AFL Betting Tips Round 14

AFL Expert Tips Round 14

As we head into Round 14 of the AFL season, there are some intriguing matchups on the horizon. Let’s dive into the AFL tips and predictions for the upcoming games.

14Brisbane Lions	Image	Team	Predicted Score	Win Chance	Actual Score
14Western Bulldogs		Brisbane Lions	93	87.13%
14Richmond		St Kilda	55	12.28%
14Adelaide
14Kangaroos	Image	Team	Predicted Score	Win Chance	Actual Score
14GWS		Western Bulldogs	84	59.21%
		Fremantle	76	39.78%

	Image	Team	Predicted Score	Win Chance	Actual Score
		Richmond	73	32.01%
		Hawthorn	90	66.67%
Column to hide
after pasting	Image	Team	Predicted Score	Win Chance	Actual Score
game keys above		Adelaide	81	39.33%
		Sydney	91	59.66%

	Image	Team	Predicted Score	Win Chance	Actual Score
		Kangaroos	60	7.95%
		Collingwood	111	91.67%

	Image	Team	Predicted Score	Win Chance	Actual Score
		GWS	93	64.76%
		Port Adelaide	79	34.04%

Brisbane Lions vs St Kilda Saints

Friday, June 14, 2024

7:40 PM @ The Gabba, Brisbane

This Friday night at the Gabba, it’s Brisbane Lions (13th) versus St Kilda Saints (14th).

The Lions, coming off a solid win, are ready to roar, especially with Joe Daniher likely to kick up a storm and is tipped favourite for the first goal alongside Charlie Cameron. Meanwhile, the Saints are riding a two-game winning streak, with Max King looking to play the giant slayer.

Head-to-Head Stats:

Average Points For Per Match: Brisbane Lions: 86.5, St Kilda Saints: 70.5
Average Points Against Per Match: Brisbane Lions: 74.9, St Kilda Saints: 75.6
Current Streak: Brisbane Lions: W1, St Kilda Saints: W2
Current Form: Brisbane Lions: WDWLW, St Kilda Saints: LLLWW
Goal Accuracy For: Brisbane Lions: 55.4%, St Kilda Saints: 55.5%
Goal Accuracy Against: Brisbane Lions: 60.4%, St Kilda Saints: 54.7%

Outcome Prediction:

Final Scores: Brisbane Lions 93, St Kilda Saints 59
Win Percentages: Brisbane Lions: 87.13%, St Kilda Saints: 12.28%

The Lions have been racking up points like a poker machine on payday, averaging 86.5 per game, while keeping their defence tighter than your mate who never shouts a round. The Saints, despite their ups and downs, aren’t far behind in scoring but have leaked a few more points than they’d like.

Expect a game with more twists than a Twisties packet, but the Lions, with home ground advantage and a sharper attack, are tipped to edge this one out.

Final Score Prediction: Lions 93-59

Suggested Betting Tip: Lions to win by 1-39 @ $2.05 with Neds

OVER/UNDER Bet: UNDER 161.5 @ $1.88 with Neds

Western Bulldogs vs Fremantle Dockers

Saturday, June 15, 2024

1:45 PM @ Marvel Stadium, Melbourne

This Saturday arvo at Marvel Stadium, the Western Bulldogs (11th) and Fremantle Dockers (7th) are set to duke it out in a game tighter than a sardine tin. The Bulldogs, withJamarra Ugle-Hagan up front, are a bit of a scoring machine, averaging a hefty 91.6 points per game. Their recent form has been a bit like a rollercoaster at Luna Park, with wins and losses in equal measure.

Head-to-Head Stats:

Average Points For Per Match: Western Bulldogs: 91.6, Fremantle Dockers: 81.9
Average Points Against Per Match: Western Bulldogs: 79.8, Fremantle Dockers: 67.5
Current Streak: Western Bulldogs: L1, Fremantle Dockers: W1
Current Form: Western Bulldogs: WWLWL, Fremantle Dockers: WLWDW
Goal Accuracy For: Western Bulldogs: 59.0%, Fremantle Dockers: 54.4%
Goal Accuracy Against: Western Bulldogs: 58.0%, Fremantle Dockers: 51.6%

Outcome Prediction:

Final Scores: Western Bulldogs 86, Fremantle Dockers 73
Win Percentages: Western Bulldogs: 59.21%, Fremantle Dockers: 39.78%

The Dockers, led by Alex Pearce, have been no slouches either, boasting a sturdy defence that’s been harder to crack than a coconut. They’ve been balancing their offensive and defensive game like a pro juggler, making them slight favourites in this matchup.

