AFL Betting Tips Round 23

AFL Expert Tips Round 23

Image	Team	Predicted Score	Win Chance	Actual Score
	Essendon	89	53.87%
	Sydney	86	45.07%

Image	Team	Predicted Score	Win Chance	Actual Score
	Gold Coast	84	65.58%
	Melbourne	70	33.27%

Image	Team	Predicted Score	Win Chance	Actual Score
#N/A	GW Sydney	89	68.91%
	Fremantle	71	30.01%

Image	Team	Predicted Score	Win Chance	Actual Score
	Collingwood	83	39.18%
	Brisbane Lions	94	59.79%

Image	Team	Predicted Score	Win Chance	Actual Score
	Port Adelaide	94	70.41%
	Adelaide	75	28.68%

Image	Team	Predicted Score	Win Chance	Actual Score
	St Kilda	68	35.48%
	Geelong	80	63.22%

Image	Team	Predicted Score	Win Chance	Actual Score
	Western Bulldogs	115	93.53%
	Kangaroos	61	6.07%

Image	Team	Predicted Score	Win Chance	Actual Score
	Hawthorn	104	89.13%
	Richmond	62	10.36%

Image	Team	Predicted Score	Win Chance	Actual Score
	West Coast	84	37.67%
	Carlton	95	61.26%

This week’s AFL Round 23 tips and predictions begins on Friday with the Essendon Bombers taking on the Sydney Swans at Marvel Stadium in Melbourne, and finishes up with the West Coast Eagles and the Carlton Blues at Optus Stadium in Perth on Sunday with no teams sitting out this round with a bye.

Bombers vs Swans

Friday, August 16, 2024

7:40 pm @ Marvel Stadium, Melbourne

This Friday night at Marvel Stadium in Melbourne, the Essendon Bombers take on the Sydney Swans at 7:40 pm.

Head-to-Head Stats:

Average Points For Per Match: Essendon 84.1, Sydney 96.3 – (Sydney by 12.2)
Average Points Against Per Match: Essendon 87.6, Sydney 77.1 – (Sydney by 10.5)
Average Winning Margin: Essendon 16.5, Sydney 37.6 – (Sydney by 21.1)
Average Losing Margin: Essendon 28.2, Sydney 26.8 – (Sydney by 1.4)
Current Form: Essendon LLLWL, Sydney WLLLW – (Sydney Streak 1)
Disposal Efficiency: Essendon 73.5%, Sydney 71.9% – (Essendon by 1.6%)
Efficiency Inside 50: Essendon 44.2%, Sydney 50.2% – (Sydney by 6%)
Wins This Season: Essendon 50% (8/16), Sydney 50% (8/16) – (even)
Points Scored This Season: Essendon 1346, Sydney 1541 – (Sydney by 195)
Points Conceded This Season: Essendon 1401, Sydney 1234 – (Sydney by 167)
Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Sydney won by 30 points (119-89) on 23rd March 2024
Reliability to Win After Leading HT: Essendon 70.0%, Sydney 76.9% – (Sydney by 6.9%)
HT/FT Double: Essendon 33.3%, Sydney 47.6% – (Sydney by 14.3%)

Outcome Prediction:

Final Scores: Bombers: 89, Swans: 86
Win Percentages: Bombers: 53.87%, Swans: 45.07%

Statistically Who is Better and Where?

Essendon Bombers are only better in disposal efficiency.

Sydney Swans are better in points for and against both per match and for the season, winning and losing margin, form, efficiency inside 50, reliability to win after leading at halftime, and the halftime fulltime double.

Essendon faces Sydney at Marvel Stadium after a crushing defeat to Gold Coast, marking their fifth consecutive loss when favoured. This loss dropped them out of the top eight. In contrast, Sydney is safe after an awesome comeback victory against Collingwood, overcoming a 27-point deficit thanks to standout performances from Chad Warner and Isaac Heeney. Earlier in the season, these two also led Sydney to a dominant 131-101 win over Essendon.

