.4% probability.
If our analysis is right, North’s fair odds should be around $2.15, yet they are available at $3.10—which presents a pretty decent value opportunity.
Meanwhile, Melbourne is overpriced—the bookies have them at 69.51% probability, while our numbers suggest they should be closer to 53.6%.

Final Take

📌 North Melbourne at $3.10 is a strong value bet—the bookies may be underestimating them.
📌 Melbourne is the favourite but overpriced, meaning there’s little value in backing them at $1.36.
📌 If you’re looking for a handy underdog play, North Melbourne at these odds offers serious upside!

At $3.10, North Melbourne is a fantastic value bet!

Suggested Betting Tip:

North Melbourne +18.5 @ $1.90 with
Ladbrokes

H-2-H Bet:

Melbourne (NO VALUE) @ $1.36 with
Ladbrokes

Line Bet:

North Melbourne +18.5 @ $1.90 with
Ladbrokes

OVER/UNDER Bet:

OVER 173.5 @ $1.88 with
Ladbrokes

North Melbourne vs Melbourne SGM

North Melbourne vs Melbourne Head-to-Head Stats (2025 Season)

Average Points For Per Match: North Melbourne: 97.0, Melbourne: 74.0 – (North Melbourne by 23 points)
Average Points Against Per Match: North Melbourne: 113.0, Melbourne: 77.0 – (Melbourne by 36 points)
Average Winning Margin: North Melbourne: N/A, Melbourne: N/A
Average Losing Margin: North Melbourne: 16.0, Melbourne: 3.0 – (Melbourne by 13 points)
HT/FT Double %: North Melbourne: 0.0%, Melbourne: 0.0% – (Even)
Highest Score For: North Melbourne: 97, Melbourne: 74 – (North Melbourne by 23 points)
Highest Score Against: North Melbourne: 113, Melbourne: 77 – (North Melbourne by 36 points)
Biggest Win: North Melbourne: N/A, Melbourne: N/A
Biggest Loss: North Melbourne: 16, Melbourne: 3 – (Melbourne by 13 points)
Highest Total Match Score: North Melbourne: 210, Melbourne: 151 – (North Melbourne by 59 points)
Lowest Total Match Score: North Melbourne: 210, Melbourne: 151 – (North Melbourne by 59 points)
Goal Accuracy For %: North Melbourne: 58.3%, Melbourne: 64.7% – (Melbourne by 6.4%)
Goal Accuracy Against %: North Melbourne: 65.4%, Melbourne: 57.9% – (North Melbourne by 7.5%)
Current Streak: North Melbourne: L1, Melbourne: L1 – (Even)
Current Form: North Melbourne: L, Melbourne: L – (Even)
Choke % (Loss % After Leading At HT): North Melbourne: 0.0%, Melbourne: 0.0% – (Even)
Reliability % (Win % After Leading At HT): North Melbourne: 0.0%, Melbourne: 0.0% – (Even)
Comeback % (Win % After Trailing At HT): North Melbourne: 0.0%, Melbourne: 0.0% – (Even)