GWS vs Western Bulldogs Prediction & Betting Analysis Round 7

GWS GIANTS vs Western Bulldogs Predictions

Game 6 of Round 7 of the 2025 Toyota AFL Premiership predictions sees GWS vs Western Bulldogs on April 26 at Manuka Oval on Saturday night. You can catch the game live on Kayo, & Foxtel. 🏉🔥

Thursday, April 24, 2025

7:30 pm AEDT @ MCG, Melbourne

Final Score Prediction

Giants

100 : 80

Bulldogs

Win Percentages

GWS 50.82%

Western Bulldogs 49.18%

GWS

Bulldogs

Quick Insight

At the time of writing Unibet had the head to head for the Greater Western Sydney GIANTS set at $1.50, and $2.60 for the Western Bulldogs, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

GIANTS 63.44%
Bulldogs 36.56%

Opportunity Bet

Bookies are leaning into the Giants here, pricing them as solid favourites with a 63.44% chance of winning. But our model says this matchup is just about dead even, with the Giants holding only a slight edge at 50.82%.

That means there’s a bit of hidden value on the Bulldogs. The market gives them just a 36.56% shot, but our numbers put them much closer to a coin flip at 49.18%.

Based on that, the Bulldogs should be priced closer to $2.03, but Unibet is offering $2.60. That’s a solid edge for anyone keen on a value underdog.

Power Rankings Breakdown

It gets even more interesting when you stack up the power rankings:

Overall Power Ranking: Bulldogs 7th vs Giants 15th
Score Rank: Giants 8th vs Bulldogs 18th
Balanced Power Score: Bulldogs 10th vs Giants 17th
Points For Per Match Rank: Giants 1st vs Bulldogs 11th
Points Against Rank: Giants 1st vs Bulldogs 8th
Win % Rank: Giants 1st vs Bulldogs 6th
Total Power Rank Score: Giants 7.17 vs Bulldogs 10.00

What to do?

GWS have been strong at home, no doubt, top-ranked for points scored and conceded. But overall, the Dogs are better balanced and sit higher in power rankings when looking at the full season’s form.

This one’s way closer than the market suggests. The Giants are strong at home, but the Bulldogs have more than enough to challenge. With $2.60 on offer and a near 50/50 win probability, backing the Dogs is a great value play here.

Take the Bulldogs line at +11.5 to play it safe.

Suggested Betting Tip:

Bulldogs +11.5 @ $1.90 with
Unibet

H-2-H Bet:

GWS @ $1.53 with
Unibet

Winning Margin Bet:

GWS 1-39 @ $2.04 with
Unibet

OVER/UNDER Bet:

OVER 169.5 @ $1.90 with
Unibet

GWS vs Western Bulldogs SGM