Sydney has won five of the last six matchups against Essendon and holds statistical advantages in key areas, including average points scored and conceded. Sydney also boasts a higher efficiency inside 50 and a significantly larger average winning margin. Both teams share the same win-loss record this season, making this game crucial for Essendons finals hopes which should see them play an amazing game that might just surprise Swans fans.

Final Score Prediction:

Essendon Bombers 89-86

Suggested Betting Tip: Bombers to win by 1-39 @ $2.85 with Neds

OVER/UNDER Bet: UNDER 174.5 @ $1.88 with Neds

Same Game Multi:

HT/FT Double: Bombers/Bombers

Winning Margin: Bombers 1-39

OVER/UNDER: UNDER 174.5

Take Bet @ $6.50 with Neds

Suns vs Demons

Saturday, August 17, 2024

1:45 PM @ People First Stadium, Gold Coast

This Saturday at 1:45 pm, the Gold Coast Suns are squaring off against the Melbourne Demons at People First Stadium.

Head-to-Head Stats:

Average Points For Per Match: Suns 84.2, Demons 76.7 – (Suns by 7.5)
Average Points Against Per Match: Suns 83.8, Demons 78.4 – (Demons by 5.4)
Average Winning Margin: Suns 30.4, Demons 28.5 – (Suns by 1.9)
Average Losing Margin: Suns 26.9, Demons 29.1 – (Suns by 2.2)
Current Form: Suns WLLLW, Demons LLLLL – (Suns streak 1)
Disposal Efficiency: Suns 72.5%, Demons 70.4% – (Suns by 2.1%)
Efficiency Inside 50: Suns 43.5%, Demons 46.5% – (Demons by 3%)
Wins This Season: Suns 50% (8/16), Demons 50% (8/16) – (even)
Points Scored This Season: Suns 1344, Demons 1220 – (Suns by 124)
Points Conceded This Season: Suns 1341, Demons 1254 – (Demons by 87)
Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Melbourne won by 5 points (90-85) on 6th May 2023
Reliability to Win After Leading HT: Suns 90.0%, Demons 72.7% – (Suns by 17.3%)
HT/FT Double: Suns 42.9%, Demons 38.1% – (Suns by 4.8%)

Outcome Prediction:

Final Scores: Suns: 84, Demons: 70
Win Percentages: Suns: 65.58%, Demons: 33.27%

Statistically Who is Better and Where?

Gold Coast Suns are better in average points for per match and scored this season, winning and losing margins, current form, disposal efficiency, reliability to win after leading at halftime, and the halftime fulltime double.

Melbourne Demons are better in points against per match and this season, and have a better efficiency inside 50.

Returning home after a crucial away victory, Gold Coast SUNS are set to face Melbourne at People First Stadium. Their recent win over Essendon, thanks to Mac Andrew’s four-goal haul, including a dramatic match-winner, has fueled a glimpse of optimism.

The SUNS are currently undefeated at home against interstate teams in 2024, a streak they aim to extend. In contrast, Melbourne arrives on a four-game losing streak, most recently falling to Port Adelaide in a close contest. Despite the Demons’ struggles, their last meeting with Gold Coast ended in a narrow five-point victory. This weekend’s game will test the resilience of both sides as they look to gain much needed points.

Final Score Prediction:

Gold Coast Suns 84-70

Suggested Betting Tip: Suns to win by 1-39 @ $2.10 with Neds

OVER/UNDER Bet: UNDER 167.5 @ $1.88 with Neds

Same Game Multi:

HT/FT Double: Suns/Suns

Winning Margin: Suns 1-39

OVER/UNDER: UNDER 167.5

Take Bet @ $4.76 with Neds

GWS Giants vs Dockers

Saturday, August 17, 2024

1:45 PM @ ENGIE Stadium, Sydney

This Saturday arvo the Greater Western Sydney Giants face the Fremantle Dockers at ENGIE Stadium at 1:45 pm.

