GWS vs West Coast Prediction & Betting Analysis Round 4

GWS Giants vs West Coast Eagles Predictions

Game 6 of Round 4 of the 2025 Toyota AFL Premiership predictions sees GWS vs West Coast on April 6 at ENGIE Stadium on Sunday afternoon. You can catch the game live on Kayo, & Foxtel. 🏉🔥

Sunday, April 6, 2025

1:10 pm AEST @ ENGIE Stadium, Sydney

Final Score Prediction

Giants

106 : 57

Eagles

Win Percentages

GWS 74.3%

West Coast 25.7%

GWS

West Coast

Quick Insight

At the time of writing Ladbrokes had the head to head for Greater Western Sydney Giants set at $1.03, and $13.00 for the West Coast Eagles, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Giants 92.68%
Eagles 7.34%

Opportunity Bet

The bookies have all but written off West Coast, giving them just a 7.34% chance of winning. But our numbers tell a different story, we’ve got the Eagles with a 25.7% shot, which is still long odds, but nowhere near as hopeless as the market suggests.

At $13.00, the Eagles are priced like a miracle is needed. But based on our model, their true odds should be closer to $3.89. That’s a monster discrepancy, and while it’s still a high-risk bet, the value is absolutely there for anyone brave enough to back the underdog.

This is a classic high-risk, high-reward scenario. The Eagles aren’t favourites by any stretch, but $13.00 is way overs based on our 25.7% win prediction. If you’re chasing value and not afraid of a bold play, West Coast could be worth a cheeky flutter.

What to do?

GWS are having a ripper of a season so far, and unfortunately west Coast are once again right where we expected them to be. Betting straight on GWS is a bit of a mugs game as a $1.03 bet is nothing to write home about, and even the winning margin of 40+ is a mere $1.35, best bet this week is the -55.5 line, or if you like a gamble (which we all do), whack a cheeky double up on the Eagles H-2-H at $13.00 and if they do manage to come up on top with a surprise win you’ll cover any of your losses from the rest of your tips.

Suggested Betting Tip:

West Coast Line (-55.5) @ $1.90 with
Ladbrokes

H-2-H Bet:

GWS (NOT RECOMMENDED) @ $1.03 with
Ladbrokes

Winning Margin Bet:

GWS 40+ @ $1.35 with
Ladbrokes

OVER/UNDER Bet:

OVER 178.5 @ $1.88 with
Ladbrokes

GWS vs West Coast SGM

Head-to-Head Stats

Average Points For Per Match: GWS: 81.7, West Coast: 64.0 – (GWS by 17.7 points)
Average Points Against Per Match: GWS: 67.3, West Coast: 112.0 – (GWS by 44.7 points)
Average Winning Margin: GWS: 27.5, West Coast: N/A – (GWS by 27.5 points)
Average Losing Margin: GWS: 12.0, West Coast: 48.0 – (GWS by 36.0 points)
HT/FT Double %: GWS: 66.7%, West Coast: 0.0% – (GWS by 66.7%)
Highest Score For: GWS: 104, West Coast: 75 – (GWS by 29 points)
Highest Score Against: GWS: 76, West Coast: 136 – (GWS more resilient by 60 points)
Biggest Win: GWS: 52, West Coast: N/A – (GWS by 52 points)
Biggest Loss: GWS: 12, West Coast: 87 – (GWS more resilient by 75 points)
Highest Total Match Score: GWS: 156, West Coast: 185 – (West Coast by 29 points)
Lowest Total Match Score: GWS: 140, West Coast: 169 – (GWS by 29 points)
Goal Accuracy For %: GWS: 57.4%, West Coast: 57.1% – (GWS by 0.3%)
Goal Accuracy Against %: GWS: 45.8%, West Coast: 60.5% – (GWS by 14.7%)
Current Streak: GWS: L1, West Coast: L3 – (GWS edge)
Current Form: GWS: WWL, West Coast: LLL – (GWS dominance)
Choke % (Loss % After Leading HT): GWS: 0.0%, West Coast: 100.0% – (GWS by 100%)
Reliability % (Win % After Leading HT): GWS: 100.0%, West Coast: 0.0% – (GWS by 100%)
Comeback % (Win % After Trailing HT): GWS: 0.0%, West Coast: 0.0% – (Even)
Last 5 Encounters:
- 24 Mar 2024 (R2): GWS 108 def. West Coast 43
- 26 Mar 2023 (R2): West Coast 100 def. GWS 81
- 22 May 2022 (R10): GWS 138 def. West Coast 86
- 23 May 2021 (R10): GWS 93 def. West Coast 77
- 23 Aug 2020 (R13): West Coast 61 def. GWS 49