AFL Betting Tips
Get ahead of the competition this 2024 AFL season with our match previews and AFL betting tips for every game. As Australia’s biggest sporting event, the AFL captivates millions, and our expert analysis ensures you get the most accurate insights available.
“AFL tips are all about precision and timing. At KRUZEY, our expert tips go beyond the basics, factoring in player form, weather, and advanced stats. Don’t leave your bets to chance; get the insights you need to make smart moves this AFL season.”
This weeks AFL Predictions
Find our latest expert AFL tips below.
2024 AFL Season Predictions
This year the AFL season is starting off on a Thursday night between the Sydney Swans and the Melbourne Demons, lets take a look at the expert predictions for this season.
2024 AFL Ladder Prediction
Check out our prediction for how the ladder will finish.
- Sydney Swans
- GWS Giants
- Melbourne Demons
- Port Adelaide Power
- Carlton Blues
- Geelong Cats
- Gold Coast Suns
- Adelaide Crows
- Fremantle Dockers
- Brisbane Lions
- Collingwood Magpies
- Western Bulldogs
- St Kilda Saints
- Essendon Bombers
- Hawthorn Hawks
- Richmond Tigers
- North Melbourne Kangaroos
- West Coast Eagles
Grand Finalists – Sydney Swans vs GWS Giants
Both the Swans and GWS have had fantastic runs these past few years, and even though the Swans have made it to the Grand Final recently, they haven’t quite been able to secure the win of wins. GWS, on the other hand, has consistently been a top team but also managed to get into the 8 time after time. Both teams have what it takes to get not only to the finals this year but to win.
Bolters: Carlton Blues
Last year was a real eye-opener for Carlton fans as they made leaps and bounds up the ladder to show they have created an incredible team, this year we should expect to see them climb comfortably into the top eight and hold their position all the way through to finals.
Wooden Spoon: West Coast Eagles
West Coast have suffered a few incredibly tough years and this year we expect them to fall into the same problems once again. Unfortunately they once again get the wooden spoon.
Round-by-Round AFL Tips
Below you can find all of our AFL tips round by round.
AFL Grand Final Betting Tips
AFL Betting Tips Finals Week 3
AFL Betting Tips Finals Week 2
AFL Betting Tips Finals Week 1
AFL Betting Tips Round 24
AFL Betting Tips Round 23
AFL Betting Tips Round 22
AFL Betting Tips Round 21
AFL Betting Tips Round 20
AFL Betting Tips Round 19
AFL Betting Tips Round 18
AFL Betting Tips Round 17
Betting On The AFL
AFL betting is offered on a variety of markets, including the premiership, Brownlow Medal, Rising Star, and Coleman Medal.
No sport stirs the passions of Australians quite like the AFL. It is the country’s number one sport and provides a much-needed sense of community for all sports lovers.
From the outback of the Northern Territory to the southern tip of Tasmania, it seems like footy (Australian Rules Football) is only getting more popular. AFL betting has seen a big rise in punters, especially online. You no longer need to take a break from work to visit your local TAB or pub.
The days of queuing up to wager on your favourite football team are long gone. If you like sports, you may now bet on your favourite teams using online bookies such as Dabble, Ladbrokes, Sterling Parker, Neds, and BoomBet.
What is the best strategy for betting on AFL?
The best AFL betting strategy depends on understanding the teams, players, and match conditions. Here are some key strategies:
- Value Betting: Identify bets where the odds offered by bookmakers are higher than the actual probability of the event happening. For example, if a team has strong home-field advantage but is underrated by bookmakers, placing a bet on them could offer value. To determine value, calculate your own probability of an outcome and compare it to the bookmaker’s odds. For example, if a team is listed at $2.00, the implied probability is 50%. If you think their chances are closer to 60%, it’s a value bet.
- Research Form and Injuries: Always check recent form and injury lists before betting. For example, if a key player like Marcus Bontempelli is out due to injury, it may affect the Western Bulldogs’ chances. Similarly, teams in good form are more likely to perform well, but bookmakers might not always adjust odds accordingly.
- Hedging Your Bets: This strategy involves betting on both sides of a match to guarantee a profit regardless of the outcome. For example, if you place an early bet on a team at $2.50 and their odds drop to $1.80 closer to the game, you can place a bet on the opposing team at $2.20, locking in a profit.
How do AFL Betting Odds Work?
AFL betting odds represent the likelihood of an outcome and dictate how much you can win on a successful bet. Odds can be displayed in various formats, but decimal odds are most common in Australia.
- Decimal Odds: These are straightforward to understand. For example, if a team is priced at $2.50, a $10 bet will return $25 (including your stake). The formula is simple:
Bet Amount x Odds = Total Return. If you back the Richmond Tigers at $2.50 and they win, a $100 bet would return $250 ($100 stake + $150 profit). - Fractional Odds: More common in the UK, fractional odds like 5/2 mean for every $2 staked, you win $5 in profit. This equates to decimal odds of 3.50.
- Moneyline Odds: Mostly used in the US, these odds can be either positive or negative. A +150 odds mean you win $150 for a $100 bet, while -150 means you need to bet $150 to win $100.
It’s important to compare odds across different bookmakers to ensure you are getting the best value for your bets. Betting odds fluctuate based on factors like team form, injuries, and market demand.
What are the most common AFL betting markets?
There are many ways to bet on AFL matches, but we’ll guide you through some of the most popular ones. See below for a summary of the most common types of AFL bets customers can make or read our more comprehensive guide on how to bet on AFL.
- Head-to-Head Betting: This is the simplest and most popular form of AFL betting, where you bet on the team you think will win. For example, betting $50 on Geelong at $1.85 to beat Collingwood would return $92.50 if successful.