Head-to-Head Stats:

Average Points For Per Match: Giants 89.1, Dockers 86.0 – (Giants by 3.1)
Average Points Against Per Match: Giants 79.7, Dockers 74.6 – (Dockers by 5.1)
Average Winning Margin: Giants 24.4, Dockers 35.7 – (Dockers by 11.3)
Average Losing Margin: Giants 20.6, Dockers 23.8 – (Giants by 3.2)
Current Form: Giants WWWWWW, Dockers LWWLLL – (Giants streak 6)
Disposal Efficiency: Giants 73.5%, Dockers 76% – (Dockers by 2.5%)
Efficiency Inside 50: Giants 47.9%, Dockers 50.2% – (Dockers by 2.3%)
Wins This Season: Giants 75% (12/16), Dockers 50% (8/16) – (Giants by 25%)
Points Scored This Season: Giants 1429, Dockers 1376 – (Giants by 53)
Points Conceded This Season: Giants 1275, Dockers 1194 – (Dockers by 81)
Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Giants won by 70 points (106-36) on 17th June 2023
Reliability to Win After Leading HT: Giants 76.9%, Dockers 71.4% – (Giants by 5.5%)
HT/FT Double: Giants 47.6%, Dockers 47.6% – (even)

Outcome Prediction:

Final Scores: GWS: 89, Dockers: 71
Win Percentages: GWS: 68.91%, Dockers: 30.01%

Statistically Who is Better and Where?

GWS Giants are better in points for per match, lower losing margin, current form, wins this season, and reliability to win after leading at halftime.

Fremantle Dockers are better in points against per match, winning margin, disposal efficiency, efficiency inside 50, and points conceded this season.

GWS Giants and Fremantle Dockers are set for a game at ENGIE Stadium as they chase top-four and top-eight finishes, respectively. The Giants are riding a wave of momentum, securing their sixth consecutive victory with an 82-64 win over Brisbane. This impressive streak has been achieved despite missing key players like Josh Kelly and Stephen Coniglio for several matches, though both are expected to play this weekend.

On the other hand, Fremantle’s recent form has been shaky, with a narrow 73-62 loss to Geelong further complicating their finals aspirations. These two teams haven’t met in 2024, but GWS dominated their last game, thrashing Fremantle by 70 points in 2023.

Final Score Prediction:

GWS Giants 89-71

Suggested Betting Tip: Giants to win by 1-39 @ $2.10 with Neds

OVER/UNDER Bet: UNDER 162.5 @ $1.88 with Neds

Same Game Multi:

HT/FT Double: Dockers/Giants

Winning Margin: Giants 1-39

OVER/UNDER: UNDER 162.5

Take Bet @ $12.84 with Neds

Magpies vs Lions

Saturday, August 17, 2024

4:35 PM @ MCG, Melbourne

This Saturday arvo at the MCG in Melbourne, it’s the Collingwood Magpies versus the Brisbane Lions at 4:35 pm.

Head-to-Head Stats:

Average Points For Per Match: Magpies 86.1, Lions 93.6 – (Lions by 7.5)
Average Points Against Per Match: Magpies 86.1, Lions 76.2 – (Lions by 9.9)
Average Winning Margin: Magpies 21.1, Lions 40.8 – (Lions by 19.7)
Average Losing Margin: Magpies 23.3, Lions 23.9 – (Magpies by 0.6)
Current Form: Magpies LLWWL, Lions WWWWL – (Lions Streak 1)
Disposal Efficiency: Magpies 69.5%, Lions 72.7% – (Lions by 3.2%)
Efficiency Inside 50: Magpies 52.4%, Lions 49.4% – (Magpies by 3%)
Wins This Season: Magpies 50% (8/16), Lions 75% (12/16) – (Lions by 25%)
Points Scored This Season: Magpies 1377, Lions 1498 – (Lions by 121)
Points Conceded This Season: Magpies 1377, Lions 1219 – (Lions by 158)
Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Collingwood won by 4 points (90-86) on 30th September 2023
Reliability to Win After Leading HT: Magpies 66.7%, Lions 78.6% – (Lions by 11.9%)
HT/FT Double: Magpies 38.1%, Lions 52.4% – (Lions by 14.3%)

Outcome Prediction:

Final Scores: Magpies: 83, Lions: 94
Win Percentages: Magpies: 39.18%, Lions: 59.79%

Statistically Who is Better and Where?

