AFL Betting Tips Round 12

AFL Footy Tips Round 12

 

Power vs Blues

Thursday, May 30, 2024

7:30 PM @ Adelaide Oval, Adelaide

This Thursday night at the Blues will be travelling to Adelaide Oval to take on the Power. Port Adelaide, fresh off a 107-48 shellacking of North Melbourne, look as strong as a double shot of Jaeger. Todd Marshall’s five-goals and Ollie Wines’ 26 disposals will be enough to set a touch of fear in the Blues.

Head-to-Head Stats:

• Average Points For Per Match: Port Adelaide: 91.5, Carlton: 93.2
• Average Points Against Per Match: Port Adelaide: 78.0, Carlton: 88.8
• Current Streak: Port Adelaide: W3, Carlton: W1
• Current Form: Port Adelaide: WLWWW, Carlton: LLWLW
• Goal Accuracy For: Port Adelaide: 52.6%, Carlton: 61.0%
• Goal Accuracy Against: Port Adelaide: 61.2%, Carlton: 63.9%

Outcome Prediction:

• Final Scores: Port Adelaide 94, Carlton 85
• Win Percentages: Port Adelaide: 59.04%, Carlton: 39.82%

On the flip side, Carlton’s win over Gold Coast, powered by Zac Williams and Charlie Curnow’s four-goal efforts, has them confident. However, the Blues haven’t beaten Port in Adelaide since 2013, and that’s a big chunk of monkey hoodoo voodoo they’ll struggle to shake off. Despite Carlton’s fiery form, Port’s recent wins give them the upper hand.

Expect Port to edge this one 94-85.

Final Score Prediction: Port Adelaide Power 94 – 85 Carlton Blues

Suggested Betting Tip: Power to win by 1-39 @ $2.15 with Neds

Over/Under Bet: OVER 156.5 @ $1.88 with Neds

 

Magpies vs Bulldogs

Friday, May 31, 2024

7:40 PM @ Marvel Stadium, Melbourne

This Friday night at Marvel Stadium, Collingwood and the Western Bulldogs square off in a clash that’s as hot as a billy on a campfire. The Magpies, still unbeaten, come in after a nail-biting draw against Fremantle, showing more resilience than a rubber band. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs, licking their wounds from a 102-88 loss to Sydney, face more injuries than a demolition derby with Naughton, Richards, Weightman, Liberatore, and Johannisen out.

Collingwood’s last match here saw Daicos dominate, and they’ve got the better of the Dogs in four of the last five encounters at Docklands. Despite the Bulldogs having a slight statistical edge, expect a dogfight.

Head-to-Head Stats:

• Average Points For Per Match: Collingwood: 86.2, Western Bulldogs: 92.7
• Average Points Against Per Match: Collingwood: 80.5, Western Bulldogs: 76.5
• Current Streak: Collingwood: D1, Western Bulldogs: L1
• Current Form: Collingwood: DWWWD, Western Bulldogs: LLWWL
• Goal Accuracy For: Collingwood: 56.4%, Western Bulldogs: 58.7%
• Goal Accuracy Against: Collingwood: 61.8%, Western Bulldogs: 57.7%

Outcome Prediction:

• Final Scores: Collingwood 80, Western Bulldogs 84
• Win Percentages: Collingwood: 44.92%, Western Bulldogs: 53.89%

But with the Dogs averaging 6.5 more points per game and the Maggies conceding 3.5 more points the Doggies are holding both a slightly better offence and defence coming into this game, by the end of this game we should see the Magpies pinned to the ground with the Bulldogs firmly on top plucking out their feathers.

Expect the Bulldogs to bring home the bacon 84 – 80.

Final Score Prediction: Western Bulldogs 84 – 80 Collingwood Magpies

Suggested Betting Tip: Bulldogs to win by 1-39 @ $2.65 with Neds

Over/Under Bet: UNDER 167.5 @ $1.88 with Neds

 

Hawks vs Crows

Saturday, June 1, 2024

1:45 PM @ MCG, Melbourne

Saturday arvo at the G, it’s the Hawks and the Crows. Both teams are ready to knuckle down, but let’s be honest, Adelaide’s got the upper hand. The Hawks have been as inconsistent as Melbourne weather, while the Crows have been flying high, with a defensive line tighter a pair of pants two sizes too small.