With both teams known for their goal-scoring and defensive resilience, this one is going to be close. The Bulldogs, however, are tipped to edge out the Dockers by the narrowest of margins only due to their home ground advantage.

Final Score Prediction: Bulldogs 86-73

Suggested Betting Tip: Bulldogs to win by 1-39 @ $2.25 with Neds

OVER/UNDER Bet: UNDER 166.5 @ $1.88 with Neds

Richmond Tigers vs Hawthorn Hawks

Saturday, June 15, 2024

4:35 PM @ MCG, Melbourne

This Saturday arvo at the ‘G, it’s the Tigers (17th) versus the Hawks (12th).

Richmond fans are holding onto hope like a dog with a bone, but the Hawks are soaring high on a three-game winning streak.

Head-to-Head Stats:

Average Points For Per Match: Richmond Tigers: 64.9, Hawthorn Hawks: 77.0
Average Points Against Per Match: Richmond Tigers: 100.0, Hawthorn Hawks: 87.4
Current Streak: Richmond Tigers: W1, Hawthorn Hawks: W3
Current Form: Richmond Tigers: LLLLW, Hawthorn Hawks: WLWWW
Goal Accuracy For: Richmond Tigers: 54.6%, Hawthorn Hawks: 55.2%
Goal Accuracy Against: Richmond Tigers: 60.5%, Hawthorn Hawks: 64.5%

Outcome Prediction:

Final Scores: Richmond Tigers 74, Hawthorn Hawks 92
Win Percentages: Richmond Tigers: 32.01%, Hawthorn Hawks: 66.67%

With Dusty, Gunston, Bolton, and Chol all odds favourites to bag the first goal, its fair to say they their offense is similarly stacked, however, the Hawks are the bookies’ favourites.

Richmond’s defence has been pretty appalling, conceding 100 points per match on average. Meanwhile, the Hawks have kept their rivals under 90 points with a slightly better backline.

The Tigers’ recent form is patchier than a teenager’s first beard, with a single win after a string of losses. On the other hand, the Hawks are flying high with a winning streak that’s hard to ignore. Expect the Hawks to pluck the Tigers and take this one home.

Final Score Prediction: Hawks 92-74

Suggested Betting Tip: Hawks to win by 1-39 @ $2.15 with Neds

OVER/UNDER Bet: UNDER 169.5 @ $1.88 with Neds

Adelaide Crows vs Sydney Swans

Saturday, June 15, 2024

7:30 PM @ Adelaide Oval, Adelaide

This Saturday night at the Adelaide Oval, it’s the Crows (15th) versus the Swans (1st). Adelaide fans are hoping for a miracle, but the Swans are flying high on an eight-game winning streak.

Head-to-Head Stats:

Average Points For Per Match: Adelaide Crows: 82.4, Sydney Swans: 103.7
Average Points Against Per Match: Adelaide Crows: 76.9, Sydney Swans: 69.7
Current Streak: Adelaide Crows: L2, Sydney Swans: W8
Current Form: Adelaide Crows: DLWLL, Sydney Swans: WWWWW
Goal Accuracy For: Adelaide Crows: 63.3%, Sydney Swans: 60.2%
Goal Accuracy Against: Adelaide Crows: 52.8%, Sydney Swans: 51.8%

Outcome Prediction:

Final Scores: Adelaide Crows 84, Sydney Swans 89
Win Percentages: Adelaide Crows: 39.33%, Sydney Swans: 59.66%

The Crows, despite having Darcy Fogarty’s boot firing on all cylinders, have been as inconsistent as Melbourne’s weather. However it is also worth noting that Fogarty has better than standard odds on kicking first goal also. The Swans defence has been super impressive this season, conceding just under 70 points per game, while Adelaide’s defence has been slightly worse allowing an average of 76.9 points per game.

The Crows’ recent form is as spotty as a Dalmatian, with two losses on the trot followed by a win, loss, and a draw. On the flip side, the Swans are hotter than a BBQ mid January. Expect the Swans to soar and snag the win.