Collingwood Magpies have a slightly smaller losing margin, and better efficiency inside 50.

Brisbane Lions are better in points for and against, winning margin, current form, disposal efficiency, and overall reliability after leading at halftime.

Collingwood returns to the MCG for a pivotal match against Brisbane, with the memory of last Friday’s narrow defeat to Sydney still fresh. The Magpies saw a 27-point lead slip away in the final quarter, ultimately losing 89-86—a rare close loss for the team, which has a strong record in tight games since the start of 2023.

This game is a rematch of the 2023 Grand Final, where Collingwood edged Brisbane by four points to secure the premiership. The Magpies also defeated the Lions earlier this season at the Gabba. For Brisbane, this match is critical after a recent loss to GWS ended their nine-game winning streak and dropped them out of the top four.

Final Score Prediction:

Brisbane Lions 94-83

Suggested Betting Tip: Lions to win by 1-39 @ $2.20 with Neds

OVER/UNDER Bet: OVER 167.5 @ $1.88 with Neds

Same Game Multi:

HT/FT Double: Lions/Lions

Winning Margin: Lions 1-39

OVER/UNDER: OVER 167.5

Take Bet @ $5.01 with Neds

Power vs Crows

Saturday, August 17, 2024

7:30 PM @ Adelaide Oval, Adelaide

This Saturday night at Adelaide Oval, Port Adelaide Power and the Adelaide Crows go head-to-head with no team having a clear home ground advantage.

Head-to-Head Stats:

Average Points For Per Match: Power 87.8, Crows 83.7 – (Power by 4.1)
Average Points Against Per Match: Power 77.5, Crows 82.0 – (Power by 4.5)
Average Winning Margin: Power 31.9, Crows 34.6 – (Crows by 2.7)
Average Losing Margin: Power 32.9, Crows 20.1 – (Crows by 12.8)
Current Form: Power LWWWW, Crows WWLLW – (Power Streak 4)
Disposal Efficiency: Power 72.4%, Crows 73.5% – (Crows by 1.1%)
Efficiency Inside 50: Power 52.4%, Crows 46.3% – (Power by 6.1%)
Wins This Season: Power 62.5% (10/16), Crows 50% (8/16) – (Power by 12.5%)
Points Scored This Season: Power 1406, Crows 1339 – (Power by 67)
Points Conceded This Season: Power 1240, Crows 1312 – (Power by 72)
Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Adelaide won by 30 points (112-65) on 29th July 2023
Reliability to Win After Leading HT: Power 100.0%, Crows 70.0% – (Power by 30%)
HT/FT Double: Power 38.1%, Crows 33.3% – (Power by 4.8%)

Outcome Prediction:

Final Scores: Power: 94, Crows: 75
Win Percentages: Power: 70.41%, Crows: 28.68%

Statistically Who is Better and Where?

Port Adelaide Power are better in most metrics.

Adelaide Crows are better in winning margin by 2.7 points, and marginally better disposal efficiency.

Port Adelaide is gearing up for a significant matchup against Adelaide Crows in the second Showdown of 2024, with a home qualifying final within reach. Despite their recent dominance in the overall standings, the Power has struggled in showdowns against the Crows, losing both matches since the start of 2023, including a 78-48 defeat earlier this year. In that game, Port Adelaide led key metrics but failed to convert those advantages into a win.

The Power enters this game in strong form, having won six of their last seven games, including a narrow victory over Melbourne. Adelaide also comes off a big win, having defeated the Bulldogs 111-72 last weekend, driven by standout performances from Darcy Fogarty and Matt Crouch.