Hawthorn’s recent form might have been a bit of a rollercoaster, but they’ve got heart. However, Adelaide’s hitting their strides with more consistency than a metronome. With stats showing Adelaide averaging more points and a stingier defence, it’s looking like a tough day at the office for the Hawks.

Head-to-Head Stats:

• Average Points For Per Match: Hawthorn: 73.5, Adelaide: 83.6
• Average Points Against Per Match: Hawthorn: 88.8, Adelaide: 74.0
• Current Streak: Hawthorn: W1, Adelaide: W1
• Current Form: Hawthorn: LWWLW, Adelaide: WWDLW
• Goal Accuracy For: Hawthorn: 54.7%, Adelaide: 63.4%
• Goal Accuracy Against: Hawthorn: 64.2%, Adelaide: 50.7%

Outcome Prediction:

• Final Scores: Hawthorn 78, Adelaide 79
• Win Percentages: Hawthorn: 48.66%, Adelaide: 50.28%

Expect Taylor Walker and Mabior Chol to have a day out, booting goals left, right, and centre. Hawthorn might put up a fight and keep it close, but this game’s as good as in the bag for the Crows.

Final Score Prediction: Adelaide Crows 79 – 78 Adelaide Crows

Suggested Betting Tip: Adelaide Crows to win by 1-39 @ $2.20 with Neds

Over/Under Bet: UNDER 166.5 @ $1.88 with Neds

 

Eagles vs Saints

Saturday, June 1, 2024

4:35 PM @ Optus Stadium, Perth

Saturday arvo at Optus Stadium, it’s the Eagles versus the Saints. West Coast has been wobblier than a jelly on a hot day, while St Kilda, despite their own hiccups, are looking more solid.

The Eagles’ defence has more holes than Swiss cheese, letting in an average of 97.7 points per game. Their attack isn’t faring much better, averaging just 69.2 points. The Saints, on the other hand, have a better defensive record and a slightly sharper attack, averaging 71.3 points.

Head-to-Head Stats:

• Average Points For Per Match: West Coast: 69.2, St Kilda: 71.3
• Average Points Against Per Match: West Coast: 97.7, St Kilda: 78.8
• Current Streak: West Coast: L1, St Kilda: L3
• Current Form: West Coast: LLLWL, St Kilda: LWLLL
• Goal Accuracy For: West Coast: 55.6%, St Kilda: 56.3%
• Goal Accuracy Against: West Coast: 58.6%, St Kilda: 53.5%

Outcome Prediction:

• Final Scores: West Coast 78, St Kilda 75
• Win Percentages: West Coast: 52.86%, St Kilda: 45.97%

Expect St Kilda’s Jack Higgins to be a handful for the Eagles’ backline, however, the Eagles look to finally be showing glimpse of form and have a decent chance of grabbing the win this week.

Final Score Prediction: West Coast Eagles 78 – 75 St Kilda Saints

Suggested Betting Tip: Eagles to win by 1-39 @ $2.25 with Neds

Over/Under Bet: UNDER 155.5 @ $1.88 with Neds

 

Cats vs Tigers

Saturday, June 1, 2024

7:30 PM @ GMHBA Stadium, Geelong

Saturday night at GMHBA Stadium, it’s the Cats against the Tigers in a battle that promises to be as intense as having a rave party in a minefield. Geelong, despite a recent rough patch, looks to dominate due to their midfield and sharp forward line. Richmond, meanwhile, is struggling like a dingo trying to howl.

Geelong’s stats are solid gold, averaging 93.5 points per game, while Richmond’s 63.3 points shows they’ve been about as effective as a screen door on a submarine. The Cats’ defence, although not impenetrable, is miles ahead of Richmond’s, who are basically just giving out points like Santa giving out presents at the local shopping centre.

Head-to-Head Stats:

• Average Points For Per Match: Geelong: 93.5, Richmond: 63.3
• Average Points Against Per Match: Geelong: 84.5, Richmond: 102.7
• Current Streak: Geelong: L4, Richmond: L7
• Current Form: Geelong: WLLLL, Richmond: LLLLL
• Goal Accuracy For: Geelong: 63.6%, Richmond: 52.7%
• Goal Accuracy Against: Geelong: 58.7%, Richmond: 60.0%

Outcome Prediction:

• Final Scores: Geelong 108, Richmond 71
• Win Percentages: Geelong: 84.12%, Richmond: 15.20%

Tom Hawkins is likely to have a field day against the Tigers’ shaky backline. Richmond’s Tom Lynch will need to pull a rabbit out of his hat to keep them in the game. All signs point to a solid Geelong win.

