Caulfield Cup Day Tips & Analysis for October 19, 2024

Distance: 1100m | Class: 3YO OPN CG | Exp Tempo: Avg

Will be using the first few races to assess the track conditions and pattern/lanes

Won’t be betting silly.

Numbers: 1 – 4 – 2 – 3

Distance: 1200m | Class: 3YO LR | Exp Tempo: Abv Avg –  Avg

Once again, don’t want to go crazy here but do have RESERVER BANK on top.

Ran a blinder last start behind FIRST SETTLER.

Can stalk the speed and launch if they’re running on.

Numbers: 6 – 7 – 8 – 4

Distance: 2000m | Class: 3YO G3 | Exp Tempo: Abv Avg

Caught my eye last start.

Will appreciate this step up in distance.

Happy to have a small speck.

Numbers: 8 – 2 – 1 – 5

Distance: 2000m | Class: 3YO G3 F | Exp Tempo: Abv Avg

FEMMINILE loves it moist.

Have followed in all starts this prep

Map could be slightly tricky but believe she is value.

INEVITABLE TRUTH once clear was absolutely powering through the line.

Screaming out for this.

Numbers: 3 – 6 – 1 – 3

Distance: 1100m | Class: 3YO+ LR FM | Exp Tempo: Abv Avg

Think CHINNY BOOM could be an upset here at a price.

Will appreciate the conditions and make her own luck up on speed.

Numbers: 2 – 5 – 10 – 6

Distance: 1400m | Class: 3YO G2 F | Exp Tempo: Abv Avg

Healthy little futures ticket on MATISSE so will be cheering her on.

Looks to get the perfect setup today.

Keen on BENAGIL also.

Numbers: 5 – 8 – 3 – 4

Distance: 1000m | Class: 3YO+ G2 | Exp Tempo: Abv Avg – Avg

WAY TO THE STARS will give plenty of cheek up on the speed.

Might be a case of catch me if you can if he can get across without burning to much petrol.

REY MAGNERIO is the danger and deserving favourite so couldn’t talk you out of backing him.

These big day’s always throw up runners at odds so i prefer to lean into those that present some value and play small.

MIDTOWN BOSS is another runner that could absolutely run a race if returned well. Could be the forgotten horse.

Numbers: 7 – 8 – 9 – 2

Distance: 1400m | Class: 4YO+ G2 M | Exp Tempo: Abv Avg

We had a two pronged attack last start when most of these runners met.

Happy to butter up and again with SKYBIRD with a more favourable draw and distance over RM.

I’m not writing off WROTE TO ARATAKI, get’s one more chance with a tiny bet.

REV MISS next best.

Numbers: 4 – 6 – 2 – 11

Distance: 2400m | Class: 3YO+ G1 | Exp Tempo: Fast

Gee this race has chopped and changed for me in the last 24 hrs. 

Will the track still be somewhat heavy?

If yes, it’s hard to look past WARMONGER who looks primed to run a race.

Will get the hot tempo and track conditions to suit here. Grows a leg in the wet.

G1 Mick Dee in the saddle. Ticks ALOT of boxes.

Plain last start but that was due to the tempo of the race i believe.

Not exactly sure if DENY KNOWLEDGE gets through the going but if it’s an improving track i think she can run a race at the weights.

Will make her own lucky and set a pretty hot speed i believe, giving them all something to chase.

If she’s not flat from last start (vet inspections don’t fill me with confidence) she could hold on and get into the money.

ZARDOZI will get everything to suit.

FRANCESCO GUARDI has snuck into the race with the scratchings is far from a $70 pop.

HUETOR if the track stays bottomless is a great sniff at odds.

CIRCLE OF FIRE another runner that be a sharp improver today at a price.

VALIANT KING has done nothing this prep since coming to Waller BUT, if he could find his form similar to last years run he’s overs.

Can make a case for quite a few runners so please yourself and enjoy the race.

I won’t be betting till late with a better understanding on the track.

Will update bets on Twitter.

Numbers: 6 – 13 – 15 – 2 – 5

Distance: 1400m | Class: 4YO+ G3 | Exp Tempo: Avg

Easy bet to have to end the day. 

Class should take us along way. 

I don’t believe the BUFF is out of it.

Loves getting his toe in, and if there not quite running i could entertain a speck.

GENTLEMAN ROY an easy bet also.

Numbers: 1 – 2 – 3 – 4