Final Score Prediction:

Port Adelaide Power 94-75

Suggested Betting Tip: Power to win by 1-39 @ $2.15 with Neds

OVER/UNDER Bet: OVER 170.5 @ $1.88 with Neds

Same Game Multi:

HT/FT Double: Crows/Power

Winning Margin: Power 1-39

OVER/UNDER: OVER 170.5

Take Bet @ $11.26 with Neds

Saints vs Cats

Saturday, August 17, 2024

7:30 PM @ Marvel Stadium, Melbourne

This Saturday night at Marvel Stadium in Melbourne the St Kilda Saints take on Geelong Cats at 7:30 pm.

Head-to-Head Stats:

Average Points For Per Match: Saints 74.5, Cats 90.8 – (Cats by 16.3)
Average Points Against Per Match: Saints 76.0, Cats 83.1 – (Saints by 7.1)
Average Winning Margin: Saints 28.0, Cats 27.4 – (Saints by 0.6)
Average Losing Margin: Saints 23.5, Cats 31.7 – (Saints by 8.2)
Current Form: Saints LWWLW, Cats WLWWW – (Cats streak 3)
Disposal Efficiency: Saints 72.8%, Cats 68.9% – (Saints by 3.9%)
Efficiency Inside 50: Saints 46.5%, Cats 47.7% – (Cats by 1.2%)
Wins This Season: Saints 50% (8/16), Cats 62.5% (10/16) – (Cats by 12.5%)
Points Scored This Season: Saints 1194, Cats 1450 – (Cats by 256)
Points Conceded This Season: Saints 1216, Cats 1330 – (Saints by 114)
Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Geelong won by 8 points (76-68) on 16th March 2024
Reliability to Win After Leading HT: Saints 83.3%, Cats 92.3% – (Cats by 9%)
HT/FT Double: Saints 23.8%, Cats 57.1% – (Cats by 33.3%)

Outcome Prediction:

Final Scores: Saints: 68, Cats: 80
Win Percentages: Saints: 35.48%, Cats: 63.22%

Statistically Who is Better and Where?

St Kilda Saints are have lower conceded points, a better winning margin, and disposal efficiency.

Geelong Cats have higher average points per match, better current form, efficiency inside 50, wins this season, a better reliability to win after leading at half time, and a far superior halftime fulltime double percentage.

Geelong Cats will face St Kilda at Marvel Stadium with the goal of securing a home qualifying final. The Cats have been in fine form, winning six of their last seven matches, including a recent 73-62 victory over Fremantle. Their strong performances are allowing an average of 83.1 points per game, could be key against a St Kilda team that ranks 15th in scoring this season.

The Saints come off a solid 99-51 win over Richmond, led by Rowan Marshall’s impressive display. In their earlier meeting this season, Geelong edged St Kilda 76-68, continuing their dominance with eight wins in their last ten games against the Saints.

Final Score Prediction:

Geelong Cats 80-68

Suggested Betting Tip: Cats to win by 1-39 @ $2.10 with Neds

OVER/UNDER Bet: UNDER 164.5 @ $1.88 with Neds

Same Game Multi:

HT/FT Double: Cats/Cats

Winning Margin: Cats 1-39

Take Bet @ $4.89 with Neds

Bulldogs vs Kangaroos

Sunday, August 18, 2024

1:10 PM @ Marvel Stadium, Melbourne

A little after lunch on Sunday at Marvel Stadium in Melbourne the Western Bulldogs face off against the North Melbourne Kangaroos at 1:10 pm.