Final Score Prediction: Geelong Cats 108 – 71 Richmond Tigers

Suggested Betting Tip: Cats to win by 1-39 @ $2.65 with Neds

Over/Under Bet: OVER 173.5 @ $1.88 with Neds

 

Demons vs Dockers

Sunday, June 2, 2024

1:00 PM @ TIO Traeger Park, Alice Springs

Sunday afternoon at Traeger Park, it’s the Demons against the Dockers. Melbourne’s been on a bit of an emotional rollercoaster lately, but they’re back on the rise, while Fremantle’s form is as unpredictable as a cat on a hot tin roof.

Melbourne’s stats show they’ve got the goods, averaging 82.3 points per game and boasting a defence slightly below Fremantles. The Dockers aren’t that far behind, averaging 76.5 points and keeping their opponents’ scores also relatively low. The Dockers’ efficiency inside 50 is a touch better, but Melbourne’s hitting the scoreboard more often.

Head-to-Head Stats:

• Average Points For Per Match: Melbourne: 82.3, Fremantle: 76.5
• Average Points Against Per Match: Melbourne: 70.4, Fremantle: 69.2
• Current Streak: Melbourne: W1, Fremantle: D1
• Current Form: Melbourne: WWLLW, Fremantle: WWLWD
• Goal Accuracy For: Melbourne: 56.8%, Fremantle: 52.2%
• Goal Accuracy Against: Melbourne: 55.8%, Fremantle: 51.2%

Outcome Prediction:

• Final Scores: Melbourne 72, Fremantle 67
• Win Percentages: Melbourne: 56.31%, Fremantle: 42.45%

Ben Brown should be snagging a few for the Demons, while Matt Taberner will need to bring his A-game for the Dockers. With Melbourne’s slight edge in attack and on par defence, they’re tipped to just sneak this one.

Final Score Prediction: Melbourne Demons 72 – 67 Fremantle Dockers

Suggested Betting Tip: Demons to win by 1-39 @ $2.02 with Neds

Over/Under Bet: UNDER 151.5 @ $1.88 with Neds

 

Suns vs Bombers

Sunday, June 2, 2024

4:00 PM @ People First Stadium, Gold Coast

Sunday arvo at People First Stadium, it’s the Suns and Bombers duking it. The Suns, fresh from a mixed bag of results, will be keen to shine, but the Bombers are coming in hot, winning four on the trot.

Gold Coast’s attack has been lighting up the scoreboard, averaging 90.5 points per game, but their defence has been slightly worse than the Bombers allowing 2.5 more points on average per game. Essendon isn’t far behind in scoring, but they’ve been tighter at the back, allowing just 81.1 points per game. Both teams have a knack for putting up big numbers inside 50, so expect plenty of action inside the 50 metre mark.

Head-to-Head Stats:

• Average Points For Per Match: Gold Coast: 90.5, Essendon: 84.6
• Average Points Against Per Match: Gold Coast: 83.6, Essendon: 81.1
• Current Streak: Gold Coast: L1, Essendon: W4
• Current Form: Gold Coast: WLWWL, Essendon: DWWWW
• Goal Accuracy For: Gold Coast: 60.6%, Essendon: 59.6%
• Goal Accuracy Against: Gold Coast: 62.8%, Essendon: 56.1%

Outcome Prediction:

• Final Scores: Gold Coast 90, Essendon 71
• Win Percentages: Gold Coast: 70.69%, Essendon: 28.26%

Look out for Ben King to be a handful up forward for the Suns, while Peter Wright could be bombing goals for Essendon. This game could go either way faster than two shakes of a lambs tail, and if the Bombers want to get this win they will have to maintain the same four quarter pressure they have been using this season.

Final Score Prediction: Gold Coast Suns 90 – 71 Essendon Bombers

Suggested Betting Tip: Suns to win by 1-39 @ $2.25 with Neds

Over/Under Bet: UNDER 166.5 @ $1.88 with Neds

 

Byes

• Brisbane Lions
• North Melbourne Kangaroos
• Sydney Swans
• GWS Giants

 

This week’s AFL Multi

• TBC

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