Final Score Prediction: Swans 89-84

Suggested Betting Tip: Swans to win by 1-39 @ $2.15 with Neds

OVER/UNDER Bet: OVER 165.5 @ $1.88 with Neds

North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies

Sunday, June 16, 2024

1:00 PM @ Marvel Stadium, Melbourne

This Sunday arvo at Marvel Stadium, the Kangaroos (18th) take on the Magpies (6th) in what’s shaping up to be a real David and Goliath clash. North Melbourne fans might end up in hospital after crossing their fingers, toes, and anything else they can, but the Magpies look set to swoop in and dominate.

Head-to-Head Stats:

Average Points For Per Match: North Melbourne Kangaroos: 66.6, Collingwood Magpies: 86.1
Average Points Against Per Match: North Melbourne Kangaroos: 113.6, Collingwood Magpies: 79.7
Current Streak: North Melbourne Kangaroos: W1, Collingwood Magpies: W1
Current Form: North Melbourne Kangaroos: LLLLW, Collingwood Magpies: WWDLW
Goal Accuracy For: North Melbourne Kangaroos: 63.6%, Collingwood Magpies: 57.7%
Goal Accuracy Against: North Melbourne Kangaroos: 59.9%, Collingwood Magpies: 59.8%

Outcome Prediction:

Final Scores: North Melbourne Kangaroos 61, Collingwood Magpies 114
Win Percentages: North Melbourne Kangaroos: 7.95%, Collingwood Magpies: 91.67%

Despite Nick Larkey tipped to boot the first goal, the Pies are sitting pretty as bookies’ favourites by a long shot. North Melbourne’s defence has been more porous than a sponge, leaking a whopping 113.6 points per game. Meanwhile, the Magpies have kept it tight, conceding just under 80 points per match.

The Kangaroos’ recent form is shakier than a baby giraffe, with a lone win after a string of losses. On the flip side, the Magpies regardless of a recent loss and draw have remained a fairly solid team throughout the season.

Expect Collingwood to bag this one comfortably.

Final Score Prediction: Magpies 114-61

Suggested Betting Tip: Magpies to win by 40+ @ $1.73 with Neds

OVER/UNDER Bet: UNDER 175.5 @ $1.88 with Neds

GWS Giants vs Port Adelaide Power

Sunday, June 16, 2024

4:00 PM @ ENGIE Stadium, Sydney

This Sunday arvo at ENGIE Stadium, the Giants (8th) face the Power (4th) in what’s set to be a nail-biter! Fans of both teams will be as tense as a long-tailed cat in a room full of rocking chairs.

Head-to-Head Stats:

Average Points For Per Match: GWS Giants: 90.2, Port Adelaide Power: 89.8
Average Points Against Per Match: GWS Giants: 80.0, Port Adelaide Power: 80.4
Current Streak: GWS Giants: L1, Port Adelaide Power: L1
Current Form: GWS Giants: LLLWL, Port Adelaide Power: LWWWL
Goal Accuracy For: GWS Giants: 63.2%, Port Adelaide Power: 52.4%
Goal Accuracy Against: GWS Giants: 54.0%, Port Adelaide Power: 61.5%

Outcome Prediction:

Final Scores: GWS Giants 95, Port Adelaide Power 79
Win Percentages: GWS Giants: 64.76%, Port Adelaide Power: 34.04%

With Jesse Hogan and Toby Greene likely to kick off the scoring for the Giants and Charlie Dixon and Todd Marshall for Port Adelaide, we are expecting a close first quarter. Both teams are neck and neck in their season averages, but the Giants just edge out with slightly better defensive stats. Their goal accuracy has been sharper than a tack at 63.2%, compared to Port’s 52.4%.

The Giants’ recent form has been rockier than a ute on a dirt road, but they’re playing on home turf, which might just give them the boost they need. On the other hand, Port Adelaide’s form has been up and down like a float bobbing in the water trying to keep itself afloat. Expect the Giants to squeeze out a win.

Final Score Prediction: Giants 95-79

Suggested Betting Tip: Giants to win by 1-39 @ $2.20 with Neds

OVER/UNDER Bet: OVER 169.5 @ $1.88 with Neds