Head-to-Head Stats:

Average Points For Per Match: Bulldogs 92.1, Kangaroos 72.9 – (Bulldogs by 19.2)
Average Points Against Per Match: Bulldogs 77.8, Kangaroos 106.8 – (Bulldogs by 29.0)
Average Winning Margin: Bulldogs 46.3, Kangaroos 8.7 – (Bulldogs by 37.6)
Average Losing Margin: Bulldogs 28.1, Kangaroos 40.9 – (Bulldogs by 12.8)
Current Form: Bulldogs WWWWL, Kangaroos LLLWL – (Bulldogs streak 4)
Disposal Efficiency: Bulldogs 73.6%, Kangaroos 74.9% – (Kangaroos by 1.3%)
Efficiency Inside 50: Bulldogs 50.6%, Kangaroos 42.4% – (Bulldogs by 8.2%)
Wins This Season: Bulldogs 62.5% (10/16), Kangaroos 25% (4/16) – (Bulldogs by 37.5%)
Points Scored This Season: Bulldogs 1477, Kangaroos 1166 – (Bulldogs by 311)
Points Conceded This Season: Bulldogs 1245, Kangaroos 1709 – (Bulldogs by 464)
Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Bulldogs won by 17 points (77-60) on 29th June 2024
Reliability to Win After Leading HT: Bulldogs 91.7%, Kangaroos 33.3% – (Bulldogs by 58.4%)
HT/FT Double: Bulldogs 52.4%, Kangaroos 9.5% – (Bulldogs by 42.9%)

Outcome Prediction:

Final Scores: Bulldogs: 115, Kangaroos: 61
Win Percentages: Bulldogs: 93.53%, Kangaroos: 6.07%

Statistically Who is Better and Where?

Western Bulldogs are better in almost every metric available.

North Melbourne Kangaroos are are failing in almost every metric with only having a better disposal efficiency.

The Western Bulldogs will be pushing for a top-eight finish when they face North Melbourne at Marvel Stadium on Sunday. The Bulldogs have dominated the Kangaroos recently, securing a 77-60 win in their Round 16 game, largely due to Marcus Bontempelli’s standout performance.

The Bulldogs are coming off a tough 111-72 loss to Adelaide, marking only their second loss in eight games, both of which occurred at Adelaide Oval. North Melbourne, on the other hand, suffered a heartbreaking 102-97 loss to West Coast last weekend, despite leading late in the match. This result handed the Kangaroos their 18th loss of the season.

Final Score Prediction:

Western Bulldogs 115-61

Suggested Betting Tip: Bulldogs to win by 40+ @ $1.70 with Neds

OVER/UNDER Bet: UNDER 177.5 @ $1.88 with Neds

Same Game Multi:

HT/FT Double: Bulldogs/Bulldogs

Winning Margin: Blues 40+

OVER/UNDER: UNDER 177.5

Take Bet @ $3.47 with Neds

Hawks vs Tigers

Sunday, August 18, 2024

3:20 PM @ the MCG, Melbourne

This Sunday at the MCG in Melbourne, the Hawthorn Hawks and the Richmond Tigers go head-to-head at 3:20 pm.

Head-to-Head Stats:

Average Points For Per Match: Hawks 85.2, Tigers 65.3 – (Hawks by 19.9)
Average Points Against Per Match: Hawks 78.5, Tigers 101.9 – (Hawks by 23.4)
Average Winning Margin: Hawks 36.9, Tigers 6.5 – (Hawks by 30.4)
Average Losing Margin: Hawks 33.7, Tigers 41.1 – (Hawks by 7.4)
Current Form: Hawks WWWLWW, Tigers LLLLLL – (Hawks streak 1)
Disposal Efficiency: Hawks 74.5%, Tigers 71.9% – (Hawks by 2.6%)
Efficiency Inside 50: Hawks 48.8%, Tigers 43.6% – (Hawks by 5.2%)
Wins This Season: Hawks 62.5% (10/16), Tigers 25% (4/16) – (Hawks by 37.5%)
Points Scored This Season: Hawks 1363, Tigers 1045 – (Hawks by 318)
Points Conceded This Season: Hawks 1256, Tigers 1630 – (Hawks by 374)
Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Hawthorn won by 48 points (97-49) on 15th June 2024
Reliability to Win After Leading HT: Hawks 84.6%, Tigers 0.0% – (Hawks by 84.6%)
HT/FT Double: Hawks 52.4%, Tigers 0.0% – (Hawks by 52.4%)

Outcome Prediction:

Final Scores: Hawks: 104, Tigers: 62
Win Percentages: Hawks: 89.13%, Tigers: 10.36%

Statistically Who is Better and Where?