- Line Betting and Handicap Betting: Line betting is when the bookmaker tries to level the playing field between two teams by setting a specific margin. For example, if the bookmaker believes Team A is 7 points better than ‘Team B’, they will handicap ‘Team A’ by 7 points. This means that in order for bettors on Team A to win their bets, ‘Team A’ must beat ‘Team B’ by more than 7 points.
- Winning Margin Betting: This market allows you to predict how much a team will win by. For instance, you could bet on Carlton to win by 1-39 points or 40+ points. If Carlton wins by 25 points and you placed a bet on them to win by 1-39 points, your bet would be successful. This offers higher odds compared to head-to-head betting but comes with more risk.
- First Goalscorer: With this option, you can choose which player from either team you think will score the first goal of the game. You can also bet on anytime goalscorer which is usually a safer option.
- Total Points (Over/Under): This market allows you to predict how much a team will win by. For instance, you could bet on Carlton to win by 1-39 points or 40+ points. If Carlton wins by 25 points and you placed a bet on them to win by 1-39 points, your bet would be successful. This offers higher odds compared to head-to-head betting but comes with more risk.
Each market offers different levels of risk and reward, and choosing the right market depends on your knowledge of the teams and match conditions.
Is AFL betting legal in Australia?
Yes, AFL betting is legal in Australia. However, it is strictly regulated to ensure fair play and protect consumers. To bet on AFL legally, you must use a licensed bookmaker that operates within the rules set by each state’s gambling authority. For example, in Victoria, the Victorian Commission for Gambling and Liquor Regulation (VCGLR) oversees sports betting operations.
All licensed bookmakers are required to adhere to responsible gambling practices, including setting betting limits and offering self-exclusion tools for problem gamblers. If you’re unsure whether a bookmaker is legal, you can check their licensing status through the relevant state authority’s website.
What is responsible betting, and how can I practice it?
Responsible betting means gambling in a way that does not negatively impact your financial well-being or personal life. Here are some tips for practicing responsible betting:
- Set a Budget: Only gamble with money you can afford to lose. Set a limit on how much you are willing to spend each week or month and stick to it, regardless of wins or losses.
- Set Time Limits: It’s easy to lose track of time when betting, especially online. Set time limits to ensure you maintain a healthy balance between gambling and other activities.
- Don’t Chase Losses: If you lose a bet, avoid placing bigger bets in an attempt to win back your money. This is a common pitfall that can lead to significant financial loss.
- Know When to Stop: If betting is starting to impact your life negatively, take a break or seek help. There are many resources available, such as the National Gambling Helpline (1800 858 858) or online services like Gambling Help Online.
Responsible betting is crucial for maintaining a positive relationship with gambling. For more tips and help, visit Gambling Help Online.
FAQs
How do you bet on the AFL?
Placing a bet on the AFL is easy, simply go to your favourite bookmaker website (we have an excellent selection right here), and under the sports tab, find ‘AFL’. From there click on the match you’d like to punt on, and then select your chosen market.
When is the 2024 AFL Grand Final?
The 2024 AFL Grand Final will be played on Saturday, 28 September 2024, at the Melbourne Cricket Ground (MCG), Melbourne.
How do you make money betting on the AFL?
If you want to make money on AFL, you must be calculating. Narrow down your search and concentrate on one or two areas of the national game.
AFL Betting Strategies to Specialise in:
- Utilise Live Betting.
- Take advantage of Futures betting odds.
- Bet early for better odds.
- Know your margins.
- Keep an eye on first goalscorers.
- understand player prop markets.
- Use Same Game Multis.
- Bet on the Brownlow.
How does a line bet work in AFL?
Line betting is handicap betting for Australian rules football. When using line betting, you will see that the underdog receives points and the favourite gives away points to equalise things. For example, say there is a match between the Essendon Bombers and the Geelong Cats, Essendon would get a handicap to try and even the playing field.
What are AFL betting tips?
AFL tips are predictions made about the outcomes of AFL matches, which can help fans and punters make informed decisions about which teams to support in betting or fantasy leagues.
What should I consider when making AFL tips?
When making AFL tips, consider current team form, injuries, head-to-head statistics, venue performance, weather conditions, and any expert commentary (We already do this for you).
What is the difference between ‘tipping’ and ‘betting’?
Tipping is predicting the winners of AFL matches, often as part of a social competition, without necessarily involving monetary bets. Betting is wagering money on markets set by bookmakers, which can include match outcomes, player performances, and more.
Is it better to tip conservatively or take risks?
This depends on your competition’s rules and scoring. Conservative tipping often ensures steady points each round, while taking risks with ‘roughies’ can yield higher points but is more unpredictable.
What are the most common mistakes in AFL tipping?
Common mistakes include:
- Over-relying on favourites.
- Ignoring current team forms and news.
- Not updating tips to reflect last-minute changes before match commencements.
Who has won the most AFL premierships?
The most VFL/AFL premierships have been won by Essendon (16) and Carlton (16). Only Fremantle, Gold Coast, and Greater Western Sydney, three of the league’s four newest clubs, are yet to win a championship.
If you bet on a player in the AFL and they get injured, what happens?
If the harm is caused by an accident during the first four rounds, all bets will be voided UNLESS a winner has already been determined via the judges’ scorecards.
Where can I find AFL tips this week?
You can find AFL expert tips for this week on the Kruzey AFL Betting tips page for every round of the AFL season.
Related
AFL Fixture
Check the AFL fixture for upcoming AFL matches this season.
AFL Injury List
Keep up-to-date with your team’s injuries this week with our AFL injury list.
AFL Ladder Predictor
Check out the latest AFL ladder predictor to see where your team stacks up.
Other Betting Tips
We don’t just do AFL Tips; our team of experts also specialise in NRL betting and horse racing tips.
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