Hawthorn Hawks are better in every metric.

Richmond Tigers are no good this week.

Hawthorn will take on Richmond at the MCG this Sunday, with a finals spot within reach. The Hawks are coming off an emphatic 112-38 win over Carlton, propelling them into eighth place. With only two matches left, victories in both should secure their first finals appearance since 2018.

Hawthorn has been in good form, losing just four of their last 16 games, all against top-four teams. On the other side, Richmond’s disastrous 2024 season continues, with their 2-19 record threatening to become the worst in the club’s history. In their previous meeting this year, Hawthorn comfortably defeated Richmond 97-49, led by a standout performance from James Sicily.

Final Score Prediction:

Hawthorn Hawks 104-62

Suggested Betting Tip: Hawks to win by 40+ @ $1.73 with Neds

OVER/UNDER Bet: UNDER 171.5 @ $1.88 with Neds

Same Game Multi:

HT/FT Double: Hawks/Hawks

Winning Margin: Hawks 40+

OVER/UNDER: UNDER 171.5

Take Bet @ $3.71 with Neds

Eagles vs Blues

Sunday, August 18, 2024

4:40 PM @ Optus Stadium, Perth

This Sunday arvo at 4:40 pm the West Coast Eagles take on the Carlton Blues as the Blues climb the steep hill to make their way back into the top eight and maintain the position.

Head-to-Head Stats:

Average Points For Per Match: Eagles 70.7, Blues 94.2 – (Blues by 23.5)
Average Points Against Per Match: Eagles 98.7, Blues 87.7 – (Blues by 11.0)
Average Winning Margin: Eagles 25.2, Blues 27.2 – (Blues by 2.0)
Average Losing Margin: Eagles 44.6, Blues 21.1 – (Blues by 23.5)
Current Form: Eagles LLLWW, Blues LWLLL – (Eagles streak 2)
Disposal Efficiency: Eagles 72.8%, Blues 72.5% – (Eagles by 0.3%)
Efficiency Inside 50: Eagles 48.1%, Blues 50% – (Blues by 1.9%)
Wins This Season: Eagles 25% (4/16), Blues 50% (8/16) – (Blues by 25%)
Points Scored This Season: Eagles 1130, Blues 1501 – (Blues by 371)
Points Conceded This Season: Eagles 1579, Blues 1403 – (Blues by 176)
Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Carlton won by 71 points (140-69) on 22nd July 2023
Reliability to Win After Leading HT: Eagles 50.0%, Blues 70.0% – (Blues by 20.0%)
HT/FT Double: Eagles 14.3%, Blues 33.3% – (Blues by 19.0%)

Outcome Prediction:

Final Scores: Eagles: 84, Blues: 95
Win Percentages: Eagles: 37.67%, Blues: 61.26%

Statistically Who is Better and Where?

West Coast Eagles currently have better form that the Blues, and also have a marginally better disposal efficiency.

Carlton Blues are better in every other metric.

Carlton heads to Optus Stadium to face West Coast with their finals hopes hanging by a thread. The Blues have struggled recently, losing five of their last six games, including a heavy 112-38 defeat to Hawthorn. This slump has been compounded by a growing injury list that now includes key players like Harry McKay, Charlie Curnow, and Adam Saad.

Despite these setbacks, Carlton still has a strong chance against a West Coast side that secured just their fifth win of the season last weekend, overcoming North Melbourne 102-97. Having not yet played each other this season, the Blues dominated their meetings with the Eagles in 2023, winning both games convincingly and should do the same this week.